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Wealth Effects on Unit Holders Following Property Company and A-REIT Rights Issues. Bill Dimovski Deakin University Australia. What are Rights Issues?. Renounceable Non-Renounceable. So how important is Australia?. WFE ranks ASX as 11 th largest in world
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Wealth Effects on Unit Holders Following Property Company and A-REIT Rights Issues Bill Dimovski Deakin University Australia
What are Rights Issues? Renounceable Non-Renounceable
So how important is Australia? • WFE ranks ASX as 11th largest in world • Third largest in raising IPO and SEO capital in 2009 • Raised over 11% of SEO capital raised by 52 member exchanges • A-entities raised A$60 billion in equity capital in 2008 (A-REITs raised nearly $10 billion in 2008 and 2009)
So how important are A-REITs? • Own over A$200 billion in assets • 6% of the ASX • 14% of the global REIT cap • Major institutions and pension funds are investors (Westfield - institutions own 66%) • Raised over A$22 billion by rights issue during 2001-9 (3 times that raised by IPO during the same period.
Past Literature • Underwriting costs as % of proceeds – SEO or rights offerings not REITs • Smith (1977), US 71-75, 3.6% • Lee et al (1996) US 90-94, 5.44% • Corwin (2003) US 80-98, 5.32% • Armitage (2000), UK 85-96 1.53% • Martin-Ugedo (2003), Spain 89-97 2.0% • Bairaji and Dimovski (2011), REITs US , 1996-2010 4.2%, • Dimovski (2011) REITs Aus 2.9% • Discount • Balachandran et al. (2008), Australia 95-05 around 18%, Owen and Suchard (2008), Australia 93-01, around 19%. • Armitage (2000) UK 21% • Smith (1977) US 8% • REITs - Ghosh, Nag Sirmans (2000) 1.14%, Goodwin PhD2008 – 1.77% • Dimovski (2011) REITs Aus 9.5%
Aim • This paper investigates characteristics of rights offerings by A-REITs and Listed Property Companies during Jan 2001-June 2009 to see if subscribers increased wealth • Includes a comparison of the share price following the issue to the theoretical ex-rights share price • Example – a security holder has 1000 securities at $10 each prior to rights issue; 1 for 1 rights offer at a subscription price of $9. The holder now has 2000 securities totalling $19000 • Theoretical share price $19000/2000 = $9.50
Data • The sample period is from 2001-June 2009 • The databases used are FinAnalysis and SNL which allow data to be downloaded from ASX • Over A$22 billion raised • 71 observations, 62 A-REITs, 65 underwritten, 11 offered renounceable rights • Only 28 of the 71 showed > than theoretical ex-rights share price – all A-REITs
Other Summary Stats • Ave percwealth – -2% (median -2%) • Ave positwealth– 39% (median 0%) • Ave proceeds - A$314m (median 126m) • Ave held by top 20 s/holders – 66% • Post2007 – 30% (21 in number) after August 2007 • Mktsenti – -2 /100th of 1% • Discount – 10.2% (median 9%) • Ave %uwritten – 86% • Pplacealso– 38%
Models OLS and Logit
Results • Table 2 – all 71 observations • Higher perc underwritten, higher percwealth (OLS) and higher chance of positwealth (Logit) • Tables 3 and 4 (no outliers) – A-REITs • Those rights issues after Aug 2007 – more chance of wealth for subscribers. • Also lower disc and higher perc uwritten, higher chance of wealth
Conclusion • The GFC has been a different period for property entities for rights offerings • The need for new equity by REITs + Prop Cos has allowed subscribers to be more likely to increase their wealth by subscribing. • The PercUwritten variable is interesting – more underwritten, more likely subscribers increase their wealth. • More highly discounted offerings, less likely subscribers increased their wealth.