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Bi-Monthly Market Review “Comprehensive Investing Strategies in 2014” (Solving Investors’ Dilemmas) March 20 , 2014. Kevin M. Wilson, PhD Chairman/CEO. Ted A. Pavlovich, WMS President/Wealth Mgmt. Advisor. Office: 218-464-4399 Toll Free: 877-327-5062 Fax: 218-464-4397
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Bi-Monthly Market Review • “Comprehensive Investing Strategies in 2014” • (Solving Investors’ Dilemmas) March20, 2014 Kevin M. Wilson, PhD Chairman/CEO Ted A. Pavlovich, WMS President/Wealth Mgmt. Advisor Office: 218-464-4399 Toll Free: 877-327-5062 Fax: 218-464-4397 Email: info@bluewater-cap.com www.bluewatercapitaladvisors.com 1405 Medical Arts Building 324 W. Superior Street Duluth, MN 55802 1
Our new team at bwcaKevin m. Wilson Matt Timpane Bret Gitar Nate Weiland 3
Solving the 401k problem for Clients TED A. PAVLOVICH 4
Some Plans Make All Of The Decisions For You – But What If You Have To Decide?
You May Have Some Choices To Make On What To Own And How Much To Own 2. Allocation 1. Process
Trends Can Last A While, But Then Change Rather Suddenly
We’re Different…. …We Do Our Best To Ring-Fence Your Risk
Peeling the onion on Asset allocation KEVIN M. WILSON 9
Stocks Appear Over-Valued -19 -49 -57 -22 -26 -36 -34 -48
Stock Prices Regress To The Mean S & P 500
Mom. Val. Momentum, Value, L/S, Yield/Carry L/S Y/C Cliff Asness
Alternative Bond & Stock Strategies Can Cut Risk Levels
Revised outlook for 2014 KEVIN M. WILSON 17
But Some Trend Indicators Have Not Yet Peaked (e.g., New Highs-New Lows)
And Other Trend Indicators Have Also Not Yet Peaked (e.g., Cum. Advance-Decline)
There Are Other Factors To Consider: 1) Margin Debt at $453 Billion 2) Insider Selling Is Setting Records 3) IPO’s Are Increasingly Frothy 4) Copper & Iron Ore Prices Falling 5) Profit Margins Very High 6) Share Buybacks Decreasing 7) Cash Inflows Slower Than In 2013
We’re Able To Help With Retirement Plans Our Tactical Segmentation Approach Limits Risk Markets Will Correct Soon, But The Bull Run May Continue 4. Volatility May Return To Markets Summary KEVIN M. WILSON 23
q & a KEVIN M. WILSON TED A. PAVLOVICH 24
Disclaimer This report is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any security or commodity and is not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing. Any opinions expressed herein are subject to change at any time without notice. Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, for its accuracy and interpretation are not guaranteed. Investing in securities involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Past performance should not be taken as an indication of guarantee of future performance and no representation, express or implied, is made regarding future performance. The firm does not provide tax advice; clients should contact their attorney, accountant, or other tax adviser regarding tax matters. “BWCA is a state registered investment adviser in all states in which it is required to be registered. All Blue Water Capital Advisors’ customer assets are held in the customer name with Fidelity Institutional Services, clearing through National Financial Services (NFS), Member SIPC, a Fidelity Investments Company as Qualified Custodian.” 25