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Why Vermont Should be the 29 th State. Preventing Child and Youth Gun Injuries and Deaths. Eliot Nelson, MD November, 2010. Objectives. Review the epidemiology of child and youth firearm injuries – dimensions and risk factors Explain how these injuries and deaths are preventable
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Why Vermont Should be the 29th State Preventing Child and Youth Gun Injuries and Deaths Eliot Nelson, MD November, 2010
Objectives • Review the epidemiology of child and youth firearm injuries – dimensions and risk factors • Explain how these injuries and deaths are preventable • Show how a Child Access Prevention (CAP) Law can help
Youth Firearm Suicide Death Rates2nd Leading Cause of Death in Vermont Teens
Unintentional and Suicide Firearm Deaths in Vermont 1999-2007
Unintentional and Suicide Firearm Deaths in Vermont 1983-2007 94
Developmental Vulnerabilities • In Young Children: • Curiosity • Lack of Judgment, “Wishful Thinking” • Ability to Pull a Trigger by age 3-4 • Poor retention of training/rules – so teaching children not to handle guns doesn’t work! • Irresistible urge to play with a gun (e.g., boys age 8-12 yrs) ~Himle MB et al. Pediatrics 2004 ~Naurekas SM et al. Arch PedAdol Med 1995 ~Hardy MS. J Dev BehavPed 2002 ~Jackman GA et al. Pediatrics 2001
Developmental Vulnerabilities • Older Children and Adolescents: • Protracted development, with late maturation of gray matter in the dorsolateral pre-frontal cortex ~Allstate Foundation: Chronic: State of teen driving report 2005 ~Giedd J. Ann NY AcadSci 2004
The Teen Brain • Powerful Strengths • Intelligence, Quickness, Motor Skills • Immature judgment/Limited experience • Risk propensity: novelty and danger attractive • Poor recognition of specific risks + Overconfidence • Experimentation with risky behaviors • High susceptibility to social influences/crises • High impulsivity ~Steinberg L. Ann. NY Acad Sci. 2004 ~Hatfield J and Fernandes R. Accid. Anal. and Prev. 2009
Unintentional Firearm Deaths • Occur when children are unsupervised in homes – at victim’s OR shooter’s home • Male>>Female • Most often when playing with the gun (older age too) • Victims most often shot by family member or friend • Higher rates in teens than in younger children! • Safe storage of firearms decreases risk: by 74% if locked, by 81% if unloaded ~Wintemute GT et al. JAMA 1987 ~Hemenway D et al. Acc Anal Prev 2010 ~WISQARS data base, CDC.gov/ncipc/ ~Himle MB et al. Pediatrics 2004 ~Grossman D et al. JAMA 2005
Youth Suicide2nd Leading Cause of Death in Vermont Teens • Risk Factors include: • Male gender (~8 times the rate for females) • Depression or other mental illness • Drug or Alcohol abuse • Exposure to Suicidal behavior (family or other) • Stressful life events – legal trouble, bullying • Sexual identity struggles • History of previous suicide attempts • Hopelessness, rage, mood swings, other behavior • Easy Access to Lethal Methods
Youth Firearm Suicide • Firearms used in ~50% of all youth suicide • up to 60-70% in Vermont! • associated with ~85-90% fatality rate • Guns in the home increased risk of suicide – even more if no prior psychiatric illness • ~85% of victims used a family member’s gun • 33% had short-duration same-day crisis –suicidal act often impulsive ~HICRC. Means Matter: Suicide, Guns and Public Health . www.meansmatter.org ~Brent DA et al. Am J Dis Child 1993 ~HICRC, NVISS 2001.
Youth Firearm SuicideMeans Matter • Household firearm storage in U.S. strongly associated with increased suicide risk • Substitution of less lethal method decreases risk of suicide • 90% of survivors of near lethal suicide attempts do NOT commit suicide later • Safe storage of firearms (locked up) reduces risk of suicide by > 70% ~Miller M et al. J Trauma 2007 ~Owens D et al. Brit J Psychiatry 2002 ~Grossman D et al. JAMA 2005
Injury Prevention Principles Host Agent Environment
Injury Prevention Principles Host Agent Environment
Safe Storage of Firearmsin homes with children • Advocated by: • NRA • AAP • Public Health Agencies • NSSF • etc., etc., etc.
A CAP Law Aims to Increase the Likelihood of Safe Firearm Storage in Homes with Young People
Child Access Prevention (CAP) Laws • Codify adult gun-owner responsibility to store firearms securely in presence of children • Impose criminal liability on adult owners for negligent and unsafe storage; specific provisions vary in different states • Allow exceptions and consideration of personal losses in enforcement • DO NOT restrict adults from owning or keeping firearms
CAP Laws in Other States • 27 States and the District of Columbia • Effectiveness: • Decrease unintentional deaths (if strong laws) • Significantly though modestly reduce suicides • Significantly reduce non-fatal gun injuries • All New England states except Vermont and Maine have some form of CAP Law ~Cummings P et al. JAMA 1997 ~Webster DW et al. Pediatrics 2000 ~Webster DW et al. JAMA 2004 ~DeSimone J et al. Nat Bureau of Econ Research Working Paper N. 11613. Online at www.nber.org
Vermont CAP Law Proposal • Adult liable if a child under age 18 yrs obtains access to a firearm without permission and uses it to cause injury, or discharges it or commits a crime with it • Does not apply if: • Gun is locked/secured • Gun is obtained by illegal means • Gun is carried on person of adult • Gun belongs to law officer or member of military, engaged in activities of official duty • Gun is obtained in course of defense of self or other • A child would not be expected to be on premises
But do we Really Need a Law?Can’t we just teach safer gun storage?
Safe Storage of Firearmsin homes with children • Advocated by: • NRA • AAP • Public Health Agencies • NSSF • etc., etc., etc.
Optimal Safety (locked, unloaded, ammunition locked/stored separately): • 6% to 41.5% of households • Less likely in rural homes, more likely for handguns • Most UNSAFE manner (unlocked and loaded or stored with ammo): • ~9-13% of households • somewhat lower rates in more recent studies • higher rates if only teens at home vs. only young children • Vermont and Maine have worst rates in New England How Safely are Firearms Stored in Homes with Children? Multiple Studies Over Two Decades ~references available in notes page
~T. Christoffel and S. Gallagher, Injury Prevention and Public Health, 1999 “Public health traditionally has relied on the law to enforce standards and promote behavior change…. [The law]…communicates social expectations and provides a model of moral authority that can influence behavior.” How do Public Health Laws Work?
Vermont CAP Law ProposalFurther Provisions • Business • Firearm dealers shall: • Inform customers of law’s provisions at point of sale • Provide written information
Legislative Strategies “Pros” • Can mandate changes in agents or the environment • Can overcome the “attitude-practice gap” –just because most people are willing to obey the law! • “Public safety” laws traditionally respected
Legislative Strategies “Cons” • Less easily accepted by some • Restrict personal freedom • May impose costs • Legislative process often slow • Politics
Poly • tics many blood-sucking animals
Less easily accepted by some Restrict personal freedom May impose costs Legislative process often slow Politics Require enforcement and/or public education to be effective Legislative Strategies “Cons”
Summary • Vermont DOES have a firearm injury problem • Safe Storage of Firearms is PROVEN to prevent suicides and unintentional injuries • CAP laws are one way to increase safe storage – working together with education! • Aaron’s Law will save lives