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Using Climate Predictions. Long-term (seasonal)
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1. Measuring Weather Issues for Pesticide Applicators Part 2 by Linda S. Wiles
Penn State Extension Educator
2. Using Climate Predictions Long-term (seasonal)
to schedule crop species, cultivars
Short-term (8-14 day, 6-10 day, 3-7 day)
to schedule irrigation, maintenance, pesticide applications
See NOAA
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/forecasts
3. Using NOAA Predictions
6-10 Day Forecast
To schedule irrigation, fertilization, and chemical application
Recommended by Hu and Hubbard from University of Nebraska
4. NOAA Weather Conversions Temperature
77?Fahrenheit 25?Celsius 298.15?Kelvin
Wind Speed
9 mph 7.82 kt 4.02 m/s 14.48 km/h 13.2 ft/s
3 Beaufort
Pressure
29 inch mercury 982.05 milllibars 0.97 atmospheres
98205.25 pascals 982.05 hectopascals 1001.41 gm/sq.cm.
736.6 mm mercury 14.24 lb/sq.in
5. Order of Weather Measurements
1st - Wind Direction
2nd - Wind Speed
6. Wind Direction Recording Tips Use compass to find magnetic direction
- where wind comes from
Avoid steel objects while measuring - they may cause false readings
Use compass reading in degrees
- not just N, S, etc.
7. Compass Wind Direction Reading
Face the wind
Measure in degrees
Automatic calculation Compass Degrees
North to East 0 to 90
East to South 90 to 180
S to W 180 -270
W to N 270-360Compass Degrees
North to East 0 to 90
East to South 90 to 180
S to W 180 -270
W to N 270-360
8. Wind Direction by Degrees
9. Wind Speed Recording Tips
Hold unit so that it faces the wind
Measure for several seconds
Record at estimated height of spray (if possible)
Wind speeds increase with higher altitudes
10. Compass Care Check accuracy prior to field use
Protect from excess heat or cold (dont leave in a vehicle)
Keep away from magnetic fields
- belt buckles, knives, magnets, etc.
11. Hand-held Wind Speed Reading
Current check for gusts
Average evens out gusts + calm time based
Maximum highlights problems - time based
12. Temperature Measure temperature at time of application
Avoid spraying in hot temperatures
Esp. in high humidity
If you must, use larger spray droplet size and lower equipment pressure
13. Hand-held Temperature Reading ?F air temperature
in shade
Height of unit
Some include min/max
14. Humidity
Relative
Absolute
RealFeel Temperature?
patented Accuweather.com? index RealFeel Temperature? index includes Temperature, Humidity, Wind, Sun Intensity, Cloudiness, Precipitation, Elevation to measure how weather feels to humans.RealFeel Temperature? index includes Temperature, Humidity, Wind, Sun Intensity, Cloudiness, Precipitation, Elevation to measure how weather feels to humans.
15. Hand-held Humidity RH Reading % moisture of air
in shade
At high temperatures, air can hold more moisture
RELATIVE measure
16. NOAA Calculators - RH
Enter T and Dew Point in ?F or ?C
72?F and 69?F Dew Point
?
90.31% RH
17. Combination Data Wind Speed + Temperature + Humidity
?
