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Flatbush Case Study. Team Outliers Josel Cates Danielle Ross Vince Tam Lulu Xu. The Problem. City of Flatbush, Texas is responsible for decontaminating soil surrounding their petroleum pumping facility Will purchase zero coupon and regular bonds to pay for the clean up. The Problem Cont.
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Flatbush Case Study Team Outliers Josel Cates Danielle Ross Vince Tam Lulu Xu
The Problem • City of Flatbush, Texas is responsible for decontaminating soil surrounding their petroleum pumping facility • Will purchase zero coupon and regular bonds to pay for the clean up
The Problem Cont. • Funding the clean-up • Coupon and principal payments, and cash balances carried forward (which earn 4% interest) • Will be self financing • How much of each bond type should Flatbush buy to minimize total costs?
Solution structure Determined: Total annual receipts of bond dividends per year Total income from maturing bonds per year Total funds available per year Cash left per year
Solution • Used Solver to minimize Total Cost by changing the number of bonds purchased • Subject to constraints: • Cash left is between 0 and 4 million • Cash left in the last period is <25,000 • Optimal Total Cost = $16,580,197.87
Shadow Price • Shadow Price is "the marginal utility of relaxing a constraint, or, equivalently, the marginal cost of strengthening a constraint" • Can tell us how much we should be willing to pay for additional units of input • Zero shadow price indicates that the constraint is not binding • Strictly positive shadow price indicates potential benefits by increasing amount of input, and vise versa • In this nonlinear optimization problem, we look at lagrange multiplier
Shadow Price Cont. • Year 1 cash left (cell B25) has a shadow price of 0 • Increasing upper bound constraint by 1, total cost stays the same • Year 15 cash left (cell P25) has a shadow price of -0.178 • Increasing upper bound constraint by 1, total cost decreases by 0.178 • Year 4 cash left (cell E25) has a shadow price of 0.032 • Increasing lower bound constraint by 1, total cost increases by 0.032