Jonathan Day, Gregory Ross, and Roxanne Connelly University of Florida

1. A GIS Model of Arboviral Risk Assessment in Florida Jonathan Day, Gregory Ross, and Roxanne Connelly University of Florida Florida Medical Entomology Laboratory Vero Beach, Florida

3. Factors that Drive Vector-borne Disease Epidemics Environmental Factors Pathogen Amplification Host Vector

4. Culex nigripalpus: An Important Arboviral Vector in Florida

8. Low areas (ditched, furrows, sinkholes) during periods of drought Water Table 1.6 meters below surface Culex nigripalpus ovisposition sites during periods of wetting Water Table 1.0 meters below surface Water Table 1.3 meters below surface Water Table 0.8 meters below surface

9. Gregg Ross, FMEL Jeffrey Shaman, Oregon State University

10. 589 MWTD data recording stations across peninsular Florida

11. Figure 3

15. Modeled Water Table Depth 1 3 2 589 Data Points MWTD values MWTD Maps RISK Maps

16. GIS RISK Maps 3 RISK model comparison RISK values MWTD values

17. Pinellas County Florida: 2005 Case Study Arboviral transmission risk for May 2005

18. Onset Dates: 1 June to 22 August, with 15 reported during July, 2005

23. MWTD Data for the Pinellas County, FL WNV outbreak of 2005 MWTD recording sites MWTD data for Pinellas County, 2005 Florida Medical Entomology Laboratory

24. 2003 2004 2005 2006 Humans Modeled Water Table Depth Cx. nig Sentinels Week Number