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WATERWAY RISK ASSESSMENT

[WATERWAY NAME]. WATERWAY RISK ASSESSMENT. WATERWAYS MANAGEMENT PLANNING TODAY TO BE READY FOR TOMORROW. PAWSA. SPONSOR INTRODUCTION. Welcome Workshop objectives Why you were selected. AGENDA. Day One AM Workshop Overview PAWSA Background Risk Model Definitions Expertise Evaluation

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WATERWAY RISK ASSESSMENT

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  1. [WATERWAY NAME] WATERWAY RISK ASSESSMENT WATERWAYS MANAGEMENT PLANNING TODAYTO BE READY FOR TOMORROW PAWSA

  2. SPONSOR INTRODUCTION • Welcome • Workshop objectives • Why you were selected

  3. AGENDA Day One AM Workshop Overview PAWSA Background Risk Model Definitions Expertise Evaluation Rating Scales Evaluation Day One PM Discuss and Evaluate Waterway Risks Day Two AM Discuss and Evaluate Existing Mitigations Day Two PM Discuss and Evaluate New Risk Mitigations Re-evaluate Expertise Workshop Critique

  4. PAWSA PROCESS

  5. WATERWAY RISK MODEL

  6. Book 1:TEAM EXPERTISE

  7. Book 2:RISK FACTOR RATING SCALES How much riskier is the condition on the right than the condition on the left? Vessel Conditions:Deep Draft Vessel Quality (Circle one number on each line) Nearly 100% of deep draft vessels operate safely 90% of deep draft vessels operate safely 1 2 34 5 6 7 8 9 90% of deep draft vessels operate safely 80% of deep draft vessels operate safely 1 2 34 5 6 7 8 9 80% of deep draft vessels operate safely 70% or less of deep draft vessels operate safely 1 2 34 5 6 7 8 9 Equally Somewhat Much More Extremely Risky More Risky Risky More Risky

  8. Book 3:BASELINE RISK LEVELS Check the block that best describes the condition in this waterway Vessel Conditions Deep Draft Vessel Quality Nearly 100% of deep draft vessels operate safely 90% of deep draft vessels operate safely 80% of deep draft vessels operate safely 70% or less of deep draft vessels operate safely

  9. Book 4: MITIGATION EFFECTIVENESS VESSEL CONDITIONS Deep Draft Vessel Quality 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Yes No Shallow Draft Vessel Quality 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Yes No Commercial Fishing Vessel Quality 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Yes No Small Craft Quality 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Yes No TRAFFIC CONDITIONS Volume of Commercial Traffic 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Yes No Volume of Small Craft Traffic 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Yes No Traffic Mix 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Yes No Congestion 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Yes No Risks / Mitigations Balanced?

  10. Book 5: ADDITIONAL MITIGATIONS RISK CATEGORY Risk Factor Coordination / Planning ____________________ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Voluntary Training____________________1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Rules & Procedures____________________1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Enforcement ____________________1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Nav / Hydro Info ____________________1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Radio Communications ____________________1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Active Traffic Management ____________________1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Waterway Changes ____________________1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Other Actions ____________________1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

  11. VESSEL TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT • NAVRULES / COLREGS • Ship’s Routing Measures • Port Access Route Studies • TSS / Fairways • Navigation Regulations • Equipment Carriage • Bridge-to-Bridge Radio • Navigation Equipment (SOLAS V) • IMO & IALA Membership • Nav & VTS IALA Committees • Vessel Traffic Services • VTS’s and Cooperative Partnerships • Ports & Waterways Safety System • Ports & Waterways Safety Assessments

  12. PAWSA BACKGROUND • VTS Congressional mandate • Identify minimum user requirements in consultation with local stakeholders • Review private / public partnerships • USCG convenes National Dialog Group • Major maritime interests

  13. NDG TASKS • Identify mariner information needs • Define a VTS baseline • Develop a process for determining where vessel traffic management (VTM) needs to be improved

  14. NDG THREE KEYS • Involve users & stakeholders • Tailor specific actions • Address risks Solution  Waterway Risk Model

  15. PAWSA • Methodical analytical approach to risk management • Understand local issues through local input • Define the current state • Identify & quantify risks • Evaluate the effectiveness of existing measures • Develop future mitigation strategies • Credible / defensible • Gather info for investment decisions

  16. PAWSAs COMPLETED Haro Strait / Boundary Pass Sault Ste. Marie Long Island Sound Lower Columbia River Coos Bay Portland Detroit Boston Buzzards Bay Cincinnati Narragansett Bay Louisville Baltimore San Francisco Hampton Roads LA/LB Charleston Pascagoula Berwick Bay San Diego Mobile Port Fourchon Port Everglades Houston / Galveston Tampa Miami Anchorage Lake Charles Port Arthur Honolulu Texas City Port Lavaca San Juan Torres Strait Corpus Christi Ponce

  17. PAWSA RECURRING RISKS • ATON visibility & channel configuration • Small craft & fishing vessels • Local area & Rules of the Road familiarity • Communications & inexperienced operators • Commercial Towing • Local area familiarity & communications • Navigation conditions & hydrographic info

