File Name: State of World . ppt Was Previously part of MGTSOCF Based on EC&MOS

1. File Name: State of World . ppt Was Previously part of MGTSOCF.ppt Based on EC&MOS.ppt Version 10 April 2010 EC&MOS.ppt 001

2. The State of the Planet: Ecology and World Management EC&MOS.ppt 010

3. Having looked at the educational system I will now discuss some other reasons why it is vital to: • Better understand and map the networks of social forces which so much determine our behaviour. • Design more effective arrangements to manage our society in the long term public interest. EC&MOS.ppt 010

4. Having looked at the educational system I will now discuss some other Reasons why it is vital to • Better understand and map the networks of social forces which so much determine our behaviour. • Design more effective arrangements to manage our society in the long term public interest. EC&MOS.ppt 010

5. SOCIO-CYBERNETICS EC&MOS.ppt 185

6. AUTOPOIETIC EC&MOS.ppt 187

7. Imminent Disasters: Overview Collapse of Biosphere (Due to CO2, CFCs, destruction of rain forests) Collapse of Food Base (Due to population explosion; destruction of soils, seas, atmosphere) Note problem of “overshoot” Collapse of World Order (Due to treatment of Third World) Collapse of Financial System (Due to the fact that prices no longer mean anything, usurous lending of non-money, inequity in incomes, and irresponsibility of bankers) Collapse of everything (Due to nuclear winter) EC&MOS.ppt 189

8. Biosphere EC&MOS.ppt 010

9. EC&MOS.ppt 010

10. Virtually all graphs of the consumption of resources, the destruction of life, and the destruction of the soils, the seas, and the atmosphere, show similar exponential increases, mostly growing much faster than the “population explosion”. EC&MOS.ppt 191

11. A comprehensive index: Ecological Footprint developed by Bill Rees EC&MOS.ppt 010

12. Holland imports all the fodder which can be produced in a land area five times its size just to feed its cattle. • Overall it imports all the agricultural produce from a land area 17 times its size. • Similar findings apply to the US • But this is not the end of the story. • Because it then has to dispose of its pollutants and the products of production: • It relies on the rain forests to re-cycle its gas emissions. • It relies on the seas to recycle its sewage and vast amounts of dumped waste. • It dumps the products of its nuclear energy programme in 3rd world countries. EC&MOS.ppt 010

13. By bringing together data like these, Bill Rees and others concerned with ecological footprints have shown that: For everyone in the world to live as we live, it would be necessary to have five back-up planets engaged in nothing but agriculture to both provide the direct agricultural products that would be needed and rectify the continuous destruction we wreak on the soils, the seas, and the atmosphere. EC&MOS.ppt 190

14. Population EC&MOS.ppt 010

15. EC&MOS.ppt 010

16. It took slightly more than 200 years – from 1600 to 1804 – for world population to double from 0.25 to 0.50 billion. But then less than 125 years – to 1927 – for it to double again – this time to 1 billion. But then less than 50 years – to 1974 – for it to double again – to 2 billion. And then less than 30 years – to 2005 – for it to double again ..to 4 billion. Even if the acceleration in the rate of increase declines, how can we possibly expect the planet to support the further 4 billion people who will be added over the next 50 years? (Actually, half of them are already here with world population standing at 6 billion.) Even if the birth rate falls the population will increase as a result of increasing longevity. EC&MOS.ppt 010

17. Sustainability Stocktaking Our Way Of Life: General • The West: • Consumes more than three quarters of all the world's metals and energy. • Causes the bulk of the pollution of the soils, seas, and atmosphere. • It accounts for: • Two thirds of all the greenhouse gases • Three quarters of the sulphur and nitrogen oxides that cause acid rain • 90% of the chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) that destroy the ozone layer. • Since the Second World War, the population of the US alone has consumed as many minerals as everyone who lived on the entire planet in all previous generations ./cont. EC&MOS.ppt 193

18. Sustainability Stocktaking Our Way Of Life: General (Cont.) Car manufacture and use are major contributors to this. Yet only 8% of the population of the world have cars. Technological developments might reduce some of the problems, but no technological developments could reduce social consequences: isolation in communities, injury and death on the roads etc.. EC&MOS.ppt 194

