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Monthly Market Review “How To Swim With The Sharks” April 19, 2012. Kevin M. Wilson, ChFC , PhD President/CEO/CIO. Dheenu Sivalingam, MBA AVP/CCO/Senior Analyst. Ted A. Pavlovich, WMS VP Wealth Management. Office: 218-464-4399 Toll Free: 877-327-5062 Fax: 218-464-4397
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Monthly Market Review • “How To Swim With The Sharks” April 19, 2012 Kevin M. Wilson, ChFC, PhD President/CEO/CIO Dheenu Sivalingam, MBA AVP/CCO/Senior Analyst Ted A. Pavlovich, WMS VP Wealth Management Office: 218-464-4399 Toll Free: 877-327-5062 Fax: 218-464-4397 Email: info@bluewater-cap.com www.bluewatercapitaladvisors.com 1314 E. Superior Street Suite 2 Duluth, MN 55805 1
Blue water’s move to 1405 medical arts building, 324 w. superior st., duluthmn55802 in may, 2012kevin m. wilson 3
Blue Water’s New Home
Perspective: Market Cycles Within The LT Bear Market 13 years
Relative Valuations & Market History Serve As Guides When Assessing Risk
Our stock picking discipline in briefdheenu v. sivalingam 10
The Seven Immutable Laws of Investing • Always insist on a margin of safety • This time is never different • Be patient and wait for the fat pitch • Be contrarian (market consensus often wrong) • Risk is the permanent loss of capital, never a function of volatility • Be leery of leverage • Never invest in something you don’t understand 11
BWCA Stock Discipline Intrinsic Value: The actual value of a company or an asset based on an underlying perception of its true value including all aspects of the business, in terms of both tangible and intangible factors. This is generally how we pick stocks. 12
Risk/Reward Evaluation is critical determinant of long-term returns 13
This Is Either A Dolphin Singing Or The Dow (Investors Need To Limit The Impact Of Volatility)
Longer Holding Periods May Help Combat Volatility, But There Are Also Dangerous Secular Bear Markets
Over-Bought + Over-Bullish Syndrome Precedes Losses Drawdown S & P 500 Blue = Syndrome
“Helicopter Ben” Approach Will Continue, But Is Ineffective
-Market Sharks (Traders, Speculators) In Control Courtesy of the Fed & ECB -European Crisis, Economic Data, & Earnings May Cause Big Doubts By Summer -We like High Quality, Dividends, And Value Stocks As Foils To Market Volatility -If Market Sells Off, Risk/Reward Will Be VG & Huge Opportunity Awaits Summary & Conclusions KEVIN M. WILSON 22
Disclaimer This report is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any security or commodity and is not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing. Any opinions expressed herein are subject to change at any time without notice. Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, for its accuracy and interpretation are not guaranteed. Investing in securities involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Past performance should not be taken as an indication of guarantee of future performance and no representation, express or implied, is made regarding future performance. The firm does not provide tax advice; clients should contact their attorney, accountant, or other tax adviser regarding tax matters. Blue Water Capital Advisors, LLC is an SEC registered investment advisor. Not FDIC insured. No bank guarantee. May lose value. Not a deposit. Not insured by any federal government agency. Blue Water Capital Advisors, LLC is not affiliated with National Bank of Commerce or NATCOM Bancshares, Inc. 23