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Descriptive Statistics

Descriptive Statistics. Policy Perceptions on Food Security: Abuse of Averages. Source : Suryanarayana (2011) in India Development Report 2011. 11 th Five Year Plan on Food Security. Sustained solution to morbidity All the more so, Stagnant incomes of the poor

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Descriptive Statistics

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  1. Descriptive Statistics

  2. Policy Perceptions on Food Security:Abuse of Averages Source: Suryanarayana (2011) in India Development Report 2011

  3. 11th Five Year Plan on Food Security • Sustained solution to morbidity • All the more so, • Stagnant incomes of the poor • Perverse changes in consumption patterns – decline in cereal share • Trend reduction in average cereal consumption Policy Perceptions on Food Security

  4. 11th Five Year Plan on Food Security • Trend reduction in calorie intake – 8% in rural India - 3% in urban India between 1983 and 2004-05 • Average calorie intake fall increasingly short of official poverty line norms: 2400 kcals rural India 2100 kcals urban India Policy Perceptions on Food Security

  5. Incidence of Poverty (million): 1983-2004 Policy Perceptions on Food Security

  6. Incidence of Calorie Deficiency (%)Norms: 2400 Kcal (Rural); 2100 Kcal (Urban) Policy Perceptions on Food Security

  7. 11th Five Year Plan on Food Security • Consequences - Nutritional outcome parameters like low birth weights of newborn babies, anthropometric measures Policy Perceptions on Food Security

  8. Review • Estimates of consumption patterns • Averages at current prices conceal rather than reveal dynamics of change. • Reflect changes in relative prices and not real changes in consumption patterns. • Current price estimates exaggerate the extent of changes. Policy Perceptions on Food Security

  9. Review • Cereal share, of course, has declined though not to the extent as revealed by current price estimates. • Per capita cereal expenditure increased for the bottom three decile groups but not quantities – dynamics of agricultural development. • Calorie intake increased for the bottom decile groups decreased for the top ones: convergence at a lower level. Policy Perceptions on Food Security

  10. Policy Perceptions on Food Security

  11. Policy Perceptions on Food Security

  12. Policy Perceptions on Food Security

  13. Policy Perceptions on Food Security

  14. Consequences • Incidence of calorie deficiency increased by conventional norms but not so by convergence norms. Policy Perceptions on Food Security

  15. What is the evidence by disaggregate population groups?

  16. Policy Perceptions on Food Security

  17. Policy Perceptions on Food Security

  18. Policy Perceptions on Food Security

  19. Policy Perceptions on Food Security

  20. Incidence of Malnutrition: States Policy Perceptions on Food Security

  21. Growth Rate A Story of Computations

  22. Assess Growth performance pre- and post-reform Source: Government of India (2003): Economic Survey 2002-2003, p. S – 4. Growth Rate

  23. Sectorwise GDP: Maharashtra (at 1999-2000 prices) Growth Rate

  24. Annual Growth rates Growth Rate

  25. Regression based Trend growth rates Growth Rate

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