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TOWARDS MORE EFFECTIVE SERVICE MANAGEMENT DECISION MAKING: DESIGN AND APPLICATION OF AN OPTIMIZATION FRAMEWORK IN A FRONTLINE EMPLOYEE MANAGEMENT CONTEXT. PROF. DR. SANDRA STREUKENS HASSELT UNIVERSITY FACULTY OF APPLIED ECONOMICS DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS STUDIES. OUTLINE. INTRODUCTION
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TOWARDS MORE EFFECTIVE SERVICE MANAGEMENT DECISION MAKING:DESIGN AND APPLICATION OF AN OPTIMIZATION FRAMEWORK IN A FRONTLINE EMPLOYEE MANAGEMENT CONTEXT PROF. DR. SANDRA STREUKENS HASSELT UNIVERSITY FACULTY OF APPLIED ECONOMICS DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS STUDIES
OUTLINE • INTRODUCTION • A primer in services marketing • What we do (not) know • Research objective • Importance of this study • MODEL DEVELOPMENT • Overview of conceptual model • Model development • Estimation and calibration of the decision-making model • Estimation of the behavioral model • Example application • DISCUSSION • Implications • Limitations and further research
INTRODUCTIONA primer in services marketing • “Services are processes” (van Looy et al. 2003) • Pure services – services accompanying goods/products • Flight on an airplane • Consulting with an accountant • Haircut • Attending a university • Training for a new manufacturing system • Service delivery involves a game between people (employee-customer interaction) • In services the service employee plays a crucial role
INTRODUCTIONWhat do we know • The key to an effective service organization starts with managing employees’ perceptions regarding their own organization (Schneider and Bowen, 1993; Rogg et al. 2001) • More specifically, ample empirical evidence for the positive relationships between employee perceptions, customer evaluative judgments, and financial performance (de Jong et al. 2004a; Schneider et al. 1998; Kamakura et al. 2002)
INTRODUCTION What we do not know • Despite the large body of knowledge regarding service management, there are hardly any practical decision making models that make use of this research. • One the other hand, OR scholars call for the development of service decision making models that infuse behavioral data in their (so far) purely mathematical model (Bretthauer, 2004; Boudreau et al. 2003).
INTRODUCTIONResearch objective To develop and demonstrate a practical and versatile decision-making tool that assists managers in evaluating and optimizing service improvement initiatives in an economically justified, yet behavioral oriented manner. More generally, the aim is to design a decision-making tool that assists managers in evaluating and optimizing decisions regarding “soft measures” (perceptions) using “hard modeling”.
INTRODUCTIONImportance of this study • We live in a service economy Currently, services make up approx. 75 % of the GDP in Belgium and of all workers approx. 70 % works in the service sector. • Service managers should be increasingly results oriented (1) slow growth mature markets (2) increasing (inter)national competition. • Customers become an increasingly scarce resource being pursued by an increasing number of service providers
INTRODUCTIONImportance of this study CONTRIBUTION TO THE ACADEMIC LITERATURE
MODEL DEVELOPMENTConceptual model AT A MACRO LEVEL
MODEL DEVELOPMENTConceptual model AT A MICRO LEVEL
MODEL DEVELOPMENTModeling revenues – A behavioral approach MODELING REVENUES – A BEHAVIORAL APPROACH
MODEL DEVELOPMENTModeling Revenues – A Behavioral Approach GENERAL • Behavioral approach is rooted in the SPC literature • Operations researchers call for the infusion of perceptual data in decision making • Employee – Customer – Revenues Chain • A key role for employee well-being climate, service climate, and customer evaluative judgments • The effects of the behavioral approach on investment profitability is reflected by link 1 in the conceptual model CUSTOMER EVALUATIVE JUDGMENTS • Customer evaluative judgments are predictors of financial performance (Kamakura et al. 2002) • Pivotal constructs here are perceived quality, customer satisfaction, and behavioral intent (Cronin et al. 2002)
MODEL DEVELOPMENTModeling revenues – A behavioral approach SERVICE CLIMATE • One of the most relevant contributors in the forming favorable customer evaluative judgments (de Jong et al. 2004a) EMPLOYEE CLIMATE • Employee climate is a key determinant of service climate (Parker, 1999) • Dimensions: rewards orientation, means emphasis, goal emphasis, management support, workgroup support, and interdepartment service (Burke et al. 1992; Schneider et al. 1998) • Generalizable across settings (Kopelman et al. 1990) • Can be effectively influenced by targeted investments (Harter et al. 2002) An overview of the literature underlying these links is available upon request