19. Note that our oildependency problem is not limited to energy. Oil provides the basis for the fertilisers and pesticides that lie behind the “green revolution” that feeds us. (And modern agriculture also consumes huge amounts of energy via packaging, transportation, and marketing.) But the range of products that depend on oil is huge. Plastics do not merely show up in plastic bottles, polythene bags and packaging. Most of the threads and films of which modern fabrics are composed consist of them. Furniture, building materials, pipes, tyres, cars, and planes are largely composed of them. They provide the basis on which computer circuits are printed, and the boxes in which they are installed. They insulate electrical cables. They form the basis of explosives. And so on ad infinitum. EC&MOS.ppt 010

20. So Figure 2 shows what is likely to happen if we continue to consume increasing quantities of the planet’s natural resources.

22. A collapse of our food supply is inevitable. When this is combined with the effects of the population explosion and “rising expectations”, mass starvation will follow. Even now, 40 million die from hunger and hunger-related diseases each year – equivalent to 300 jumbo jets crashing without survivors every day. EC&MOS.ppt 010

23. In all probability, the collapse of trade as we know it – and therefore our current economic system – will precede mass starvation. EC&MOS.ppt 010

24. Nations will fight, are fighting, to secure supplies of diminishing resources. Starvation, absence of trade, and control of population movements will lead to increasing terrorism by both governments themselves and other “terrorist” organisations. Available knowledge of viruses diseases and recombinant DNA – a product capable of permanently destroying the operation of cells at the most basic level – will be deployed by both groups. Armaments manufacturers will continue, in one way or another, selling to both groups – but more biological weapons will become more generally available. EC&MOS.ppt 010

25. One possible, indeed likely, scenario arising from these conflicts would be a nuclear winter EC&MOS.ppt 010

26. Figure 3 shows what happens if the resource shortage is avoided.

28. Here the only change from Figure 2 is in the rate of usage of natural resources after 1970. In Figure 3, resources are used after 1970 at a rate 75 per cent less than assumed in Figure 2. In other words, the standard of living is sustained with a lower drain on the expendable and irreplaceable resources.

29. But the picture is even less attractive!

30. By not running out of resources, population and capital investment are able to rise until a pollution crisis is created. Pollution then acts directly to reduce birth rate, increase death rate, and depress food production. Population, which, according to this simple model peaks at the year 2030, has thus fallen to one-sixth of its peak within 20 years. This would be a world-wide catastrophe on a scale never before experienced.

31. The problems are inter-related. There is no point in tackling them singly: global warming is associated with greenhouse gasses which are associated with the consumption of fossil fuels … but the production of the machinery that creates them results in untold contamination of the waterways and the seas. We are set on target for a disaster of immense proportions ... especially if one considers the nuclear radiation - nuclear winter - that will be unleashed as we fight over scarce resources. EC&MOS.ppt 192

32. For everyone alive today to live as we do in the West five backup planets engaged in nothing but agriculture would be required. THERE IS THEREFORE NO WAY IN WHICH “THE AMERICAN DREAM” CAN BE REALISED IN OTHER COUNTRIES (SUCH AS CHINA) THAT ARE TRYING TO EMBRACE IT WITHOUT DESTROYING THE PLANET. EC&MOS.ppt 195

33. THE FINANCIAL SITUATION EC&MOS.ppt 010

34. There is money worth 80 times total annual world production circulating round the globe, supposedly to control 1/80th of itself. How does this come about? Creation of money. Show videolink: video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-9050474362583451279 EC&MOS.ppt 196

35. “Saving the Banks” Injection of 11 trillion US dollars. EC&MOS.ppt 010

36. Some Notes 1. The money was created out of thin air by the banks themselves.2. It was then "lent" to governments at a variable rate of interest which, although currently low, is bound to be increased.3. The governments then used it to "rescue" the banks ... ie they paid it back.4. The banks then invested it ... ie they lent it to others at interest ... or paid it out as profits.5. The banks or their shareholders are then using it to buy the assets (eg health services; transport infrastructure; privatised management of local authorities themselves) which governments and local authorities are being forced to sell to repay the "loans" and the interest thereon.6. Taxpayers are being forced to hand over more of their income or, better, sell assets to pay the taxes, to enable governments to "repay" the loan (of fictional money). EC&MOS.ppt 010

