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Global Logistics Outlook. Logistics, Trade, and Transportation Symposium. February 27th, 2014. David Wilson, UPS Marketing. Global Outlook. Top 13 Export Lanes Represent 80% of the World’s Export Market. Almost half of the top origins are in APAC
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Global Logistics Outlook Logistics, Trade, and Transportation Symposium February 27th, 2014 David Wilson, UPS Marketing
Top 13 Export Lanes Represent 80% of the World’s Export Market • Almost half of the top origins are in APAC • High Tech makes up over 40% of the oppty from these origins followed by Industrial and Automotive (32%) Source: Seabury
Top 22 Import Lanes Represent 80% of the World’s Import Market • The import market is more fragmented with 22 countries driving 80% of the world’s imports Source: Seabury
Market by Segment High Tech, Industrial and Automotive and Retail are forecasted to continue to be the major segments for the next several years
Small Package (SP) growth in ME&A is being driven by trade with Asia, which has nearly doubled in the last 5 years • This is more dramatic for resource-rich countries in particular • Saudi Arabia’s trade with Asia has grown nearly 600% over the last six years and China is now the country’s largest small package trade partner 84%
China Growth • High Tech accounts for over 40 percent of ME&A’s SP imports from China • Of these, over 80 percent are mobile phones or laptops • Demographics and government spending are driving the expansion of a consumer culture CAGR of 39% 22% 12% 13% 12% Source: Seabury
Most intra-region Small Package trade (>60%) is concentrated within the Gulf countries Turkey to Levant & Gulf, 1.5K tons Levant North Africa Gulf Intra-Gulf, 9.6K tons West Africa East Africa • Top origins for intra-regional trade: • UAE, 49% • South Africa, 13% • Turkey, 10% South Africa to Zambia, Zimbabwe, DRC, Mozambique, 1.2K tons Southern Africa Source: Seabury
Inter-regional Trade • Legend • 2012-2017 CAGR • Total Weight (Kg) 2017 • Key Points • North America remains Latin America’s dominant trade partner • Asia Pacific is expected to experience the strongest growth 3.5% 26.2M 85.4M 3.6% 42.8M 2.4M 0.27M 7.2% Source: Seabury 3.1% 3.1% 43.6M 3.8% • 4% 6.8% 6.3% 5.9% 8.7%
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A1m77Esk4Nk&list=PLxfC-I5NL73X3D9plZ7Fla0PE0QgG9xBbhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A1m77Esk4Nk&list=PLxfC-I5NL73X3D9plZ7Fla0PE0QgG9xBb
U.S. Commercial Services PartnershipBeyond One Program and Gold Key Sponsorship • The Commercial Service provides solutions that position U.S. businesses for success in the global marketplace • Beyond One Partnership with the USCS • Assist UPS exporters that currently ship to one or a few international markets by building upon their current experience in international trade; these companies are more likely to have already developed exportable goods that are competitive overseas • Domestic Offices • Client needs assessment • Market identification • Sector expertise • Strategic export planning • Legal and regulatory requirements • Export mechanics • International Offices • Market entry counseling • Market research • Sector expertise • Cultural issues and business protocol • Matchmaking (distributors and buyers) • Due diligence on foreign companies • Commercial diplomacy • Trade missions/Trade shows
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JzyFaXDpU_M&list=PLxfC-I5NL73X3D9plZ7Fla0PE0QgG9xBbhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JzyFaXDpU_M&list=PLxfC-I5NL73X3D9plZ7Fla0PE0QgG9xBb
Mississippi Global Trade • Exports Support Jobs for American Workers • 2013 total exports from Mississippi - $2.3T • 13.6% of all manufacturing workers depended on exporting • Exports Sustain Thousands of Mississippi Businesses • 2,056 companies exported from Mississippi locations • Of those, 1,569 (76.3%) were small and medium with fewer than 500 employees • Mississippi Depends on World Markets • 2013 export shipments of merchandise totaled $12.4 billion • Panama: $2.2 billion / Canada: $2.0 billion / Mexico: $1.3 billion / China: $671 million / Netherlands: $483 million • Top Export Categories • Petroleum, Coal Products, Chemicals, Transportation Equipment, Computer & Electronic Products, and Paper
Emerging Middle Class - Changing Global Marketplace Is your business ready to grow? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U8oHyk2kyI4
Thank You! David Wilson, UPS Marketing dwilson@ups.com linkedin.com/in/dewmarketing @dewMarketing