  18. PAWSA RESULTS • 35+ conducted to date • Final report for first 28 completed • Various ports relying on results to effect change • Increased budgets • Improved infrastructure • New VTS’s • Model & process refined & improved • Implementation Guide revisions

  19. WATERWAY RISK MODEL RISK PROBABILITY IMPACT

  20. WATERWAY RISK MODEL RISK PROBABILITY IMPACT • Vessel Conditions • Traffic Conditions • Navigational Conditions • Waterway Conditions • Immediate Consequences • Subsequent Consequences

  21. WATERWAY RISK MODEL

  22. VESSEL CONDITIONS Deep Draft Vessel Quality • Age / maintenance • Flag / class society / owner • Casualty history • Crew nationality(ies)

  23. VESSEL CONDITIONS Shallow Draft Vessel Quality • Vessel operations knowledge • Local area experience • Language barriers • Crew fatigue • Maintenance

  24. VESSEL CONDITIONS Commercial Fishing Vessel Quality • Vessel operations knowledge • Local area experience • Chronic fatigue syndrome • Language issues

  25. VESSEL CONDITIONS Small Craft Quality • Knowledge of Rules of the Road • Awareness of other traffic • Inebriation

  26. TRAFFIC CONDITIONS Volume of Commercial Traffic • Deep draft • Shallow draft • Commercial Fishing • Infrastructure capabilities

  27. TRAFFIC CONDITIONS Volume of Small Craft Traffic • Volume • Seasonality • Marine events

  28. TRAFFIC CONDITIONS Traffic Mix • Single use waterway • Multiple use waterway • Conflicts

  29. TRAFFIC CONDITIONS Congestion • Density • Times / locations

  30. NAVIGATIONALCONDITIONS Winds • Speed • Predictability

  31. NAVIGATIONAL CONDITIONS Water Movement • River, tidal, & ocean • Maximum strength • Predictability • Seasonality • Cross-channel

  32. NAVIGATIONALCONDITIONS Visibility Restrictions • Ability to see • aids to navigation • other vessels • Fog, rain, snow, smoke, etc.

  33. NAVIGATIONALCONDITIONS Obstructions • Affect safe navigation • Ice, floating debris, fishing nets, etc.

  34. WATERWAY CONDITIONS Visibility Impediments • Moored vessels • Structures • Background lighting • Vegetation

  35. WATERWAY CONDITIONS Dimensions • Passing arrangements • Channel width & depth • Air drafts

  36. WATERWAY CONDITIONS Bottom Type • What do you hit if youtouch bottom orrun out of the channel?

  37. WATERWAY CONDITIONS Configuration • Bends • Intersections / convergences • Crossing traffic

  38. IMMEDIATE CONSEQUENCES Personnel Injuries • Cruise ships • Ferries • Dinner cruises • Large charter fishing vessels

  39. IMMEDIATE CONSEQUENCES Petroleum Discharge • Petroleum products • Bulk shipments • Fire

  40. IMMEDIATE CONSEQUENCES Hazardous Materials Release • Chemical products • Bulk shipments

  41. IMMEDIATE CONSEQUENCES Mobility • Waterway closure • Effects on shoreside marine transportation system (MTS)

  42. SUBSEQUENT CONSEQUENCES Health and Safety • Hazardous cargos • Population near waterway • rural area • town / small city • large metropolitan area • Water supplies

  43. SUBSEQUENT CONSEQUENCES Environmental • Sensitive areas • Protected / endangered species

  44. SUBSEQUENT CONSEQUENCES Aquatic Resources • Harvesting for: • Recreation • Subsistence • Commercial • Amount: • Light = 1 species / short season • Moderate = 2 - 3 species / long season • Heavy = >3 species / year-round

  45. SUBSEQUENT CONSEQUENCES Economic • Effects if waterway is closed

  46. WATERWAY RISK MODEL

  47. TEAM EXPERTISE • Waterway User • Stakeholder • Regulator

  48. WATERWAY RISK MODEL

  49. Book 1:TEAM EXPERTISE Compared to the other participants we are: …probably in the UPPER THIRD of all the participants. …probably in the MIDDLE THIRD of all the participants. …probably in the LOWER THIRD of all the participants. with respect to our knowledge about: – Vessel Conditions – Immediate Consequences – Traffic Conditions – Subsequent Consequences – Navigational Conditions – Waterway Conditions

  50. Book 2:RISK FACTOR RATING SCALES How much riskier is the condition on the right than the condition on the left? Subsequent Consequences:Economic (Circle one number on each line) Economic impact ofwaterway closureaffects ONLY port area Economic impact ofwaterway closureaffects metropolitanarea 1 2 34 5 6 7 8 9 Economic impact ofwaterway closureaffects metropolitanarea Economic impact ofwaterway closureaffects wide region 1 2 34 5 6 7 8 9 Economic impact ofwaterway closureaffects wide region Economic impact ofwaterway closureaffects entire nation 1 2 34 5 6 7 8 9 Equally Somewhat Much More Extremely Risky More Risky Risky More Risky

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