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Building a Business Case for CNS/ATM Implementation in the ASECNA Region of Africa. World-Wide CNS/ATM Systems Implementation Conference May, 1998 Presented by Dr. Upali Wickrama Chief, Forecasting and Economic Planning, ICAO. ASECNA Background. Stakeholder Relationship. ASECNA
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Building a Business Case for CNS/ATM Implementation in the ASECNA Region of Africa World-Wide CNS/ATM Systems Implementation Conference May, 1998 Presented by Dr. Upali Wickrama Chief, Forecasting and Economic Planning, ICAO
ASECNA Background Stakeholder Relationship ASECNA Current Capabilities ASECNA Future Plans ASECNA Business Case
ASECNAGeneral Information • 16 Member states • 16 million sq. km of area • 25 Major international airports • 160,000 Flights • 5 Millions passengers • 5,000 Staff • 100 Airports (regional & domestic
Economic Viability Provider/User • State • Sub-regional • Regional Cost/ Benefit Business Cases Financial Community Implementation Plan
Financial Institution Airspace Users Major Stakeholders ATC Service Providers Other A/C manufacturers ATM Equipment supplies Major Stakeholders
ASECNA Future Plans • Capital Investment Plan for (1999 -2005) for CNS/ATM • Modernization
ASECNA Business Case • Communications • Additional VSAT, VHF Voice/Data Link, ATN • Navigation • WAAS/EGNOS, LAAS at 24 airports CNS/ATM Modernization (Ground Side by ASECNA)
ASECNA Business Case • Surveillance • Two en route SSR, ADS • ATM • Automation related to CNS modernization
ASECNA Business Case • Communications Avionics • VDL/TDMA, CPDLC • Navigation Avionics • WAAS/LAAS • Surveillance Avionics • ADS CNS/ATM Modernization (Avionics by Airlines)
Implementation period: Cost of capital: Life cycle: User charges: Fee added to the cost: Satellite lease costs: 1999 - 2004 7 per cent 15 years To resume in 2005 10 per cent 0.45/kilobit Key Assumptions
Key Assumptions (cont.) • Traffic growth rate: • Movement and Flight hours • Rate of return: • No cost savings assumed for decommissioning: • 5 % • 3.5 % • 10% • -
Expenses Business Case Results for Service Provider (ASECNA)
ASECNA Cash-flowProfile Business Case Revenue (User fees) Revenue (Less Operating Expenses) Equipment Investment Pay-out Period
Expenses Business Case Results for Service User (Airlines)
Business Case Airlines Cash-flow Profile Revenues Revenues (Less Operating Expenses) Equipment Investment Pay-out period
Risks • Exchange rates • Schedule • Traffic growth • Rate of return • Efficiency rates
Conclusion • Methodology enhanced beyond cost-benefit to develop Business Cases • This assessment may require updating after consultation with ASECNA, IATA & Financial Institutions • Once the Business Cases are co-ordinated, an integrated Financial Plan can be established
Conclusion (cont.) • Investment for some components are substantial for both service provider & user • Multinational planning & co-ordination among various States, sub-regions & regions are essential in order to minimize costs, ensure compatibility and avoid duplication of effort, for the efficient implementation of the system