Climate Change Mitigation in Uzbekistan: Strategies & Targets

1. Regional Dialogue onNationally Determined Contributionsfor Eastern Europe, Caucasus, and Central Asia Tbilisi, Georgia, 21-23 May 2018 NDCUzbekistan

2. Air temperature, °С Climate Change in Uzbekistan Deviation from average, °С Changing in average annual temperature of atmospheric air in Tashkent Trend= 1.7º С/100 years (Source: Uzhydromet data) Changing in average annual global temperature in deviations from average during 1980-2010 Trend= 0.7 ºС/100 years • Rates of warming exceedthe average observed globally • At the meteo stations in Tashkent and Fergana, difference in average values was 1.8и 1.6оС (in 1900-1919 and in 1994-2013) respectively

3. Increased cases of extreme temperatures More frequent droughts Увеличением числа засух More frequent extreme events Water stress/deficiency Increased desertification and land degradation Key climate change related risks and threats to Uzbekistan Unstable agricultural production and threats to food security Uzbekistan is among the countries that are most vulnerable to climate change Given the disaster of Aral Sea that is the most crucial within the recent history, and corresponding environment challenges, lack of focus on recourse saving efforts might lead to: • Increased mortality rates provoked by hot weather(high degree of probability) • Increased risks of water shortage,greaterfrequency of droughts, and other dangerous hydrometeorological eventsresulted in unstable agricultural production and posed threats to food security

4. 82% 49% 33% 10% 10% Dynamics of overall GHG emissions in Uzbekistan Energy sector: «Fuel combustion» (49%of total emissions) «Methane leaks» (up to33%of total emissions) Inventory results in 1990-2012 Total emissions in 2012 were 205.2 mln tons of СО2-eqv. Emissions’ increment in 1990-2012 was+13,7% Share of СО2– 51,4% Share of СН4– 43,1%

5. Uzbekistan supports the world community call for urgent climate change mitigation and adaptation efforts that to be undertaken with considerations of avaialble capacities and responsibilities of each country based on the fair and equitable approach In Uzbekistan, an Inter-Agency Working Group was established by the request of the Cabinet of Ministers to develop INDCs to achieve HGH emission reductions. It includes representatives of 19 relevant and responsible ministries and agencies.

6. Uzbekistan’s NDCs: Mitigation Targets In the long-term run, i.e. up to 2030, Uzbekistan intends to strengthen climate change related measures and actions to achieve the following targets: This long-term target of NDCs will be achieved with support of international organizations and IFIs, and through greater access to and transfer of advanced energy saving and environment friendly technologies as well as with use of climate financing sources. The ground for achieving this target is as follows: • Stable growth of GDP that exceeds the rates of GHG emissions • In particular, GHG emissions were increased by 13% only during the period of 1990-2012 Specific GHG emissions per GDP unit reduced by10%by 2030 compared to 2010 as base year

7. Ongoing Programmes contributing to achievement of mitigation targets • Programme on measures aimed at increased energy efficiency, introduction of energy saving technologies in national economy and social sectors in 2015-2019 • Programme on measures aimed at structural changes, modernization and diversification of production capacities for 2015-2019 • Hydropower Development Programme for 2016-2020 • Programme on measures on further development of renewable energy and increasing energy efficiency in national economy and social sectors for 2017-2021 • Programme on heating system development for 2018-2022 • Programme on further development of agriculture for 2015-2019 • National Programme on Aral Sea region development for 2017-2021 • Uzbekistan’s Development Action Strategy for five priority directions in 2017-2021

8. Priorities in GHG emission reductions included into national programmes • All activities related to fuel and energy savings • Reduction of natural gas leaks in oil and gas sector • Modernization and renovation of power generating capacities and increasing energy efficiency of energy intensive industries. Reduction of power losses in transmission lines and distribution networks • Transfer of transport to alternative fuels, modernization of transport fleet, improvement of road infrastructure and logistics schemes • Greater use of energy efficient and energy saving technologies in civil construction and buildings • Wider utilization of renewable energy sources (PVs, solar water heaters, small, mini and micro hydropower, biogas units, etc.) in all sectors of national economy • Expansion of forest covered lands and increasing land fertility • Improving solid waste management system

9. Uzbekistan’s Development Action Strategy for five priority directions in 2017-2021 Increasing competitiveness of national economy through strengthening structural reforming, modernization and diversification of its key sectors: «reducing energy and resource intensity of economy, wider utilization of energy efficient and energy saving technologies by industries, greater use of renewable energy sources» Modernization and intensive development of agriculture: «implementation of systemic actions to mitigate impacts of global climate change and drying of Aral Sea that affect agriculture development and livelihood of population» Annual Action Plans to implement the Action Strategy include measures and actions that contribute to climate change mitigation and adaptation efforts. III. PRIORITY DIRECTIONS OF MATIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND LIBERALIZATION OF ECOMNOMY

10. Key climate change adaptation directions Adaptation to climate change is a key priority for Uzbekistan that is a part of NDCs, and it focuses on: • Adaptation of agriculture and water resources sectors • Adaptation measures and activities in social sector • Mitigation of Aral Sea disaster consequences in this region • Adaptation of ecosystems • Adaptation of infrastructure and industries Some of adaptation measures and actions are interlinked with climate change mitigation activities

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