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This study categorizes watersheds for long-term monitoring in the San Francisco Bay Area based on land use, imperviousness, and other attributes. The approach involved GIS analysis and cluster analysis to group watersheds, identifying key distinguishing features. The study area included 185 watersheds, with metrics such as industrial percentage, population density, and precipitation considered in the analysis. Clustering resulted in small urbanized, moderate-sized urbanized, and large open space watersheds. The study also discusses the selection of watersheds for Stormwater NPDES permit monitoring, highlighting Guadalupe River and Walnut Creek as examples.
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San Francisco Estuary Institute Item #1a Exploratory categorization of watersheds for potential stormwater monitoring Ben Greenfield, Marcus Klatt, Lester McKee Sources Pathways and Loadings Workgroup May 6th 2010
San Francisco Estuary Institute Item #1a Topics • Categorization of watersheds • Watersheds for long term monitoring
San Francisco Estuary Institute Item #1a Background – Trend Monitoring Goals • Which Bay tributaries contribute most to Bay impairment from pollutants of concern (POC) • Quantify annual tributary POC loads or concentrations • Quantify the decadal-scale POC loading or concentration trends • Quantify the projected impacts of management actions (including control measures)
San Francisco Estuary Institute Item #1a 1. Categorization of Watersheds • Develop rationale for initially classifying Bay Area small tributary watersheds into a small number (<10) of categories for monitoring • Provide STLS stakeholders with a tool to develop and rank a list of representative watersheds in each class
San Francisco Estuary Institute Item #1a Study Area • 185 watersheds included • Focused on areas with best available data • Potential for expansion after data development to new areas
San Francisco Estuary Institute Item #1a Approach • Compile GIS with land use history and other attributes • Scaled and transformed data • Cluster analysis to determine watershed categories • Ward’s minimum variance method with Bray-Curtis dissimilarity • Used eight clusters • Non-metric Multidimensional Scaling - evaluate key distinguishing features of watersheds
1995 Land Use % Industrial % Residential % Commercial % Agriculture % Open 1954 % Industrial % Impervious Current and historic railroads (RR) Watershed area Population/area PG&E facilities/area Pump stations/area Auto dismantlers/area Annual precipitation avg. UTM spatial coordinates San Francisco Estuary Institute Item #1a Metrics Included
Clustering by • Size • Land use – industrial vs. open • Imperviousness • Attributes • RR • PG&E • Pump stations
Watershed variation: • Imperviousness • Industrial vs. open • Railroads
Cluster 1: • Small – highly urbanized
Cluster 1: • Small – highly urbanized • Cluster 2: • Moderate size • Urbanized, PG&E, RR
Typical small and moderate sized watersheds Cluster 1 41 watersheds Cluster 2 43 watersheds
Cluster 1: • Small – highly urbanized • Cluster 2: • Moderate size • Urbanized, PG&E, RR • Cluster 6 • Large with more open space
Typical large watersheds Cluster 6 22 watersheds
2. Watersheds for long term monitoring • Municipal Regional Stormwater NPDES Permit (MRP) lists watersheds for long term monitoring • How do they fit together? • Representative of urban/industrial source signals • Current data/leverage • Feasible to monitor • Address monitoring questions
San Francisco Estuary Institute Item #1a MRP –Monitoring Questions • Which Bay tributaries contribute most to Bay impairment from pollutants of concern (POC) • Quantify annual tributary POC loads or concentrations • Quantify the decadal-scale POC loading or concentration trends • Quantify the projected impacts of management actions (including control measures)
San Francisco Estuary Institute Item #1a MRP Loads Monitoring Watersheds • Guadalupe River Cluster 6 • Walnut Creek Cluster 7 • Zone 4 Line A Cluster 1 • Castro Valley Creek • Rheem Creek – Richmond Cluster 1 • Calabazas Creek –Santa Clara Cluster 1 • San Mateo Creek Cluster 2 • Laurel Creek – San Mateo Cluster 1
Cluster 6 – large watershed Varied land use Extensive long term monitoring data Planned Hg and PCB TMDL management actions San Francisco Estuary Institute Item #1a Guadalupe River
Cluster 7 – large watershed (368 km2) Mostly open and residential land use Attributes of Cluster 6 Current/prior monitoring data? Planned management actions? San Francisco Estuary Institute Item #1a Walnut Creek
Cluster 1 – small watershed (8.8 km2) 44% industrial land use 4 yr monitoring data Few planned management actions Limited land use change “Control” watershed San Francisco Estuary Institute Item #1a Zone 4 Line A
Small watershed (14.2 km2) Predominantly low density residential (50%) with some open (35%) USGS long term flow, discharge, and stage monitoring Copper and TSS monitoring in WY2004 San Francisco Estuary Institute Item #1a Castro Valley Creek
San Francisco Estuary Institute Item #1a Discussion • What is an appropriate subset of watersheds to focus on for WY 2010 sampling? • How appropriate are the watersheds listed in the MRP for initial sampling to meet the MRP objectives? • What other factors should be considered in watershed selection?