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SINGAPORE Path to Development. Prof. Stephen Lawrence Leeds School of Business University of Colorado. Singapore Skyline. Southeast Asia. Malaysian Peninsula. http://www.fsas.upm.edu.my/~masdec/web/straits.html. Singapore Island. Singapore Today. Population – 4.5 million
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SINGAPOREPath to Development Prof. Stephen LawrenceLeeds School of BusinessUniversity of Colorado
Malaysian Peninsula http://www.fsas.upm.edu.my/~masdec/web/straits.html
Singapore Today • Population – 4.5 million • Fertility rate of 1.07 children (3rd lowest in world) • Gov’t planning growth to 6.5 million by 2020 • Size – 270 sq. miles (704 km2) • World’s second most dense country • Ethnic background of population • Chinese (75%), Malay (14%), Indians (9%) • Official languages • English, Mandarin, Malay, Tamil
Early History • Second Century AD – First evidence of human settlement • Became an important trading post • Sumatran Srivijaya empire 1000-1400 • Called “Temasek” • Declined after 1400 • Sacked in 1613 by Portuguese • Reverted to a fishing village with few inhabitants until 1819
History from 1819 • 1819 – Britain established a trading post on Singapore Island • Sir Thomas Raffles, East India Company • Free port (no tariffs) – largely entrepôt port • Spices, rubber, palm oil; goods from China, Indonesia, Malaya • Quickly become an important trading port in SE Asia • Principal British presence in SE Asia
Boat Quay 1929 and Today
World War II • British believed in “Fortress Singapore” • Japanese invaded Malaysia on 8-Dec-41 • Leap-frogged down Malay Penisula • Light tanks and bicycle infantry • Singapore surrendered on 14-Feb-42 • Harsh 3½ year Japanese occupation • 5-25,000 Chinese Singaporean’s executed • Japanese surrendered on 15-Aug-45 • British returned to Singapore on 9-Sep-45
Post-WWII Events • 1955 – Partial internal self-government • Increasing social unrest, anti-colonial feelings • Hock Lee bus works strike and riots (1955) • Chinese Middle School riots (1956) • 1959 – Full internal self-government • People’s Action Party (PAP) sweeps elections to Legislative Assembly (41 of 53 seats) • Lee Kwan Yew becomes Prime Minister
PAP Initiatives (early 1960’s) • Trade unions consolidated into one • National Trades Union Congress (NTUC) • Strong government oversight • Education system revamped • Create a skilled workforce • English chosen as language of instruction • High-rise low-cost housing blocks • 25,000 apartments in first 2 years
Per Capita GNP Growth http://www.pacificbridge.com/publication.asp?id=8
GDP per Capita (2005) Singapore is 23rd ($26,836) World GDP 2005 – Top 20 Nations http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nominal)_per_capita
Ranking Singapore http://www.sedb.com/edb/sg/en_uk/index/why_singapore/singapore_rankings.html
Economic Strategy 1819-1950’s • Regional entrepôt • Natural, deep harbor, • Strategic location between SE Asia and Europe • Free-port policy • Imported European manufactures to region • Exported regional commodities to Europe • Ancillary storage and warehousing, shipping, and banking services.
Economic Strategy 1960-80’s • 1960’s – Focus on low-cost manufacturing • 1970’s – Focus on labor skills & technology • Machine tools, petrochemicals, electronics, and precision work • 1980’s – Capital intensive high tech • Computers & peripherals; electronic medical instruments; automotive components; specialty chemicals & pharmaceuticals; optical & photocopying equipment http://www.nationsencyclopedia.com/Asia-and-Oceania/Singapore-ECONOMIC-DEVELOPMENT.html
Economic Strategy 1990’s • Manufacturing and Services • Transformation from a production-driven to innovation-driven economy • Focus on education and human resources • Film, media, and publishing, arts and entertainment, textile, fashion and design sectors • Outsourcing of manufacturing to low-wage sites in Indonesia and Malaysia http://www.nationsencyclopedia.com/Asia-and-Oceania/Singapore-ECONOMIC-DEVELOPMENT.html
Economic Strategy 2007 • Global Hub for business and finance, logistics & distribution, communications and information • Key economic activities increasingly concentrated in a few strategic centers • Hub services extended “hinterland” • Heavily investing in humans & infrastructure • Education, training, and industrial relations • Airport, seaport, telecommunications network, biotech, financial and industrial facilities • Regional investment • Malaysia, Indonesia, China, India, Vietnam
Maritime Shipping • Port of Singapore is busiest in world • 24 million TEU’s in 2006 • PSA owns 26 ports in 15 countries http://www.internationalpsa.com/factsheet/map.html
Global Shipping Routes http://www.mts.gov.eg/comesa/English/maps/some_major_world_shipping_l.jpg
Largest Container Ports 2005 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_world's_busiest_container_ports
Air Shipping & Passenger Hub • Singapore Changi Airport • Two terminals, third under construction • SE Asian hub for passenger & cargo (2006) • 35 million passengers • 1.9 million tonnes of cargo • 25 “best airport” awards (2006)
Singapore Exchange • Formed 1999 • Merger between the Stock Exchange of Singapore & Singapore International Monetary Exchange • 72% securities, 28% derivatives • Strategy to be Asian gateway exchange • Agreements signed with India & Abu Dhabi • Agreements with London & Tokyo in works
Singapore Biopolis • Campus for biomedical sciences • Constructed 2003 to 2006 (two phases) • Site for biomedicalscience, research,entrepreneurship • 45+ companiesin residences
Caltex (energy) Flextronics (manufacturing) SingTel (phone company) Singapore Airlines Neptune Orient (shipping) Keppel Corp (various) DBS (development bank) Fraser & Neave (food) Singapore Technologies Engineering (defense) NatSteel (metals) WBL Corp (various) Singapore Press (media) APRIL (wood & paper) Asia Mobile (telecom) Creative Tech (equipment) Far East Group (real estate) JBS Singapore (energy) Kalama Services (energy) Top Singapore Companies http://www.transnationale.org/countries/sgps.php
Temasek Holdings (2007) • State-owned investment company • Portfolio = $100 billion • Revenues = $50 million • Invests in 100’s of companies • SingTel, DBS Bank, Singapore Airlines, PSA International, SMRT Corporation, Singapore Power, Neptune Orient Lines • 75% in Singapore companies • Goal to reduce to 25% in time • 18% annual return over 33 yrs of business http://www.temasekholdings.com.sg/
Singapore Education 2006 • ~20% of national budget devoted to education • Literacy = 95.4% • Annual budget = S$7.0 billion = $4.3 billion • Total students = 532,225 • Budget/student/year = $8,142/student • Students wear school uniforms
Singapore Education • Principles • Meritocracy • Bilingualism (English + mother tongue) • Financial assistance • Higher Education • 16 junior colleges • 5 polytechnics • 10 institutes of technical education • 4 universities • 10 specialized tertiary schools (e.g., business schools)
Government • PAP dominant party for 40+ yrs • PM Lee Kwan Yew 1963-1990 • Leadership based on Confucian principles • Paternal authority; duty to take of people; leadership by moral example • “Soft” authoritarianism & incorruptible leaders • Dissent and opposition stifled • Democracy, but not in US/European sense • “The city that works” Haas (ed), “The Singapore Puzzle,” Praeger, 1999
Why Singapore has Worked • Strong, incorruptible leadership • Government-directed & involved economic development and strategy • Leverage natural advantages • Focus on education & human capital • Move up the food chain with prosperity • Steadily increasing standards of living • Citizens patient with government