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Chinese Population Model

Chinese Population Model. By: Jennifer, Brennan, and Fred. Large Population in China. 1980: 1 billion 2002: 1.3 billion Goal: 700 million Real Population Graph. Simple Model. Starts 1980 Only Legal Births and Deaths One Child a Family Law According to Case Study. Simple Model.

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Chinese Population Model

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  1. Chinese Population Model By: Jennifer, Brennan, and Fred

  2. Large Population in China • 1980: 1 billion • 2002: 1.3 billion • Goal: 700 million Real Population Graph

  3. Simple Model • Starts 1980 • Only Legal Births and Deaths • One Child a Family Law • According to Case Study

  4. Simple Model

  5. Simple Model Results • Reach Goal < 6 Years • Unrealistic Results • 2.2 Million @ 100 Years

  6. Improved Model Same Factors: • Starts 1980 • Uses Same Legal Death/Birth Rates Adds: • Illegal Births/Deaths/Emigration • Immigration/Emigration

  7. Improved Model

  8. Improved Model Results • Not in a Hundred Years • Verified: Online Research • Validated: 22 Years

  9. Resources • http://www.chineseculture.about.com • http://www.cpirc.org.cn • http://www.pnl.gov/china • http://www.ocdi.gov • Case Study: Harte, J., 1985 Consider a Spherical Cow, William Kaufmann, Inc., Los Altos, California, pp. 216-223.

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