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This presentation discusses the CLIOS Process, which integrates the study of physical and policy systems using Mexico City as an example. It explores the need for a new process and provides an overview of the CLIOS Process, along with its relation to other tools and processes. The presentation also discusses additional applications and highlights CLIOS as a systems approach.
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The Concept of the “CLIOS Process”: Integrating the study of physical and policy systems using Mexico City as an examplePresentation to the Engineering Systems Division SymposiumMarch 2004 Co-Authors: Rebecca S. Dodder Joseph M. Sussman Joshua B. McConnell
Overview • Defining CLIOS • Need for a new process • Overview of the CLIOS Process • Mexico City as an example of the CLIOS Process • Relation to other tools and processes • Additional applications • CLIOS as a systems approach
Defining CLIOS • Complex • The system is composed of a group of interrelated units (subsystems) • Large-scale • Impacts are large in magnitude, and often long-lived and of large-scale geographical extent • Integrated • Subsystems within CLIOS are, closely coupled through feedback loops • Open System • CLIOS explicitly include social, political and economic aspects
CLIOS and Engineering Systems • CLIOS can describe many different systems, including natural and social systems • The systems of most interest to us are Engineering Systems, a special case of a CLIOS in which technology plays an important role • Technology can define system boundaries • Technology can be the integrator of the system • Technology can generate a large-scale impacts on the state and “performance” of the overall system • A CLIOS can also incorporate several technological subsystems
Motivation for a New Process • “Nested complexity” • Physical system is “nested” inside a policy system • Both are complex and interdependent • Must understand the structure of each, in order to understand overall CLIOS dynamics • A variety of tools and processes must be employed • Quantitative engineering and economic models for the physical system • More qualitative institutional, organizational and stakeholder frameworks for the policy system • Integration of physical and policy system analyses
Motivation for a New Process • Growing number of interdisciplinary analyses of complex systems, often with little guidance on the overal structure of those analyses • We need a disciplined way of studying a complex policy situation • Linear, step-by-step, yet iterative mechanism • It is pretty easy to miss something - routinizing the process can help (but is not a guarantee) • The CLIOS Process is one (but only one) way
CLIOS Process: Three Phases • A CLIOS representation (Phase 1) is created and analyzed with reference to both its “structure” and “behavior” • Then, in the design and evaluation (Phase 2) and implementation (Phase 3) phases, one can: • Measure the system’s performance along its various dimensions • Identify and implement strategies for system improvement, given the system problems and goals that motivate the analysis
Example: Representing Mexico City • Diagrammatic approach to the representation phase • Helps avoid the omission of salient factors • Sets up the structure/dynamics at various levels of detail
Institutional Change in CLIOS • Institutional changes can be an important part of the overarching strategy for implementation • Create, strengthen, or break, weaken certain connections between the policy and physical systems • Redefine the relationships between actors on the policy sphere • Flows of data, resources, approval, ideas, goals... • Lines of control or coordination • Hierarchical or flat organizational and inter-organizational relationships • Cooperation or conflict
Example: Institutional Change in MC • Mexico City provides a clear example of how changes in the physical system can impact the types of policy-institutional structures that are needed to manage certain issues. • The urbanized area has progressed beyond the Federal District across state boundaries to the State of Mexico, and more recently, to the State of Hidalgo. • In this manner, the physical system changes generated a tension across the policy sphere, which necessitated new institutions at the metropolitan-level.
CLIOS Process: Supporting Tools • A high-level “meta-process” for moving from initial problem definition, to design, evaluation and implementation of solutions for a CLIOS • The CLIOS Process serves as an organizing framework for the lower-level tools and processes • The 12-Step Process tells you what to do • The how is left up to the analyst(s) • Range of possible tools, from various perspectives, used to carry out the CLIOS Process: • Technical/engineering • Economic/financial • Organizational/institutional/political/social
CLIOS Process: A Christmas Tree • The CLIOS Process can be thought of as a Christmas Tree, with the various processes and tools used in the analysis comprising the ornaments hanging on the tree. • Structure of the “tree” stays constant, while the choice of “ornaments” hanging on the tree varies to suit the taste or needs of the user • In interdisciplinary teams, • Each member can chose their processes and tools • Yet, they remain conscious of where their work fits within the overarching structure of the 12 steps
CLIOS Process: A Christmas Tree Source: Ali Mostashari
More Applications • Strong emphasis thus far in transportation systems • Applied in a range of contexts • Mexico City: Transportation and Air Quality • Malaysia: Public Transportation • Regional Strategic Transportation Planning (RSTP) (Sussman/Sgouridis) • Explored the interactions of transportation systems with environmental, IT, land use, and other physical subsystems • Future work • Application to additional Engineering Systems--telecom, energy, national missile defense and others • Methodological advances, ex: stakeholder involvement in modeling (Mostashari/Sussman)
CLIOS Process as a Systems Approach • Qualitative as well as quantitative factors • Necessary step if systems thinking is to be applied to social and political systems • Not searching for a system optimum • Focuses instead on the tradeoffs and uncertainties that are more characteristic of the political process • Explicitly includes the policy world as a part of the system • Recognizes changes to existing policy structures as possible and sometimes necessary • Clear, comprehensive and structured process for moving from analysis to implementation within a single system framework • Yet, allows flexibility in the use of a range of tools and processes to carry out the actual analysis