Draft Conceptual Model for LOSL Integrated Ecological Response Model

1. Draft Conceptual Model for LOSL Integrated Ecological Response Model Limno-Tech, Inc. 501 Avis Drive Ann Arbor, MI 48108

2. Aquatic Insects Benthic invertebrates Natural hydrological & climatological variations Regulation General Model Components Other Management Actions and System Stressors H&H Model predicted water level/flow hydrograph Shoreline Habitat Quantity/Quality Wetland Habitat Quantity/Quality Nearshore Habitat Quantity/Quality Riverine Habitat Quantity/Quality Open Water/Imp Quantity/Quality Phytoplankton/Benthic algae Aquatic Macrophytes Zooplankton Fish Aquatic Birds Reptiles and amphibians Mammals Value? Input to Shared Vision Model Ecological Response

3. Abundance age-0 northern pike Abundance northern pike of reproductive age Acres wetland plant community type Acres geomorphic wetland type Wetland habitat suitability indicator Number breeding pairs Canada goose Canada goose brood survival rate Number Canada goose broods Abundance adult muskrat Number muskrat dens % cattails Aquatic insect biomass:productivity ratio Zooplankton diversity Zooplankton biomass Benthic algae biomass Acres submerged aquatic macrophyte indicator species (e.g., wild rice) Benthic invertebrate biomass Phytoplankton biomass Potential Quantitative Ecological Endpoints LOSL1 Back to Main Slide

4. Aquatic plant biomass Detrital production Vegetative succession Plant species composition Plant colonization Water clarity Soil moisture availability Autochthonous-allochthonous function Plant species diversity Anaerobic stress Soil nutrient availability Dissolved oxygen Water pH Water temperature Decreased habitat value Water nutrients Vegetative density Area Hydrologic function Wetland Habitat Back to Main Slide LOSL1 Go to Graphics

5. Plant colonization Vegetative succession Vegetative density Plant species composition Erodability Habitat value Organic matter Anaerobic stress in plants Slope Slope aspect Soil nutrient availability Plant species diversity Shoreline Habitat Back to Main Slide LOSL1 Go to Graphics

6. Riffle exposure Sedimentation Substrate changes Sediment transport Bed scour Morphology Shoaling Water clarity Large woody debris Riverine Habitat • Habitat formation and maintenance • Hydraulic refugia • Dissolved oxygen • Water temperature • Nutrients • pH • Organic matter Back to Main Slide Go to Graphics LOSL1

7. Sedimentation Substrate quality Sediment transport Water temperature Wave scour Water clarity Nearshore Habitat • Habitat formation and maintenance • Dissolved oxygen • Nutrients • Organic matter • Thermal stratification (e.g., thermal bars) Back to Main Slide Go to Graphics LOSL1

8. Sedimentation Substrate quality Sediment transport Water temperature Wave scour Water clarity Open Lake/Impoundment Habitat • Habitat formation and maintenance • Dissolved oxygen • Nutrients • Organic matter • Water temperature Back to Main Slide LOSL1 Go to Graphics

9. Biomass Growth Recruitment Egg survival Functional organization Species composition Spawning cues Condition Bioenergetics Redd oxygenation/waste removal Abundance Habitat suitability Food webs Access to critical habitats Species diversity Behavioral mechanisms Fish Species list LOSL1

10. Northern pike Smallmouth bass Whitefish Lake trout Anadromous species Other wetland dependent species Other flow dependent species (e.g., darters) Specific guilds Exotic species Fish Species of Interest LOSL1 Back to Main Slide

11. Mobility (availability of water) Stranded dens Flooded dens Access to food source Mammals Species list LOSL1

12. Muskrat Mink Beaver Moose River otter Mammal Species of Interest LOSL1 Back to Main Slide

13. Dessication stress Adult survival Hibernation Species composition Population structure Nesting success Abundance Reproduction/juvenile survival Life history Reptiles/Amphibians Species list LOSL1

14. Wetland turtles Riverine turtles Softshell turtles Snapping turtles Mud or musk turtles Map turtles Toads Frogs Eastern massasauga rattlesnake Reptiles and Amphibians of Interest LOSL1 Back to Main Slide

15. Invertebrate food availability during migration Plant food availability during migration Brood survival Nesting success Flooding Predator invasion Aquatic Birds Species list LOSL1

16. Diving ducks Heron Plover Canada goose Aquatic Bird Species of Interest LOSL1 Back to Main Slide

17. Species composition Productivity Biomass Dessication (dewatered habitat – e.g., riffles) Species diversity Growth Functional organization Aquatic Insects Species list LOSL1

18. Dragonfly Damselfly Caddisfly Mayfly Beetles Specific functional feeding groups Aquatic Insect Species of Interest LOSL1 Back to Main Slide

19. Productivity Biomass Reproduction Species composition Density Abundance Benthic Invertebrates Species list LOSL1

20. Mussels Snails Crayfish Other small crustaceans Exotic species Benthic Invertebrates of Interest LOSL1 Back to Main Slide

21. Productivity Biomass Species composition Species diversity Size distribution Zooplankton Species list LOSL1

22. Copepods Cladocerans Rotifers Herbivors Carnivors Exotic species Zooplankton of Interest LOSL1 Back to Main Slide

23. Productivity Algal biomass Undesirable species Species composition Species diversity Planktonic/benthic species composition Phytoplankton and Benthic Algae Species list LOSL1

24. Diatoms (attached and planktonic) Filamentous algae (e.g., cladophora) Green algae Blue-green algae Chara species Nitellas species Phytoplankton and Benthic Algae of Interest LOSL1 Back to Main Slide

25. Productivity Biomass Undesirable species Species composition Species diversity Planktonic/benthic species composition Aquatic Macrophytes Species list LOSL1

26. Wild celery Wild rice Sedges Cattails Potamogetons Key wetland species Rushes Exotic species Specific community types Aquatic Macrophytes of Interest LOSL1 Back to Main Slide

27. LOSL1 Back to Main Slide

28. LOSL1 Back to Main Slide