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FROM TRUMP RHETHORIC TO THE REALITIES OF CHIMERICA

This seminar explores the shifts in the US-China economic relationship, from trade deficits to manufacturing supply chains and foreign direct investment. It examines the impact of China's economic slowdown on commodity prices and job displacement in the US.

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FROM TRUMP RHETHORIC TO THE REALITIES OF CHIMERICA

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  1. FROM TRUMP RHETHORIC TO THE REALITIES OF CHIMERICA BRICS Seminar, Departamento de Economia UAM, Azcapotzalco, June 8, 2017 Guilhem Fabre, Université Paul Valery, Montpellier 3

  2. MAOTRUMP

  3. US DEFICIT IN TRADE OF GOODS WITH CHINA: 2001-2016

  4. US TRADE BALANCE WITH CANADA, MEXICO, CHINA & RoW, 2002-2015

  5. US TRADE BALANCE IN GOODS & SERVICES AS PERCENT OF GDP, 2000-2016

  6. CONTRIBUTION TO GLOBAL GDP GROWTH: CHINA, EU, US RoW, 2000…

  7. CHANGES IN US-CHINA ECONOMIC RELATIONSHIP AFTER THE 2008 GFC

  8. US TRADE WITH CHINA 1999-2014

  9. TOP TEN US IMPORTS/ COUNTRY 2014

  10. TOP TEN US EXPORTS BY COUNTRY 2014

  11. US JOBS SUPPORTED BY US EXPORTS2015

  12. REAL GROWTH RATE OF PER CAPITA HOUSEHOLD INCOME, CHINA & OECD

  13. CHINA’s SHARE OF GLOBAL MANUFACTURING: 1990-2012

  14. US SHARE OF GLOBAL MANUFACTURING, 1970-2015

  15. MANUFACTURING OUTPUT SINCE 1970 : TOP FIVE COUNTRIES IN 2014

  16. CHINA AS THE WORLD’S FACTORY • 1991-2012 = Rise of Chinese global share of manufacturing : from 4,1 to 24 % • 1991-2013 : Rise of Chinese global share of manufacturing exports: from 2,3 to 18,8 % • EFFECTS ON GLOBAL MANUFACTURING SUPPLY • POSITIVE EFFECTS ON COMMODITIES : LATIN AMERICA

  17. COMMODITY PRICES SINCE CHINESE ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN IN 2012

  18. CHINA’s SLOWDOWN & IMPACT ON COMMODITY PRICES: 2012-2016

  19. US JOBS DISPLACED BY THE TRADE DEFICIT WITH CHINA SINCE 2001

  20. WALMART’S SHARE OF JOBS LOST

  21. Effect of a $1000 per workerincrease in imports from China on U.S. govt. tranfers

  22. US INTRA-FIRM TRADE: 2014

  23. CHINA PROCESSING EXPORTS AS SHARE OF TOTAL EXPORTS 1995-2017

  24. CHINA’s SHARE OF US IMPORTS: TOP FOUR CATEGORIES, 2003-2017

  25. MANUFACTURING TRADE NET OF PROCESSING IMPORTS, 1996-2017

  26. GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAINS I-Phones 5 & 6

  27. U.S EMPLOYMENT OF FOREIGN AFFILIATES BY MAJOR REGIONS, 2000-2014

  28. SALES DESTINATION OF FOREIGN AFFILIATES OF U.S. MNCs, 2014

  29. U.S. MULTINATIONALS’ SALES IN CHINA

  30. INWARD & OUTWARD STOCK OF FDIBY MAJOR REGION & COUNTRY, 2015

  31. STOCK OF FDIBY COUNTRY, 2014

  32. RATIO OF OUTBOUND FDI TO GDP 2014

  33. RATIO OF FDI STOCK in U.S. TO GDP 2015

  34. FDI STOCKS IN THE US, BY COUNTRY 2015 : CHINA = - 1%

  35. CHINESE FDI TRANSACTIONS IN THE U.S. BY INDUSTRY, 2000-2016

  36. MARKET CAPITALIZATION OF US-LISTED CHINESE COMPANIES. BY INDUSTRY, 2016

  37. CHINA = 55% OF GLOBAL SEMICONDUCTOR MARKET 2014

  38. CHINA : 96th in EASE OF DOING BUSINESS RANKING . 2013

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