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This lecture explores how orbital factors influence the growth and decay of ice sheets, with a focus on the Last Glacial Maximum and the role of insolation forcing. Topics include Milankovitch theory, ice-albedo feedback, thermal inertia, and sea level reconstructions.
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Lecture 10: Orbital Control of Ice Sheets (Chapter 9)
Ice sheet cover at 20,000 years ago The Last Glacial Maximum (LGM)
Ice-sheet balance Slow Accumulation vs. fast Ablation Annual mean temperature Implication: which season is most important for ice sheet? Winter vs. summer
Milankovitch theory Small tilt +Aphelion =>low summer insolation favor glaciation Large tilt + Perihelion => High summer insolation favor deglaciation
Milankovitch theory High summer insolation => net melting => deglaciation Low summer insolation => net accumulation => glaciation
The Last Glacial Maximum (LGM): 21,000 yrs ago Why the greatest ice sheet not over Siberia?
How does Insolation Control Ice Sheet Equilibrium line, Climate point and ice-sheet formation Cold Warm
High insolation • northern/high equilibrium line • northern climate point • less ice-sheet formation • Low insolation • southern/low equilibrium line • southern climate point • more ice-sheet formation
Two positive feedbacks Ice-albedo feedback Ice-elevation feedback
Thermal inertial and Phase lag Ice volume lags insolation mdT/dt = SeiΩt-bT
Phase lag Ice volume lags Insolation by about ¼ cycle (ocean effect on seasonal cycle!)
Bedrock sinking Bedrock sinking and Bedrock rebound
Bedrock feedbacks Bedrock feedbacks: Initial elastic response is negative feedback; Later viscous response is positive feedback relative to the elastic sinking response by producing a delayed sinking response
Conceptual model for ice-sheet cycle: • Repeat constant insolation • Threshold temperature: 0oC summer, -10oC annual mean
Deep sea 18O and ice volume history 18O ~ O18/O16 O16 light, easy to evaporate Deep sea higher 18O more ice volume over land (evaporated to be accumulated)
Quantify δ18O changes Δ (18Oland*land ice volume)+ Δ( 18Oocean*ocean volume)=0 18Oland* Δ land ice volume + Δ 18Oocean*ocean volume=0 1/(-40) = 18Oocean/ 18Oland =-Δ land ice volume / ocean volume = -100m sl/4000m sl = -1/40
Deep sea 18O and ice volume history ~1o/oo Large glaciation phase Small glaciation phase
Revival of Milankovith Theory 1976 but, relative magnitude ?
Insolation Forcing and Ice Volume Response Small glaciation phase Large glaciation phase The remaining question: 100 kyr cycle?
Ice sheet 18O in the last 150,000 years Dominant 100 kyr cycle, why? 0 ka: Interglacial 21 ka: Last Glacial Maximum 125 ka: Last interglacial
Ice Core 18O in the last 100,000 years is it ice volume effect?
Confirming sea level change Coral reefs lives in coastal water – a proxy of sea level
Uplifted coral reef terraces: New Guinea (western Pacific)
Uplift of coral reefs: Quantifying the ice volume from the sea level change -110m (115ka) to +6m (125ka)
Sea Level Reconstruction of the last 30 kyr LGM IPCC/AR4 2007
References for Further reading and analysis • Hays et al., 1976, Variations in the Earth’s Orbit: pacemaker of the ice ages.” Science, 194, 1121- • P. Huybers, C. Wunsch, Nature 434, 491 (2005). • P. Huybers, 2006, Early Pleistocene Glacial Cycles • and the Integrated Summer Insolation Forcing. Science, 313,508-511