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Thoughts on ITC Project Surveys: Now and into the Future Geoffrey T. Fong, Ph.D.

Thoughts on ITC Project Surveys: Now and into the Future Geoffrey T. Fong, Ph.D. Department of Psychology University of Waterloo. ITC-TTURC Project Annual Meeting Portland, Oregon—March 1, 2008. One-third of the world’s population One-half of the world’s cigarette smokers.

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Thoughts on ITC Project Surveys: Now and into the Future Geoffrey T. Fong, Ph.D.

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  1. Thoughts on ITC Project Surveys: Now and into the Future Geoffrey T. Fong, Ph.D. Department of Psychology University of Waterloo ITC-TTURC Project Annual Meeting Portland, Oregon—March 1, 2008

  2. One-third of the world’s population One-half of the world’s cigarette smokers • If Bangladesh, Sudan, and India join ITC, then: • Over half of world’s population • Over two-thirds of the world’s tobacco users

  3. Progress of the FCTC • Unanimously adopted in 2003 • Already ratified by 152 nations • Conferences of the Parties: COP-1: Feb 2006 in Geneva COP-2: July 2007 in Bangkok COP-3: Nov 2008 in S. Africa

  4. Research—>Policy Over 100 countries must enhance their warning labels within 3 years Over 120 countries must implement some kind of ad/ promo/sponsor ship restriction/ban within 5 years

  5. Canada Ireland U.K. Netherlands Germany Korea U.S. France China Malaysia Mexico India Sudan Thailand Bangladesh Australia Uruguay New Zealand The ITC World

  6. * The ITC Netherlands Survey will sample 1,600 from a large internet Panel and 500 using RDD phone methods The ITC Surveys

  7. ITC Evaluation of FCTC Policies (Partial List) • Warning labels – UK (2003): Text only – UK (2008): Graphic – Thailand (2006): Graphic – Australia (2006): Graphic – Canada (2009): Graphic, Rd 2 – Other countries: Graphic – China (2009): Text only • Advertising/Promotion – UK (2003): Comprehensive – Thailand (2006): POS bans – China (2011): Comprehensive • Smoke-free – Ireland (2004) – Scotland (2005) – England (2007) – US, Canada: sub-national – France (2007/2008) – Germany (2007/2008) – China (partial in 2008?) – Netherlands (Part 2–2008) • Taxation – Multiple countries (ongoing) • Product policies – UK (EU): 10-1-10 regulation – US/Canada: RIP – All: product; product x behavior • Light/mild – UK (2003) – Australia (2005) • Illicit trade – China (2008): prevalence 7

  8. Temporal trends of the ITC Project • Recruitment and partnership with low-income and low-middle income countries: — Bangladesh, India, Sudan • Greater geographical representation: — Latin America: Mexico, Uruguay; possibilities in Argentina, Brazil(?), Panama(?) — South Asia (India, Bangladesh) — Africa • We will soon be in 5 of the 6 WHO Regions (Sudan is EMRO, but Southern Sudan is really AFRO)

  9. Where do we stand now in the tobacco control community and in global health? • Greater recognition of the power and value of the ITC Project from governments, global research community, advocates • Strong connections with important groups in Civil Society, especially Framework Convention Alliance and the Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids • Explicit, direct linkages to governments: China, France, Malaysia • Readiness for support

  10. Some exciting present and future possibilities • Europe: New workplan for the European Commission has just been issued. Wording is very nice for an ITC Europe Project. • China: Stronger linkages with advocacy activities (TFK); Chinese government may be moving more quickly in fulfilling their FCTC obligations (e.g., smoke-free). Huge interest. • Latin America: Lot of interest among countries; unclear about funding sources • Sudan: fantastic research team in Khartoum; would be the first ever broad-based study of tobacco use in that country; good opportunities for directly effecting tobacco control policies.

  11. Some exciting present and future possibilities • Bangladesh: high-profile, high visibility project because of the WHO economic study in 2005; Bangladesh is the first country to ratify the FCTC. The first evaluation effort for their 2006 national tobacco control act. • India: for obvious reasons; need to move forward • Growing structures for dissemination of ITC findings (and those of others relevant to FCTC policies): Labeling web resource: http://www.tobaccolabels.org Funding for a product resource Other web resource possibilities?

  12. Funding Challenges • Four Country: even if we get the Four Country R01 renewal, we will be 300K short of the fieldwork starting in Wave 8 • SEA: will be short of funding after 2008 • India: need funding for the main study • Capacity at the DMC as well as at our major ITC Project centres • Waterloo has 1-2 postdocs: know anyone?

  13. Funding Possibilities? • IDRC/RITC • European Commission • Bloomberg: growing interest (e.g.,Jim’s grant for Mexico; other possibilities in Latin America?) • Gates Foundation • Non-traditional funding sources • Tobacco Control Funders’ Roundtable

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