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Large Gonorrhea Outbreak in a Rural California County, 2003. Michael Samuel, Dr.P.H. California Department of Health Services STD Control Branch. Butte County, California. Gonorrhea Rates, 1985 – 2002. United States. California. Butte County. Background.
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Large Gonorrhea Outbreak in a Rural California County, 2003 Michael Samuel, Dr.P.H. California Department of Health Services STD Control Branch
Gonorrhea Rates, 1985–2002 United States California Butte County
Background • County Health Department detected increases in gonorrhea in early 2003 • County alerted local medical community in March and May • Requested assistance of State STD Control Branch in September • Outbreak investigation • Control measures
Methods • Case series • Confidential Morbidity Report (CMR) • Laboratory report • Interviews • Standardized interview record (IR) • Health educators & Disease Intervention Specialists (DIS) • In-person and by-phone • Network analysis • Ask all cases and contacts to name all sexual and social contacts in prior 3 months
Methods - Software • Case series and interviews • Access • SAS • Mapping • ArcView 3.1 • Network analysis • Ucinet 6 for windows • NetDraw 1.0
GC Cases by Month Butte County, 2001-2003 2001 2002 2003
GC Cases by Month Butte County, 2001-2003 2001 2002 2003
GC Cases by Month Butte County, 2001-2003 2001 2002 2003
GC Cases by Gender, Age and Race/Ethnicity-Oroville, 2003 Male 38% (N=36) Female 62% (N=59) Race Age
Variables with Low Frequencies • Exchange of money or drugs for sex • Specific venues (e.g., X Bar) • Men, sex with men
Geographical Determine geographic distributions Visual Analysis • Network • Determine sexual and social connections
Sex link Male Case Male Uninfected Male Unknown Arrowhead indicates directionality of naming Sex link ? Female Case Female Uninfected Female Unknown Social link Butte County Gonorrhea Outbreak, 2003Sexual and Social Network Diagram
Sex link Male Case Male Uninfected Male Unknown Arrowhead indicates directionality of naming Sex link ? Female Case Female Uninfected Female Unknown Social link Butte County Gonorrhea Outbreak, 2003Sexual and Social Network Diagram
Sex link Male Case Male Uninfected Male Unknown Arrowhead indicates directionality of naming Sex link ? Female Case Female Uninfected Female Unknown Social link Butte County Gonorrhea Outbreak, 2003Sexual and Social Network Diagram
Butte Gonorrhea OutbreakNetwork Cluster Cases Note: The address for one of the network cluster cases was a PO Box, thus that case is not included above.
“Network” DiagramMonth of Diagnosis and Age 60 45 AGE 15 1 52 WEEK
Conclusions • Large gonorrhea outbreak in rural California County • Large proportion GC cases: • White, female • Unemployed, uneducated • Lacked private health insurance • Incarceration history • Only venue of note was casinos • Re-infection among African-American males • Delay in initiating investigation was problematic
Conclusions - Network Analysis • Detected one large network with very diverse race/ethnicity, age, and geography • Included casino and travel history • Beyond traditional field investigation, comprehensive network analysis requires systematic collection of data using uniform procedures
Limitations – General • Study Design • No comparison group • Incomplete data • Not provided • Not recorded consistently • Limited Local Health Department resource • Rotating State staff
LimitationsNetwork Analysis • Lack of experience with formal network analysis • Incomplete data • Connections • Infection status Mapping • Missing, incorrect and P.O. box addresses not geocodeable • Address is residence and not necessary location of sexual contact(s)
Potential Value of Network Analysis • Nature of individuals in specific clusters • Nature of network structure • May help control future outbreak
California Department of Health Services, STD Control Branch Roxanne Aguirre Gail Bolan George Camarillo Jennifer Chase Stewart Coulter Juan Cruz Denise Gilson Brian Hughes Jan King Marcella Lemus Terry Lo Manny Olivas Shaheed Salahudin Butte County Health Department Sherry Bloker Charlotte Freer Mark Lundberg Alice Kienzle Carmen Ochoa Eric Sawtelle Lorna Andreatta Jim Gamez University of California Berkeley Ben Bellows Zurab Koberidze CDC David Callahan Stu Burman Acknowledgements
GC Cases in by Month Butte County, 2001-2004 2004 2001 2002 2003
For more information contact:Michael C. Samuelmsamuel@dhs.ca.gov510-540-2311orJan Kingjking@dhs.ca.gov510-883-6643