Wind Chill
Heat Index
Dew Point
18. Hand-held Wind Chill Reading Measured in ?F
= temperature
>45?F
<3 mph
Defined by
US National Weather Service
19. Wind Chill Define: combines temperature + wind
Where:
T = air temperature in ?F, < 70?F
V= wind speed in mph
data at 5 ft. height, clear night
20. NOAA Calculators Wind Chill How to calculate
Formula for WC (?F)
= 35.74 + 0.6215T 35.75 (V0.16) + 0.4275T (V0.16)
includes modern heat transfer theory
21. Wind Chill Why important
Personal - Frostbite
Plants - Frost Pockets
22. Frostbite In 30 minutes
with calm wind at -5?F
In 10 minutes
with 35 mph wind at 0 to -5?F
In 5 minutes
with 45 mph wind at -15?F
23. Frost Pockets Close to ground level, cold air trapped in low areas possible 15°F lower than higher ground
Hand-held meters can track winter air inversions
Cold weather protections can be implemented
Reduced damage to fruit and landscape plants
Caplan, 1988
24. Hand-held Heat Index Reading ?F air temperature
in shade
= air temperature
< 70?F
Human comfort measure
25. Heat Index Define: combines temperature + humidity
Where:
T in ?F = ambient dry bulb temperature
R = % RH
[Canadas Humidex uses dew point in ?K]
26. NOAA Calculators Heat Index How to calculate
Formula for HI (?F)
= -42.379 + 2.04901523T +10.14333127R 0.22475541TR 6.83783 x 10-3T2 5.481717 x 10-2R2 + 1.22874 x 10-3T+R + 8.5282 x 10-4TR2 1.99 x 10-4T2R2
Multiple Regression Formula with +1.3?F; R.G. Steadman, 1979
27. Heat Index Why important
Personal Heat Disorders
Plants Increased Phytotoxicity
28. Heat Disorders Heat Index Physical Response
80-90 ?F Lethargy
90-105 ?F Sunstroke, Heat Cramps, Heat Exhaustion
105-130 ?F Above, + possible Heat Stroke
130 ?F+ Above, + likely Heat Stroke
If DIRECT SUN, add 15 ?F to HI
29. Likelihood of Heat Disorders - NOAA
Caution -T > 80 ?F; any % RH
Extreme Caution -T = 82 ?F; 90% RH
-T = 90 ?F; 40% RH
Danger -T = 86 ?F; 90% RH
-T = 98 ?F; 40% RH
Extreme Danger -T = 90 ?F; 95% RH
30. Hand-held Dew Point Reading ?F air temperature in shade
DP ~ T humid
DP = T dew forms
DP = T <32?F,
frost forms
31. Dew Point Define: combines temperature + humidity
Where:
T in ?F = ambient dry bulb temperature
R = % RH
[Canadas Humidex uses dew point in ?K]
32. NOAA Calculators Dew Point How to calculate
Formula for TD (?F)
Set x = (1 0.01 RH) where RH is expressed as a number from 1 to 100.
Set T as temperature in ?C
DPD is the difference between the temperature and dew point in ?C
TD is the dew point temperature
33. Dew Point Why important
Personal more accurate estimate of human comfort than RH
Plants indicator for dew still present, disease issues
34. Spray Equipment Selection
IF full-coverage needed, as for
contact herbicides, fungicides or non-systemic fungicides,
THEN drift-resistant fan nozzles are not suitable.
35. Inversion Conditions 25-30°F or more night/day temperature difference
Clear skies + Calm winds previous night
Seasonally common spring and fall,
possible year-round
MA Dept Ag, 2003
36. Record Conditions
Weather conditions
at the time of application
should be listed
on the pesticide application records.
37. June 5 Weather Data Shade, Monroe Co., PA
Keep below 82F. Between 45-65%RH and 2-6mph; also, no air inversions and in most cases rain not predicted within 24 hrs.Shade, Monroe Co., PA
Keep below 82F. Between 45-65%RH and 2-6mph; also, no air inversions and in most cases rain not predicted within 24 hrs.
38. July 6 Weather Data Shade, Monroe Co., PA Keep below 82F. Between 45-65%RH and 2-6mphalso, no air inversions and in most cases rain not predicted within 24 hrs.
Shade, Monroe Co., PA Keep below 82F. Between 45-65%RH and 2-6mphalso, no air inversions and in most cases rain not predicted within 24 hrs.
39. July 16 Weather Data Shade, Monroe Co., PA Keep below 82F. Between 45-65%RH and 2-6mph also, no air inversions and in most cases rain not predicted within 24 hrs.