37. And that is only the tail end of this mind-blowing trick. Because the "financial crisis" was orchestrated in the first place to create the illusion that there was an imminent likelihood of a melt down in the financial system. EC&MOS.ppt 010

38. This orchestration of crises to secure panic intervention follows procedures explicitly formulated by Milton Friedman to bring about the privatisation of everything and the ownership of the world by those who own the Federal Reserve Bank. While these procedures are legitimised by references to freedom, the “free market”, “development”, and efficiency they are, in fact, designed to do exactly the opposite: The objective is to create a world owned and managed by the few. EC&MOS.ppt 010

39. The first steps toward creating the present “crisis” (AKA “Management Step”) were taken by President Nixon. EC&MOS.ppt 010

40. 1. Unilateral US withdrawal from the Bretton Woods Agreement. • Removal of all links between US dollar and gold or coin, both internationally and internally. Paper money must be accepted as settlement of debts. • Explicit statement that US would not honour international debts. EC&MOS.ppt 010

41. 2. Decrease in fraction of private lending that banks must hold as assets from 11% to 2.5% This led the banks to put pressure on their staff to lend this extra money. Bank staff responded by generating lists of securities which customers could claim to possess and getting their customers to testify that they possessed them. EC&MOS.ppt 010

42. Note the uselessness of “democracy” in this context. The US congress rejected, by an overwhelming majority, the proposal that the Government should go into debt (ie borrow the money) “needed” to “rescue” the banks. But the leaders of the two main political parties got together and agreed to do it anyway. Clearly new arrangements are required to run society in the long term public interest EC&MOS.ppt 010

43. Now look at “Third World Debt” EC&MOS.ppt 010

44. There is, in reality, no “Third World Debt”: No money has been transferred or diverted from any other actual or potential productive activity. The “debt” is entirely fictional, based on money that has been created out of thin air. Thus the true rate of interest is infinite. EC&MOS.ppt 010

45. The “debt” is a fiction – a myth.But it is a very convenient fiction because it offers a legitimisation for subjugation and exploitation. EC&MOS.ppt 010

46. Nor is that the end of the story. Money “lent” to Third World is sucked back with enormous “interest” plus matching capital (to confirm genuine interest!) to purchase consultancies and goods – mainly armaments from the West. The net flow to the West amounts to $40 billion a year. As a result of IMF policies, “Third world” countries are required to run down their public services, sell their nationalised industries, and to export at below cost. The ownership of Third World assets flows to West. EC&MOS.ppt 010

47. As a result of World Bank and IMF policies, Third World countries are routinely forced to: . Sell their nationalised industries and other national assets. . Give loans to the TNCs who purchase them (in the hope of retaining jobs). . Subsidise TNCs' exports. . Move out of manufacturing into the export of basic agricultural and mineral commodities. . Sell these commodities in a buyers market in competition with other countries who have been forced into the same position. . Cut wages and welfare. . Eliminate subsidieswhich benefit the poor. /cont. EC&MOS.ppt 197

48. Third World countries are routinely forced to (Cont.): • . Cut back on the public service needed to manage and oversee their economies. • . Cut back on the regulatory framework which plays such an important part in promoting the well-being of the West. • As if this were not enough, these countries are: • not allowed to purchase the licences and the equipment required to process their agricultural and mineral commodities, and • confronted by all manner of tariff barriers, quotas, “voluntary” agreements, and non-tariff barriers involving irrelevant specifications (which only Western products can meet) when they seek to enter Western markets. EC&MOS.ppt 198

49. To add insult to injury, Western manufacturers: (a)Dump their manufactured products - and especially drugs and pesticides banned in the West in these countries at below cost, thus further forestalling the growth of local industry. (b) Ship components (often only nominally) around the world so that profits are, through the mechanism of transfer pricing, only made in tax havens. (c) Rely on these Third World countries, for a small fee, to dispose of millions of tons of highly poisonous nuclear and chemical waste from pharmaceuticals and other industry. (d) Have exported their labour-intensive, dirty, and most polluting industries to the Third World . EC&MOS.ppt 199

50. These processes increase the disparity between the average incomes of those living in rich and poor countries and between rich and poor within countries. • It follows that the trajectory upon which international "development" has been propelled is now more than a cause for alarm: It can only lead to conflict, terrorism, and genocide. • The Marxist class struggle has, in effect, been internationalised. EC&MOS.ppt 200