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Air Quality Issues New State Implementation Plan Seyed Sadredin Executive Director/APCO

San Joaquin Valley Air Pollution Control District. Air Quality Issues New State Implementation Plan Seyed Sadredin Executive Director/APCO. Valley’s challenges are unmatched by any other region in the nation. Valley’s geography and meteorology are ideal for forming and trapping smog.

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Air Quality Issues New State Implementation Plan Seyed Sadredin Executive Director/APCO

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  1. San Joaquin Valley Air Pollution Control District Air Quality IssuesNew State Implementation PlanSeyed SadredinExecutive Director/APCO

  2. Valley’s challenges are unmatched by any other region in the nation. • Valley’s geography and meteorology are ideal for forming and trapping smog.

  3. Pollution Density

  4. Past Efforts to Reduce Air Pollution by Region

  5. Much progress has been made, but the remaining challenges are daunting

  6. How much more reductions is needed for 8-hr ozone attainment? • An additional 60% reductions in emissions needed to meet the new smog standard • 480 tons per day of reductions are needed

  7. Emissions Inventory Stationary Sources Mobile Sources Light Duty Vehicles Diesel Trucks Agriculture 60% Reduction in Emissions:How Difficult? “Carrying Capacity”

  8. 2007 Ozone Plan4-Faceted Control Strategy • Regulatory component (District rules) • Incentive-based strategies • Alternative compliance • Local, state, and federal sources/partnerships

  9. Current District Control Measures • 41 Stationary & area sourcemeasures Current rulemaking projects (10) – affecting 20 current rules, Proposed CMs (17), Further Study CMs (14) • 7 Mobile & Indirect Measures: Trip Reduction, Accelerated Fleet Rule, ISR Enhancement, Green Contracting, Expanded Spare the Air, Heat Island Mitigation, Alternative Energy & Energy Conservation • Incentive Programs- for faster fleet turnover of diesel trucks, off-road equipment, farm equipment, light/medium duty vehicles)

  10. Reductions from Control Measures • New reductions from recent District rules (not yet in inventory) = 72 tons/day by 2012 • Reductions from new District rules & programs = 46 tons/day by 2012 • Reductions from state & federal mobile source emissions = 80 tons/day by 2014 • Reductions from known District incentive funding = 12 tons/day by 2012

  11. 2012 Attainment “Gap” 300 t/d Carrying Capacities derived from ARB photochemical modeling

  12. Regulations vs. Incentives 2012 Attainment $7.5 Billion Incentives 2020 Attainment $2.9 Billion Incentives 2023 Attainment Recent Local Rules New Local Regulations Fleet Turnover New State Measures Incentives $2.1 Billion Incentives

  13. Incentives Strategy • “Air Quality Empowerment Zones” • Tax incentives for plan/fleet modernization • Fair share of air quality funds from the state transportation bond • $200 million/year cash incentives for 10-12 year (50/50 state and federal match)

  14. When Will the Valley Attain? • Attainment is possible with this Plan • Attainment will “phase in” over time • Some areas are currently in attainment • Others will attain as emissions are reduced • Attainment in Parlier/Edison… • Requires 35%-40% reduction from 2012 baseline • Means attainment for all SJV metro areas • Will be achieved by 2019 with proposed controls • Over 90% of the Valley population will be in attainment by 2019 • Arvin’s low carrying capacity defines the strategy

  15. Stockton Modesto Tracy Turlock Merced Madera Clovis Ash Mtn. Fresno Parlier Lookout Pt. Lower Kaweah Hanford Visalia 2005 3-yr Avg of 4th highest measurement Shafter Oildale/ Bakersfield Edison Arvin Maricopa

  16. Stockton Modesto Tracy Turlock Merced Madera Clovis Ash Mtn. Fresno Parlier Lookout Pt. Lower Kaweah Hanford Visalia 2012 w/Proposed Controls Shafter Oildale/ Bakersfield Edison Arvin Maricopa

  17. Stockton Modesto Tracy Turlock Merced Madera Clovis Ash Mtn. Fresno Parlier Lookout Pt. Lower Kaweah Hanford Visalia 2014 w/Proposed Controls Shafter Oildale/ Bakersfield Edison Arvin Maricopa

  18. Stockton Modesto Tracy Turlock Merced Madera Clovis Ash Mtn. Fresno Parlier Lookout Pt. Lower Kaweah Hanford Visalia 2019 w/Proposed Controls Shafter Oildale/ Bakersfield Edison Arvin Maricopa

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