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Switching from car to walking and biking for short trips. Linda Christensen Thomas Jensen Danish Transport Research Institute. Purpose of the project . To identify the maximal possible switch from short car trips to walking and cycling To analyse which kind of car trips could be switched
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Switching from car to walking and biking for short trips Linda Christensen Thomas Jensen Danish Transport Research Institute
Purpose of the project • To identify the maximal possible switch from short car trips to walking and cycling • To analyse which kind of car trips could be switched • Why are people using the car • Who are using the car • Which kind of trips could be switched • To identify a more realistic switch • To make some recommendations for realising a switch
Method • The project is based on the National Travel Survey and literature studies • One way is simple table studies to find the maximum possible switch • The other way is a simple discrete choice model to analyse by who and when switching is possible. • And how much could be switched
Distribution of round tours on transport means and travel length
Distribution of kilometres on transport means and travel length
The discrete choice modelDelimiting • Only taking round tours into account which means the whole travel from home and back to home again. • Short travels are defined as round tours less than 22 km (typical two trips each less than 11 km). • Adults with driving license.
Distribution on transport modes in the base estimation and with increased driving time, 25 % by car, respectively 10 % by bike. And with both.
Distribution on transport modes in the base estimation and with increased parking problems and with change in driving time for both car and bike
Effect of some overall biking policy in 3 citiesChange in biking rate from 1998/1999 to 2002/2003
Importance of hills for the share of biking round tours of tours less than 22 km for adults with driving license Mean difference in contours for all travels made in a circle within 5 km radius around the home of the respondent: • For Denmark: 11,5 m • For Vejle, one of the most hilly cities in Denmark : 35,3 m Biking share: • If Denmark was completely flat: 25,2 % • Mean biking share of round tours in Denmark: 20,2 % • For Vejle: 12,0 % (-59 %)