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They are online with their social networks. Theme. Social networks will be like air. Components of social networks. Profile Relationships Activities Business model. Universal identity A single social graph Social context for activities Social influence defines marketing value.
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Theme Social networks will be like air.
Components of social networks Profile Relationships Activities Business model Universal identity A single social graph Social context for activities Social influence defines marketing value
Universal identity cli@forrester.com me@charleneli.com Mobile number
Universal identity foundations • Federation (OpenID approach) • A few major players will serve as major federation focal points • Yahoo!, Microsoft, Google, Plaxo, etc. • All players must realize that they can grow the market faster/better by working together • Data Portability Group is the beginning
Bill of Rights for Users of the Social Web “We publicly assert that all users of the social web are entitled to certain fundamental rights, specifically: • Ownership of their own personal information, including: • their own profile data • the list of people they are connected to • the activity stream of content they create; • Control of whether and how such personal information is shared with others; and • Freedom to grant persistent access to their personal information to trusted external sites.” - Authored by Joseph Smarr, Marc Canter, Robert Scoble, and Michael Arrington http://blog.broadbandmechanics.com/2007/09/a-bill-of-rights-for-users-of-the-social-web
My Facebook social graph Missing Colleagues Parents Extended family School parents Neighbors Babysitter Walking group
Relationships today are explicit – and a pain LinkedIn Twitter Facebook Plaxo
New “entrants” will challenge the incumbents Millions of regular users Search & deep content Ad and content networks Relationship maps
But it would be more helpful on Amazon “See friends’ reviews”
How Yahoo! could incorporate social networks Search based on what my friends finds relevant Elevate stories tagged by friends – anywhere See which of my friends owns a Focus – and what they think of it Compare daily portfolio performance to friends’
Endorsement value depends on your network • Your authority on the specific topic • Your network’s interest and authority on the topic • The trust level among your network on the topic
The future business model for social networks • Marketers will pay to reach and influence valuable • Each person will have their own “personal CPM”* • Social networks will compete to have the best experience for high-influence individuals * From Marian Salzman, JWT
Evolution of open platforms Ubiquitous social networks Walled garden services Search freedom 1993 1999 2003 2008-9 2013 Data portability Portal aggregators
Recommendations • Create linkages between services based on individually-controlled identity federation • Compete on creating the most compelling social experience, not social graph lock-in • Develop social applications that have meaning • Integrate social networks into existing activities • Design business models that reflect the value created by people’s social networks
Thank you Charlene Li +1 650.581.3833 cli@forrester.com www.forrester.com groundswell.forrester.com