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Cleveland’s Economic Fall From Grace and the Road Back

Cleveland’s Economic Fall From Grace and the Road Back. Dr. Mark S. Rosentraub Maxine Goodman Levin College of Urban Affairs Cleveland State University. A Slide, A ‘Quiet Crisis,’ Or A Long Term Trend?. An Image of Decline Riots Mistake By The Lake Burning of the Cuyahoga River Default

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Cleveland’s Economic Fall From Grace and the Road Back

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  1. Cleveland’s Economic FallFrom Grace and the Road Back Dr. Mark S. Rosentraub Maxine Goodman Levin College of Urban Affairs Cleveland State University

  2. A Slide, A ‘Quiet Crisis,’Or A Long Term Trend? • An Image of Decline • Riots • Mistake By The Lake • Burning of the Cuyahoga River • Default • The Least Silent Quiet Crisis • Was This A Slide Or A Long Term Trend?

  3. Greater Cleveland and The National Context • Professional Jobs – Ranked 17th • Workforce Education – 26th • Manufacturing Exports – 34th • Population Online – 37th • Patents – 20th • Academic R & D – 34th • New Traded Companies – 37th

  4. The Rise of the United States and NE Ohio • Land and Water • Cheap Labor – Immigration • Education • Inclusion • Women • Religious Minorities • Racial Minorities

  5. The Decline of NE Ohio’s Economy • Technology and Ideas • Exclusion • Loss of Immigration • The Costs of Exclusion • The Need for Bad Ideas • Encouraging Failure for Growth

  6. Population Changes Cleveland Cuyahoga County 1920 796,841 943,945 1930 900,429 1,201,445 1940 878,336 1,217,250 1950 914,808 1,389,532 1960 876,050 1,647,895 1970 750,903 1,720,835 1980 573,822 1,498,400 1990 505,616 1,412,140 2000 478,403 1,393,978

  7. Cleveland and Technology:New and Important Patents • 1900 – Cleveland Ranks 7th • 1880 – Cleveland Ranks 10th • 1860 – Cleveland Ranks 9th • Important Patents – 1870 to 1890 • Cleveland Ranks 5th • Patent Rate, 1880 to 1930 Among The Highest In The Nation • Case Institute, Fenn College

  8. Manufacturing Productivity • 1900 110 % of US Average • 1925 115 % of US Average • 1940 125 % of US Average • 1950 115 % of US Average • 1960 112 % of US Average • 1970 108 % of US Average • 1980 105 % of US Average • 1990 95 % of US Average • 2000 93 % of US Average

  9. Why Did This Change? • Higher Priced Labor • Changing Transportation Technologies • Peculiar to Cleveland? • No – History of All Manufacturing • Center Periphery Models

  10. Greater Cleveland Today • 5th Oldest Median Age • Net Out Migration • Natural Increase Offsets Move Outs • Per Capita Income Below: Cincinnati, St. Louis, Dallas/Fort Worth, Milwaukee, Indianapolis, Columbus

  11. The Road Back: Fast Growth Limitations • Environmental Constraints – Water • Environmental Constraints – Traffic • Environmental Constraints – Land • Track Housing • Sprawl • Strip Malls • Energy Costs

  12. The Road Back:Positioning NE Ohio • Asset: Land • Asset: Water • Asset: Low Levels of Congestion • Asset: Neighborhoods and Communities • Asset: Inexpensive Housing • Asset: We Can Avoid Cookie-Cutter Subdivisions

  13. The Road Back:Amenity Assets • Culture • Sports • Entertainment • Ethnic Diversity • Racial Diversity • Restaurants

  14. The Road Back:Your Challenge • Workers are Mobile • Firms Locate Where Workers Want to Live • Education Needed for Jobs • Education Needed for Families • K-12 • University

  15. Is It Possible? • All Growth Results From Investments and Strategic Risks • Housing • Downtown Cleveland • Town Squares • Great Schools • Understand the Changing Demography

  16. Women and Employment • Almost Half of the Work Force • More than One-Third of High Technology Jobs • Engineering • Mathematics • Design Cities for Women • Design School Systems for Working Women

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