MODEL DEVELOPMENTModeling revenues – A behavioral approach THE REVENUES FUNCTION • Using the approach developed by Streukens and de Ruyter (2004) we conclude that all relationships in our behavioral model are linear • Hence, revenues vary as a linear function of changes in employee well-being dimensions and can be compactly expressed as:
MODEL DEVELOPMENTModeling revenues – A behavioral approach PARAMETERS REVENUE FUNCTION
MODEL DEVELOPMENTModeling effort – (In)direct effects MODELING EFFORT – (IN)DIRECT EFFECTS
MODEL DEVELOPMENTModeling effort – (In)direct effects INVESTMENT EFFORT AND PROFITABILITY • A positive indirect effect (i.e. link 2 in conceptual model) • A negative direct effect (i.e. link 3 in conceptual model) INDIRECT EFFECT • Investment effort employee perceptions customer perceptions revenues profitability (all positive relationships) DIRECT EFFECT • Profits = Revenues – Investment effort
MODEL DEVELOPMENTModeling effort – Indirect effects • Modeling the effect between investment effort and level of input variables • Decision calculus approach • ADBUDG-model developed by Little (1970) • ABDUDG is “simple, robust, easy to control, adaptive, as complete as possible, and easy to communicate with” (Little, 1970 p.466) • ABDUDG adheres to Blattberg and Deighton’s (1990) 50%-50% rule
MODEL DEVELOPMENTModeling Effort – Indirect effects THE ADBUDG MODEL
MODEL DEVELOPMENTModeling effort – Direct effects • Requires an estimate of the total investment effort • As refers to the monetary investment regarding input variable the total direct investment effort equals • The term is the investment effort needed to maintain the current level of the various input variables • To capture the direct effect of investment effort in our approach the total investment effort needs to subtracted from revenues (i.e., link 3)
MODEL DEVELOPMENTProfit function PROFIT FUNCTION PROFIT OPTIMIZATION • Profit optimization crucial decision making theme in services (Zeithaml 2000). • The above profit function will serve as an objective function is an optimization framework. • Optimization of the profit function is subject to several constraints.
MODEL DEVELOPMENTProfit function CONSTRAINT 1 Total investment effort cannot exceed a pre-set budget or spending limit (Budget constraint) CONSTRAINT 2 Non-negativity constraint investment effort
MODEL DEVELOPMENT Profit function CONSTRAINT 3 Relationship between investment effort and the input variables CONSTRAINT 4 The level of input variable after implementation of the investment strategy should be at least equal to its starting level
MODEL DEVELOPMENTOverview OVERVIEW DECISION MAKING APPROACH
MODEL DEVELOPMENTEstimation behavioral model EMPIRICAL STUDY • Estimation revenue formation process (i.e. employee-customer-revenues chain) • Actual data on employee perceptions, customer evaluative judgments, and revenues Please note that all scale items used in this study are available upon request!
MODEL DEVELOPMENTEstimation behavioral model SAMPLING • Employees and business customers from an internationally operating firm in office equipment. • Census of 250 employees in 28 teams (on average n=8 per team). Effective sample size n = 169. • Random selection of 1500 customers meeting the following criteria (1) active in retail setting; (2) at least 24 month customer; (3) at least two times contact with service employees during last 12 months. Effective sample size n = 499. (Min. 5 customers / team; Max. 38 customers / team).
MODEL DEVELOPMENTEstimation behavioral model EMPLOYEE SURVEY • Despite the fact that researchers agree upon the positive relationship between employee climate and service climate, there exists no measurement scale for employee climate (Parker, 1999). • Careful investigation of the theoretical contents of the employee climate constructs (work of Burke et al. 1992; Schneider et al. 1998). Find existing validated scales that cover the contents of the constructs
MODEL DEVELOPMENTEstimation behavioral model EMPLOYEE SURVEY • Rewards orientation (4 items), Boshoff and Allen (2000). • Means emphasis (4 items), Iverson (1992) • Goal emphasis (4 items), Sawyer (1992) • Management support (7 items), House and Dessler (1974) • Work group support (7 items), Beehr (1976) • Interdepartment service (5 items), adapted from Schneider et al. (1998) • Service climate (8 items), Schneider et al. (1998) All constructs measured on a 9-point Likert scale
MODEL DEVELOPMENTEstimation behavioral model CUSTOMER SURVEY • Perceived quality (9 items), self designed cf. Rust et al. (1995) • Overall satisfaction (1 item), Anderson et al. (1997) • Behavioral intent (2 items), Zeithaml et al. (1996) All constructs measured on a 9-point Likert scale FINANCIAL DATA • Internal company records on each customer’s sales history (i.e. revenues). Data covering a 12 months period after the questionnaires were sent out. DATA LINKAGE • Employee perceptual data , customer perceptual data, and customer financial data were linked by means of the customer’s unique client number. Providing client number on questionnaire = incentive.
