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CLIMATE CHANGE ENERGY POLICY TRAVEL DEMAND COORDINATING COMMITTEE FEBRUARY 7, 2008. GHG REDUCTION GOALS. Passed by 2007 Legislature Statewide GHG Reduction from 2005 Levels 15% by 2015 30% by 2025 80% by 2050 MnCCAG Does Not Address 2050 Must be Solved by Technology Advances.
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CLIMATE CHANGE ENERGY POLICYTRAVEL DEMAND COORDINATING COMMITTEEFEBRUARY 7, 2008
GHG REDUCTION GOALS • Passed by 2007 Legislature • Statewide GHG Reduction from 2005 Levels • 15% by 2015 • 30% by 2025 • 80% by 2050 • MnCCAG Does Not Address 2050 • Must be Solved by Technology Advances
POLICY REPORTS DUEFebruary 2008 • Mn Climate Change Advisory Group (MnCCAG) Final Meeting 1/24/08 • U of M CTS Transportation Greenhouse Gas Reduction Study – Draft February 08 • Governors Report to Legislature • Submitted 2/1/08 • Based upon MnCCAG process • Not the MnCCAG Final Report
MN Climate Change Advisory Group (MnCCAG) • Technical Work Groups • Residential, Commercial & Industrial (RCI) • Energy Supply (ES) • Transportation & Land Use (TLU) • Agriculture, Forestry & Waste (AFW) • Cross Cutting Issues (CC) • Cap & Trade • Priority Policy options - MnCCAG Voting
TRANSPORTATION & LAND USEArea 1 Reduce VMT • TLU-1 Improved Land Use & Development • TLU-2 Expand Transit Infrastructure • TLU-5 Climate Friendly Pricing • TLU-7 Fix It First Investment Policy • TLU-9 Workplace Tools for TDM • TLU 14 Freight Mode Shifts • Bold Directly Affects Mn/DOT
TRANSPORTATION & LAND USEArea 2 Reduce Carbon / Unit of Fuel • TLU-3 Low GHG Fuel Standard • Mandate Reduction in Carbon Intensity of Fuel • 10% Less by 2020: 15% Less by 2025 • E20 & more E85 • B5 to B10 to B20 • Electric Vehicles • AFW -7 in-State Liquid Biofuels • Biodiesel & Cellulosic Ethanol
TRANSPORTATION & LAND USEArea 3 Reduce Carbon/Mile & or /Hr • TLU-4 Infrastructure Management • TLU-6 Adopt CA Clean Car Standards* • TLU-11 Heavy Duty Idle Reduction • TLU-12 Fleet Emissions Reduction • TLU-13 Reduce Speed Limits* • *Serious Opposition within MnCCAG
TLU 1 Improved Land Use Planning/Development GOAL OPTIONS • Reduce 2025 VMT to 1990 VMT Levels • Reduce 2025 VMT to 1990 Per Capita VMT levels MECHANISM • Various compact development mandates or incentives
AGENCY PLAN • Voluntary Approach to VMT Reduction Ask Public to Drive Less
TLU 2 Expand Transit, Bike, Ped Infrastructure • Met Council 2030 Plan by 2020 • Improve Transit: Regional Centers & TC • Increase Bike & Ped Infrastructure in CitieS • Agency Plan • Increase Transit, Bike & Ped where Cost Effective • Balance investment between Metro & Greater MN
TLU 5 Climate Friendly Transportation Pricing • Implement Pay As You Drive Insurance (PAYD) • Agency Plan
TLU 7 “Fix It First” Investment Policy & Practice GOAL Legislative Mandated Funding Priorities • Maintenance/Preservation • Expansion ONLY to serve Compact Development
TLU 7 “Fix It First” Investment Policy & Practice • Recommend Support w Modifications • Investment Priorities • Preservation/Maintenance • Safety Improvement • Management, which includes low cost targeted bottleneck removal (i.e. TH100, I-94@3M, etc) • All Capacity Expansion Projects To Be Identified by Legislature and Funded with Non- Dedicated Dollars
TLU 14 Freight Mode Shifts Goals • Increase Rail Capacity in MN (bottleneck removal) • Prevent Modal Shift of Freight from Rail to Truck Implementation • Incentives to Join EPA SmartWay Transportation Partnerships • Incentives to Increase Freight on Trucks with Emissions Reduction
TLU-3 Low GHG Fuel Standard • Only Indirectly Affects Mn/DOT • More ethanol use will increase gallons used • (due to less energy/gallon) • Positive impact on gas tax revenue • Cellulosic Ethanol and/or Biomass Use for Energy Supply will allow R/W Vegetation Harvest as Revenue Generator
TLU-4 Infrastructure Management • Manage to Reduce Congestion – Invest In • Traffic Signal Synchronization • Traffic Signal Pre-emption for Buses • Improved Incident Management • ITS Real Time Traffic Information • More Roundabouts • State of Art Parking Strategies • Expand HOT Lanes – Profit to Transit • Manage to Accommodate All Modes • Adopt Complete Streets Policy • Cities required to adopt Bike/Ped Plans • Street Connectivity Policies for Municipalities
TLU-4 Infrastructure Management Recommend Support w Modifications • Delete Bus Traffic Signal Pre-emption • HOT profits reinvested in Infrastructure Management (not Transit) • Add Targeted, Low Cost Bottleneck Removal as Management Tool • Complete Streets Policy Applies Only to Local Roads and Collectors (?) in MSA Cities – with City Opt Out Clause • City Bike/Ped Plans Advisory not Mandatory
TLU-11 Heavy Duty Idle Reduction • Truck Stop Electrification • Mn/DOT to Study Feasibility of Installing and Maintaining Electrification and Climate Control Units at Mn/Dot Rest Areas and Truck Stops • Recommend Support for Rest Area Study • Oppose Mn/DOT Study of Private Truck Stops
TLU-13 Reduce Speed Limits • Urban Interstates from 65mph to 55mph • Rural Interstates from 70mph to 60mph • Would Require Increased Enforcement • Changed by 2008 Legislature for 1/1/09 Implementation • Not in Agency Plan
CC–3 State Agencies Lead the Way • State Owned Fleets reduce GHG emissions by 25% • Required Mn/DOT Fleet Turnover will require 300-400% Equipment Budget Increase • RCI Energy Efficient Building Codes will Increase Capital Costs
VMT PROJECTIONS • Old projections, Used by MnCCAG, overestimated VMT Growth • Recent Data Shows 2004-7 VMT is Essentially Flat • OTDA & Met Council Revised Projections in Light of New Data • Controversial – Results in 18% VMT in 2025 • Star Tribune Story Last Week
CONCLUSIONS • Can Meet Goals Only with Serious Effort • Will be costly • Transportation may not cut its share • Mn Ahead of Most States (Next Gen Energy) • 2050 Goal Will Take Fundamental Technology Advances in Energy Production • Will need to Manage Transition to New Tech • Economic & Environmental Justice Issues will Need to be Addressed