Shade, Monroe Co., PA Keep below 82F. Between 45-65%RH and 2-6mph also, no air inversions and in most cases rain not predicted within 24 hrs.
40. Maximum wind for spraying 9 mph
15-16 mph
25 mph
41. Spray Pattern 3 Major Nozzle Patterns
Hollow or Full Cone Spray
Flat Fan Spray
Solid Stream Spray
42. Hollow Cone Spray
Highly diffuse spray pattern at 0 mph
High potential for spray drift
43. Hollow Cone Spray
44. Hollow Cone Spray Guidelines Use for shrubs + bushes
Rounded ring pattern
Finely atomized spray
Post-emergent herbicides, contact fungicides and insecticides
45. Full Cone Spray Guidelines Full Cone makes a filled in circle pattern
Primarily for broadcast spraying
Some banded applications
46. Flat Fan Spray
47. Flat Fan Spray Post Application
48. Flat Fan Spray Guidelines Use for row treatment, systemic applications
Pattern is elliptical inverted V
Variations
Extended range use for more pressures
Flooding uses larger droplets
Even non-tapered for band application
49. Solid Stream Spray
50. Solid Stream Spray
51. Solid Stream Spray Guidelines Use for spot and long range
Common for application of liquid fertilizer
52. Wind & Spray Drift Problems
Diverts chemical from target
? Reduces effectiveness
Deposits pesticide where not needed or wanted
? Injury to susceptible vegetation
? Harm to wildlife
? Deposition of illegal residues on crops
? Contamination of water supplies
53. Spray and Vapor Drift
54. Reducing Drift/Volatilization Incorporate chemicals into the soil
If very hot, select pesticide with strong sorption and low vapor pressure
Irrigation to buffer weather effects
55. Vapor Drift INVISIBLE!!
Can predict likelihood for specific pesticides
higher vapor pressure numbers
(MSDS sheet)
higher volatility
vapor drift
56. Vapor Drift Control
Use larger spray droplets
Fine to medium soil
Wet soil
Use larger spray droplets
(function of equipment, easily corrected)
Fine to medium soil
(local factor, may not be practical to alter coarse soil)
Wet soil
(might be corrected if due to irrigation)
Use larger spray droplets
(function of equipment, easily corrected)
Fine to medium soil
(local factor, may not be practical to alter coarse soil)
Wet soil
(might be corrected if due to irrigation)
57. Range of spray and vapor drift How far from application site
If windy
If extreme heat
If extreme humidity
Other
58. Runoff and Leaching
Both affected by irrigation or rainfall
amount & timing
relative to pesticide application.
Avoidable by monitoring weather
59. Weather Monitoring
Record weather conditions DURING application
Record weather conditions AFTER application
60. Weather Conditions Time 1:30-4:00 pmTime 1:30-4:00 pm
61. GOALS Minimize pesticide in non-target areas
Minimize pesticide loss
Minimize exposure to operators or bystanders
62. GOALS Minimize pesticide in non-target areas
?
Reduce possible injury to wildlife
Reduce possible injury to sensitive crops
[from contaminated water]
63. GOALS 2. Minimize pesticide loss
?
To ? pest control
To ? costs
64. GOALS 3. Minimize exposure to operators or bystanders
?
Health problems ?
? Liability issues
65. GOALS 4. Minimize damage to beneficial insects
?
organic/natural control maintained
?