MODEL DEVELOPMENTEstimation behavioral model ASSESSMENT PSYCHOMETRIC PROPERTIES • Partial Least Squares (PLS) estimation • For the employee data the 1-to-10 parameter to sample size ratio was not met (cf. Raykou and Widaman, 1995; Bentler and Chou, 1987). • Both reflective and formative were employed in our study. UNIDIMENSIONALITY • First eigenvalue greater than 1 criterion (cf. Tenenhaus et al. 2005) • All reflective scales met this criterion INTERNAL CONSISTENCY RELIABILITY • For all reflective constructs ρ > 0.70 (cf. Nunnally and Bernstein, 1994)
MODEL DEVELOPMENTEstimation behavioral model CONVERGENT VALIDITY • Tested for all reflective scales • All loadings significant and > 0.50 (cf. Anderson and Gerbing, 1988) • All average variance extracted value > 0.50 CONTENT VALIDITY • Key validity type for formative scales • Scale designed to cover all relevant aspects of the construct (cf. Jarvis et al., 2003) • Magnitude and significance of the loadings defining the formative relationships evidence relevance of the indicators (cf. Diamantopoulos and Winklhofer, 2001)
MODEL DEVELOPMENTEstimation behavioral model DISCRIMINANT VALIDITY • Correlations between construct pairs did not include an absolute value of 1 in their 95% confidence intervals (both reflective and formative scales). • Average variance extracted > squared value correlation coefficient (only for reflective scales).
MODEL DEVELOPMENTEstimation behavioral model COMPLEX DATA STRUCTURE • Employee part: employees nested within teams • Linkage part: customers are nested within teams • Customer part: between-person structure RESULTING ANALYSIS STRATEGY • Employee part: 2-level HLM (cf. de Jong et al., 2004a & b) • Linkage part: 3-level HLM (cf. de Jong et al., 2004a & b) • Customer part: SUR ANALYTICAL SOFTWARE • HLM models estimated in Mlwim • SUR model estimated using SAS PROC SYSLIN
MODEL DEVELOPMENTEstimation behavioral model ASSESSING THE DATA’S SUITABILITY FOR HLM • Interrater-agreement r(WG) (cf. James et al., 1993) • Intra Class Correlation ICC(1) and ICC(2) (cf. Bliese, 2000) • All three measures provide justification for aggregation of the data
MODEL DEVELOPMENTEstimation behavioral model 2-LEVEL HLM EMPLOYEE PART
MODEL DEVELOPMENTEstimation behavioral model 3-LEVEL HLM LINKAGE PART • Level 1: perceived service quality (m = qual01 – qual09) • Level 2: individual customer (i = 1 – 499) • Level 3: team which serves customer (j = 1-28)
MODEL DEVELOPMENTEstimation behavioral model SUR MODEL CUSTOMER PART
MODEL DEVELOPMENTResults behavioral model EMPLOYEE PART • At the individual level “rewards orientation” (b= 0.23); “goal emphasis” (b = 0.13); “management support” (b = 0.23); “work group support” (b = 0.10); and “interdepartment service” (b = 0.20) have significant impact on service climate. • At the group level none of the hypothesized antecedents has a significant impact on service climate LINKAGE PART • Service climate has a positive and significant impact on all quality dimensions (“qual01” (b = 0.90); “qual02” (b = 0.74); “qual03” (b = 0.76); “qual04” (b = 0.57);“qual05” (b = 0.39); “qual06” (b = 0.36); “qual07” (b = 0.40); “qual08” (b = 0.42); “qual09” (b = 0.50))
MODEL DEVELOPMENTResults behavioral model CUSTOMER PART • “Perceived quality” has a positive and significant impact on “overall satisfaction” (b = 0.73) • “Behavioral intentions” is positively and significantly influenced by “perceived quality” (b = 0.19) and “overall satisfaction” (b = 0.51) • “Behavioral intentions” has a positive and significant impact on “revenues” (b = 1092.80) OVERALL • We find empirical support for an employee-customer-revenues chain of effects • Using these empirical results we can determine how much revenues vary as a function of changes in the employee climate perceptions • We have insight in the revenue part of our decision making model (i.e. link 1)
SERVICE MANAGEMENT DECISION MAKINGExample application EXAMPLE ILLUSTRATION OF DECISION MAKING MODEL • An exact description of the investment actions and the involved costs and profits were not allowed to be made public by the company at which we collected data. • Hence, fictive numbers are used demonstrating the decision making model (i.e. regarding link 2 and link 3) • This is no problem, as in contrast to the empirical study described above the figures on the investment actions are completely company specific and do not allow for making generalization to other settings.
