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Emergent Inference and the Future of NASA Sergio Pissanetzky Sergio@SciControls.com. Emergent Inference. Any system. learning. Analyst-independent technologies (AITs). ● NASA needs AIT’s for manned and unmanned space exploration. ● Autonomous robots can fly on their own or help the
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Emergent Inference and the Future of NASA Sergio Pissanetzky Sergio@SciControls.com
Emergent Inference Any system learning
Analyst-independent technologies (AITs) ● NASA needs AIT’s for manned and unmanned space exploration. ● Autonomous robots can fly on their own or help the astronauts. ● All our current technolgies are analyst-dependent. ● Extricating the analyst from software requires understanding the analyst. ● Understanding the analist means understanding the brain.
The brain AND The brain is a computer ● Cognition ● In host-guest systems: guest ● We learn ● We remember ● We know ● We decide ● Do we think? ● Do we reason? The brain is an organ ● Unconscious ● In host-guest systems: host ● Where is the unconscious? ● What does it do? ● Hermann von Helmholtz ● Sigmund Freud ● James Clerk Maxwell ● Carl Jung ● Douglas Hofstadter ● Pink Floyd ● David Eagleman ● Juan Roederer ● Jean Piaget ● Sergio I believe that cognition is a giant memory of behaviors, stored as a hierarchy of structures. Then, an unconscious mechanism that von Helmholtz called UI and I call EI generates new structures, and again stores them as behaviors in our cognition for us to use.
The Great Unsolved Automation Problems of Software Engineering (GUAPs) The automation of: ● Object generation (80’s) ● Refactoring (90’s) ● Integration (2000’s) ● Self-programming (2010’s) ● Parallel Programming ● Image Recognition ● Semantic Web ● Ontologies ● Robots ● ... and counting. All these problems have exact mathematical solutions that can be found by emergent inference.
BRAIN chess drive Jeopardy brain play chess drive a car play Jeopardy
EMERGENT INFERENCE SOFTWARE pixels Jeopardy sensors sequential program disorganized software chess sensors car sensors set of programs problem of Physics chess program quiz program car driving program emergent inference chess controls car controls integrated program solution refactored + objects asignement Jeopardy controls recognized image
Traditional software development cycle emergent inference emergent inference emergent inference BRAIN (human analyst) subject-matter engineer structure structure structure knowledge • • • file • • • data PROGRAM
History of mankind SINCE THE ADVENT OF HUMANS INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION You are here INTELLIGENCE REVOLUTION The world cost for non-automation is $60 trillion per year.
Plan and Conclusions ● All current technolgies are analyst-dependent. ● Anayst-independent thecnologies are needed for space exploration, both manned or unmanned. ● EI provides the only way to extricate the analyst. ● EI should be developed in USA. ● NASA may develop EI. ● Step 1: independent verification. ● Step 2: development. ● Step 3: application in robotics.
2011 publications ● Structural Emergence in Partially Ordered Sets is the Key to Intelligence. S. Pissanetzky. Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence, a subseries of Lecture Notes in Computer Science, LNAI 6830, pp. 92-101. Springer-Verlag. ● Emergence and self-organization in partially ordered sets. S. Pissanetzky. To appear in Complexity. ● Emergent inference, or how can a program become a self-programming AGI system?Sergio Pissanetzky. Workshop on Self-programming in AGI systems. AGI-11 conference, Google campus, Mountain View, CA. August 3-6, 2011. Sergio@SciControls.com www.SciControls.com