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Stability and political order: Pathways to political developments after 1989

Stability and political order: Pathways to political developments after 1989. Karin Hilmer Pedersen, Ph.D. (presenting) & Lars Johannsen, Ph.D. Associated professors at the Department of Political Science Aarhus University, Denmark Presentation 13 th November 2009;

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Stability and political order: Pathways to political developments after 1989

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  1. Stability and political order:Pathways to political developmentsafter 1989 Karin Hilmer Pedersen, Ph.D. (presenting) & Lars Johannsen, Ph.D. Associated professors at the Department of Political Science Aarhus University, Denmark Presentation 13th November 2009; “20 years since the fall of the Berlin Wall – was Communism in Central and Eastern Europe merely a parenthesis?” The E.ON Ruhr gas Scholarship program in Political science and Norwegian Institute of Foreign Affairs and Department of Political Science, University of Oslo

  2. A quadruple transition, the international contextand the present outcome TRANSITION AREA POLITICAL ORDER STABILITY 1: Political 2: Economic 3: Nation-building 4: State-building (governance capacity) 5: The international context

  3. Stability:Combining two dimensions INCLUSION versus EXCLUSION A maximalist approach to inclusiveness CONSENSUS versus CONFLICT The core values of society

  4. CASE SELECTION:a post-communist microcosm Integrated in the Soviet Union Kazakhstan (part of Russia prior I WW) Georgia (part of USSR, 1921) Estonia (occupied, 1940) Under Soviet political and economic regime Poland The Czech Republic The Yugoslav variant Slovenia

  5. Combining consensus and inclusion

  6. CONCLUDING 1: STABILIZATION = DEGREE OF INCLUSION IN SOCIETY AND CONCENSUS OVER VALUES 2: CHOICES versus TRADITIONS AND SOCIO-ECONOMIC STRUCTURE Agency matters but underpinned by historical and socio-economic contexts and through the interrelated transitions

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