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Hoos going to win the NCAA Tournament?

Hoos going to win the NCAA Tournament?. 5 minute persuasive talk By: Jim Boley. www.sfgate.com. What is the NCAA Tournament?. Top 64 college basketball teams Single-elimination bracket style tournament Teams entered into bracket by seed based on regular season performance

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Hoos going to win the NCAA Tournament?

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  1. Hoos going to win the NCAA Tournament? 5 minute persuasive talk By: Jim Boley www.sfgate.com

  2. What is the NCAA Tournament? • Top 64 college basketball teams • Single-elimination bracket style tournament • Teams entered into bracket by seed based on regular season performance • Current status: 4 teams remaining • Florida (1), Wisconsin (2), Uconn (7), Kentucky (8) www.espn.com

  3. Metrics for evaluation • Quality of each team • Team statistics throughout the season • Seeding in the tournament • Compare against historical data of past champions

  4. Statistics for Measuring Team Quality • Defense- opponent’s points per game (PPG) • Offense- number of points scored per game • Average margin of victory- points scored – opponent’s points scored • Rebounding margin- number of rebounds – opponent’s number of rebounds • Turnover margin- % of possession resulting in turnover – opponents % of possession resulting in turnover • Offensive rebounds per game

  5. Evaluation of Statistical Metrics * Numbers represent national ranking in each category • Based on our statistical metrics, the tournament champion will be Florida and the runner-up will be Kentucky

  6. Evaluation of Historical Evidence • Based on historical data, Kentucky as a #8 seed has the highest chance of making it to the championship (60%), but Florida has the highest chance of winning the championship (37.5%) Over past 35 years, #1 seeds have won 60% of the NCAA tournaments

  7. Conclusion • Based on team quality and historical evidence, Florida has the best chance of winning the tournament and Kentucky has the best chance of finishing second

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