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Change in Abdominal Obesity & Risk of Coronary Calcification. Siamak Sabour, MD, MSc, DSc, PhD, Postdoc Clinical Epidemiologist Persian International Epidemiology Network (PIEPNET). SCIENTIFIC BACKGROUND. 1994: M.D , I.R. Iran 2004: M.Sc, Clinical Epidemiology , Erasmus MC, The Netherlands
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Change in Abdominal Obesity & Risk of Coronary Calcification Siamak Sabour, MD, MSc, DSc, PhD, Postdoc Clinical Epidemiologist Persian International Epidemiology Network (PIEPNET)
SCIENTIFIC BACKGROUND • 1994:M.D, I.R. Iran • 2004:M.Sc, Clinical Epidemiology, Erasmus MC, The Netherlands • 2006:D.Sc, Clinical Epidemiology, Erasmus MC, The Netherlands • 2007:Ph.D, Clinical Epidemiology, UMC Utrecht, The Netherlands • 2008 • Post doc Cardiovascular Epidemiology Thomas Jefferson University, Philadelphia, PA, USA • Post doc Pharmacoepidemiology University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA • 2008 until now Assistant Prof of Clinical Epidemiology & Medicine Sabour S, MD, MSc, DSc, PhD, Postdoc
Introduction • Obesity is a major health problem in industrialized countries. • The prevalence of overweight and obesity has increased dramatically in last decades. Sabour S, MD, MSc, DSc, PhD, Postdoc
Introduction • Visceral or abdominal obesity is an important indicator of cardiovascular risk. • Atherosclerosis is a key factor in the pathogenesis of cardiovascular disease. Sabour S, MD, MSc, DSc, PhD, Postdoc
Introduction • Atherosclerosis in the coronary arteries (CAC) can be accurately and reproducibly assessed with Multi-Detector Computed Tomography (MDCT) in a non-invasive way. Sabour S, MD, MSc, DSc, PhD, Postdoc
Introduction • CAC is increasingly used as a marker of disease risk or of subclinical atherosclerosis. • The presence of CAC is a significant predictor of subsequent cardiovascular disease and total mortality. Sabour S, MD, MSc, DSc, PhD, Postdoc
Introduction • Randomized Controlled Trials (RCT) have indicated that weight loss may benefit levels of risk factors; however, trials were usually of modest duration. Sabour S, MD, MSc, DSc, PhD, Postdoc
PURPOSE • To determine the impact of change in abdominal obesity, as assessed by change in WHR during 9 years, on risk of coronary artery calcification (CAC). Sabour S, MD, MSc, DSc, PhD, Postdoc
DESIGN Cohort (longitudinal) study Sabour S, MD, MSc, DSc, PhD, Postdoc
SUBJECTS 573 postmenopausal women selected from a population based cohort study. (PROSPECT study) Sabour S, MD, MSc, DSc, PhD, Postdoc
METHODS Data on WHR were collected at baseline (1993-1997) and follow-up (2002-2004). At follow-up, the women underwent a multi-detector computed tomography (MDCT) (Philips Mx 8000 IDT16) to assess coronary artery calcium (CAC). Sabour S, MD, MSc, DSc, PhD, Postdoc
METHODS The Agatston score was used to quantify coronary artery calcium. Logistic regression models were used to evaluate the relations under study. Sabour S, MD, MSc, DSc, PhD, Postdoc
METHODS Change in WHR was categorized into four groups: • Low at baseline - Low at follow-up (Low was defined as below the median) • High-Low • Low-High • High-High Sabour S, MD, MSc, DSc, PhD, Postdoc
RESULTS • Compared to subjects whose WHR remained below the median of the distribution at both occasions, those with a WHR above the medianat both occasions had a 2.7 [95% CI 1.8-4.0] fold increased risk of CAC. Sabour S, MD, MSc, DSc, PhD, Postdoc
RESULTS • Women whose WHR rose over the 9 year period from below the median to above the median had a 2.5 [95%CI 1.4-4.5] fold increased risk of CAC. Sabour S, MD, MSc, DSc, PhD, Postdoc
General characteristics of study population (n=573) Low Density Lipoprotein, High Density Lipoprotein § Based on systolic, diastolic and history of having hypertension in baseline questionnaire Sabour S, MD, MSc, DSc, PhD, Postdoc
Risk of coronary calcification in categories of change in obesity markers (BMI, WC, HC and WHR) Model 1= Adjusted for Age Model 2= Adjusted for Age and Smoking at baseline. Sabour S, MD, MSc, DSc, PhD, Postdoc
CONCLUSION Persistent abdominal obesity as well as an increase in abdominal fat over time relates to an increased risk of coronary atherosclerosis. Sabour S, MD, MSc, DSc, PhD, Postdoc
Acknowledgments Prof. Diederick. E. Grobbee, MD, PhD Prof. Mathias Prokop, MD, PhD Dr. Yvonne. T. van der Schouw, PhD Prof. Michiel. L. Bots, MD, PhD 1. Julius Centre, University Medical Centre Utrecht, The Netherlands 2. Radiology Department, University Medical Center Utrecht, The Netherlands Sabour S, MD, MSc, DSc, PhD, Postdoc
CONCLUSION Changes in Waist-to-Hip Ratio (WHR) relates to an increased risk of CAC. However, Body Mass Index (BMI), has no effect on that.