? Fewer pesticide applications needed
66. Past - 25 Year Old Study Studies have shown that the equipment and its operation are responsible for 68-90% of the physical drift problems, while weather accounts for 10-32%.
quote from D.B. Smith 1982,
Fate of Pesticides in the Environment, in What Happens to the Pesticides We Apply?, Commercial Pesticide Applicator Exam Preparation Class, Laura Pottorff, Colorado State University, Adams County
67. Current - Vegetation & Climate Temperature and precipitation
Plants are affected
Plants can alter these
68. Possible Now Improved Local Weather Forecasts
Weather Forecast Model
+ Photosynthesis/Transpiration Vegetation Model
+ Improved soil moisture mapping
= Temperature, Humidity and Thunderstorm Predictions
Yields 5 to 50% greater accuracy
Dev Niyogi, Purdue University, March 2006 (Live Science)
69. Future - Fine-Tuning Effects ofSolar Radiation Effects:
physical properties of pesticides
biophysical processes of organisms
Controlled by:
suns angle
day length
cloudiness
70. Weather Monitoring - Local Hand-held Devices ($6 -$700)
?
?
?
Sophisticated Computerized Logging Devices ($160 - $1,500)
71. References Climate Change and U.S. Agriculture: The Impacts of Warming and Extreme Weather Events on Productivity, Plant Diseases and Pests, by Cynthia Rosenzweig, et. al, Harvard Medical School Center for Health and the Global Environment
Climate Predictions: How to Interpret and Use Them, by Q. Steven Hu and Kevin Hubbard, University of Nebraska-Lincoln Extension
Noah Diffenbaugh, Purdue University, May 2005, Geophysical Research Letters (Live Science)
Effects of Cold Weather on Horticultural Plants in Indiana, Larry A. Caplan, Vanderburgh County Horticulture Agent, December 1988
Fate of Pesticides in the Environment, in What Happens to the Pesticides We Apply?, Commercial Pesticide Applicator Exam Preparation Class, Laura Pottorff, Colorado State University, Adams County
Instrumentation to Document Environmental Conditions during Pesticide Applications, by Robert Wolf and Patricia A. Hipkins, Kansas State and Virginia Tech
Dev Niyogi, Purdue University, March 2006 (Live Science)
Pesticides and the Environment, Brad Joern and Becky Lohman, Purdue Pesticide Programs
Predicted Effects of Climate Change on Agriculture: A Comparison of Temperate and Tropical Regions, by Cynthia Rosenzweig and Diane Liverman
Predicting the Weather, United States Search and Rescue Task Force
Thermal Inversions, MA Dept. of Ag Resources, Pesticide Bureau Technical Information Bulletin, May 2003 Version
What happens to the Pesticides We Apply?, Commercial Pesticide Applicator Exam Preparation Class, Laura Pottorff, Colorado State University, Adams County
Beaufort Wind Scale http://www.spc.noaa.gov/faq/tornado/beaufort.html
Brunton A,B,C,D Compass System Instructions
EPA In Case of Pesticide Poisoning
EXTOXNET http://extoxnet.orst.edu/pips/ghindex.html
Kestrel? 3000 Pocket Weather Meter instructions www.nkhome.com
NOAA National Climactic Data Center http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/ncdc.html
NOAA Calculators http://www.crh.noaa.gov/gid/?n=wxcalc
Penn State Core Pesticide Manual
Plymouth State University http://vortexplymouth.edu/
Solo? Operators Manual and Parts List www.solousa.com
TeeJet? A Users Guide to Spray Nozzles
University of Illinois www2010.atmos.uiuc.edu
Radio http://www.findradio.us/displaystate-PA.htm
Television http://www.globalcomputing.com/GetTV_Map1.cfm?stateid=PA
Web Site www.weather.com www.accuweather.com
Airport http://www.fly.faa.gov/flyfaa/nemap.jsp
72. Credits Grant support for program development
from Penn State Pesticide Education
Assistance by Michael Wiles
Review by Karen Wilkins, Jeanne Dunstane, Katharine Kresge
Concept, PowerPoint text, charts, diagrams, photos and design
by Linda Wiles, July 31, 2007
Where trade names appear, no discrimination is intended,
and no endorsement by Penn State Cooperative Extension is implied.
Penn State is committed to affirmative action,
equal opportunity, and the diversity
of its workforce.
73. Thank You & Enjoy this Summer Evening