SERVICE MANAGEMENT DECISION MAKINGExample application DECISION MAKING MODEL • Determining optimal level investment effort • Calculation rate of return (ROI) • Determining optimal allocation of the investment efforts • Assessing the robustness of the optimal solution (risk)
SERVICE MANAGEMENT DECISION MAKINGExample application INVESTMENT STRATEGY • Emphasis on revenues expansion rather than cost reduction (cf. Rust et al. 2000). • In line with the customization-standardization trade-off explained by Anderson et al. 1997) • The literature shows that revenue expansion, customization, and satisfaction are related • Focus on defensive strategy (cf. Fornell and Wernerfelt 1987, 1988) • Thus, maximize profitability through increasing revenues from existing customers
SERVICE MANAGEMENT DECISION MAKINGExample application OPTIMIZATION FRAMEWORK: REVENUE FUNCTION • Parameters δi and y(0)ifollow directly from the empirical study δ1(ROR) = 436.74 ; δ2(GEMP) = 246.86; δ3(MSUP) = 436.74; δ4(WGS) = 189.89; δ5(IDS) = 379.78 y(0)1(ROR) = 5.60 ; y(0)2(GEMP) = 5.12; y(0)3(MSUP) = 5.10; y(0)4(WGS) = 5.68; y(0)5(IDS) = 3.97 • The value for parameter yi is determined via the ADBUDG function • N = 10,000
β1 y1 q1 β6 β2 rev β5 β3 y2 q2 β7 β4 SERVICE MANAGEMENT DECISION MAKINGExample application OPTIMIZATION FRAMEWORK: REVENUE FUNCTION • Some background info on calculating the δi parameter • Assume the following (a-cyclical) model • The impact of variable yi on rev (i.e., δi) is the sum of all paths connecting yi and rev • Thus, Δ1 = (β1* β6)+(β1* β5* β7)+(β2 * β7) and Δ2 = (β3*β6)+(β3* β5* β7)+(β4 * β7)
SERVICE MANAGEMENT DECISION MAKINGExample application OPTIMIZATION FRAMEWORK: COST FUNCTION • Calibration by means of the 4 standard ADBUDG questions • If effort is reduced to 0 what will than be the evaluation regarding the input variable? This provides the value for parameter ai. The value of ai is typically the lowest value of the scale used to assess the perceptions regarding . In this case 1.
SERVICE MANAGEMENT DECISION MAKINGExample application OPTIMIZATION FRAMEWORK: COST FUNCTION • If effort approaches infinity what will be the value of the input variable? This answer provides the value for parameter bi. The value of bi is typically the highest value of the scale used to assess the perceptions regarding . In this case 9. • Regarding input variable i; what is the current level of effort and to what evaluation does that lead? • If compared to the current situation effort is doubled to what level of input variable would that lead? Questions 1 and 2 restrict function to meaningful range Questions 3 and 4 determine shape of the function (S-shaped or concave)
SERVICE MANAGEMENT DECISION MAKINGExample Application OPTIMIZATION FRAMEWORK: COST FUNCTION • Having calibrated the ADBUDG functions for the various input variables (ROR, GEMP, MSUP, WGD, and IDS) automatically provides all input for the total level of investment effort (i.e., direct effect or link 3) METHODOLOGY • Solving the optimization framework • Non-linear programming using AIMMS
SERVICE MANAGEMENT DECISION MAKINGExample application OPTIMIZATION ANALYSIS • Investments remain feasible when the derivative of the objective function is positive • Optimum of objective function is reached when its derivative is equal to zero • Optimum of objective function is maximum level profitability • Derivative profit function
SERVICE MANAGEMENT DECISION MAKINGExample application RATE OF RETURN OPTIMAL SOLUTION • Investment effort = $ 23,000,000 • Profits = $ 7,298,500 • Rate of return = 31.71 %