Patrick J. Crist, Lynn Scharf (NatureServe)

1. Placeways A land-sea toolkit: NatureServe Vista, CommunityViz, and N-SPECTTrack A Land Sea SessionCoastal-Marine Ecosystem-Based Management Tools Training for South Pacific Practitioners Patrick J. Crist, Lynn Scharf (NatureServe) Ken Dutton, Sally Morehead, Kiersten Madden (MANERR) Dave Eslinger (NOAA) Doug Walker (Placeways)

2. Land-sea Integration Challenges • Problem 1: Land use & resource management planning/policy are not typically integrated. • Problem 2: conservation planning is typically segregated by ecosystem divisions (terrestrial, freshwater, marine) • Results in: • (At best) inefficiency by failing to leverage conservation actions that can serve multiple objectives • (Typically) failure to identify threats outside the ecosystem and continuing habitat loss

3. The Vision A planner (land use, infrastructure, conservation, etc.) proposes a future scenario and readily obtains… An assessment of the ramifications on terrestrial, freshwater, and marine ecosystems/biodiversity, allowing… Directed scenario modification/mitigation that maximizes/leverages conservation impact at least cost across ecosystems

4. Project Concepts MANERR Integrated Land Sea Planning • Three tools can be operated in support of specific sectoral missions (land use, conservation, water quality) • But they can be interoperated to facilitate integrated planning • Which can assist cooperative planning partnerships

5. Socioeconomic & Human Use Biological/ Species & Ecosystems Geophysical Conservation Tools Evaluation and Prioritization for Terrestrial, Freshwater, Marine Ecosystems e.g., Vista w/MARXAN Land Use Tools Scenario Development e.g., CViz Geophysical Tools: Freshwater pollution & sedimentation Analysis e.g., NSPECT Decision entry & monitoring data feedback Geophysical Tools: Marine Plume Model e.g., MIKE21 Integrated Conservation & Land Use Plan Across Ecosystems Adapted from Dorfman 2007

6. Project Objectives Study area: 217,211 ha MANERR Integrated Land Sea Planning • Demonstrate the linkage of 3 EBM tools to address integrated land-sea planning • Create a documented methodology for the integration and interoperability of these tools • Assist Aransas County with analyses to demonstrate the need for increased land use planning authority

7. C The Tools MANERR Integrated Land Sea Planning Integration through interoperation of three tools: • CommunityViz: land use planning tool and integrator of tool indicators • NatureServe Vista: conservation planning & ecological indicators tool • N-SPECT: water quality modeling & assessment tool

8. Step 1: Map Land Use Scenarios w/CommunityViz Traditional development growth model MANERR Integrated Land Sea Planning • CommunityViz is used to map, visualize, and characterize indicators in a variety of scenarios for land use planning purposes • Model trends in scenarios • Guide development of alternative future scenarios

9. Step 2: Define Scenarios for Assessment MANERR Integrated Land Sea Planning MANERR Integrated Land Sea Planning • Scenarios are imported from CViz and augmented with other data in Vista • Scenarios are used to assess conservation goal achievement • Scenarios can be: • Current situation • Plan/policy based future scenario • Trend future scenario • Alternative plans, proposals, mitigations

10. Live Oak Seagrass beds Step 3: Map & Characterize Conservation Elements Seagrass Photo courtesy of Ken Dunton MANERR Integrated Land Sea Planning Element information in Vista is comprised of spatial occurrence data, expert-derived parameters, and values such as importance weights Coastal Live Oak – Redbay series Photo courtesy of Sally Morehead

11. Step 4: Evaluate Scenarios with Vista MANERR Integrated Land Sea Planning • Evaluations quantify and map impacts relative to element goal achievement • Compatibility conflict maps shows locations and richness of elements that have not met retention goals & are in conflict with the scenario

12. Vista scenario evaluation: terrestrial MANERR Integrated Land Sea Planning Reports quantify goal achievement, new and cumulative impacts, and effects on viability

13. Step 5: Incorporate Water Quality using N-SPECT MANERR Integrated Land Sea Planning

14. N-SPECT Outputs Sediment concentration Accumulated sediment Baseline Traditional Traditional Baseline MANERR Integrated Land Sea Planning Water quality outputs from N-SPECT comparing baseline & traditional scenarios

15. Step 6: Water Quality Ecological Assessment • N-SPECT freshwater outputs are imported into the Vista scenario definition. • Estuary sedimentation levels modeled in ArcView (under development) • Compatibility or condition-based evaluation can be conducted MANERR Integrated Land Sea Planning

16. Step 7: Scenario Evaluation with Aquatic Impacts • Growth model predicts improved quality (as a factor of mitigating agricultural runoff) but big impacts on terrestrial biodiversity MANERR Integrated Land Sea Planning Land based threats (sedimentation) can then be assessed for impact on aquatic resources (e.g., sea grass beds)

17. Step 8: Assessing Results, Identifying Opportunities Site scenario results Selected site MANERR Integrated Land Sea Planning Site Explorer (Vista) provides context for site to determine mitigation need and opportunity But need to mentally connect aquatic features to terrestrial impacts

18. Step 9: Creating Alternative Scenarios & Site Mitigations Predicted increase in goal achievement w/land use change MANERR Integrated Land Sea Planning Specify alternative uses for the site & view immediate results. Save results to create alternative scenario

19. Step 10: Integrate and Re-analyze in CommunityViz Area of mitigated land use from Vista mitigation MANERR Integrated Land Sea Planning Site mitigation from Vista in new CommunityViz scenario with indicators.

20. Step 11: Integrate & Re-Analyze in N-SPECT MANERR Integrated Land Sea Planning

21. Step 12: Re-Analyze in Vista Traditional Development Conflicts Mitigated Scenario Conflicts Conflicts partially mitigated MANERR Integrated Land Sea Planning

22. Thoughts on Implementation MANERR Integrated Land Sea Planning • We demonstrated that one GIS analyst can learn and interoperate the tools • However, what they do with each tool is often specific to different institutions’ missions • This suggests different partnership models: • First where each institution operates the appropriate tools under agreements of overriding goals and information exchange • Second where institutions jointly support a center of analyses that manages data and operates the tools on their behalf

23. Implementation Continued MANERR Integrated Land Sea Planning Regardless of partnership structure, this type of planning must be dynamic Periodic updates won’t work as the sectors will evolve on independent timeframes A strong partnership to ensure dynamic information exchange and real-time analyses and adaptive planning is required Permanent working groups especially with scientific participation is very useful

24. Questions?Acknowledgments David & Lucille Packard Foundation for MANERR Project Funding EBM Tools Program for Conference Support MANERR Integrated Land Sea Planning