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Stock’s Week of Reckoning

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Stock’s Week of Reckoning

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  1. THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS.  Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear any responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from HAWKTRADE meetings.

  2. Stock’s Week of Reckoning • QE? • Elections • Econ Data • What’s the trade?

  3. One Week Performance: S&P 500 +0.04%

  4. One Week Performance: S&P 500 vsDOWvsRussell 2000 S&P 500: +0.04% Dow: -0.13% Russell 2K: +0.01%

  5. Stock Sectors: Total Returns (%)

  6. Last Week’s Earning Results

  7. Last Week’s Earning Results

  8. Airtime: Wed. Oct. 27 2010 | 6:15 PM ET What QE2 Means for Stocks Play until minute 4:40

  9. The Fed • Ben Bernanke aka “Helicopter Ben” • Federal Reserve Chairman • Saved us from a great depression • Expert in the Great Depression

  10. Federal Reserve Districts

  11. FOMC Meeting • Asset Purchasing – US Federal Reserve buying US bonds and mortgage backed securities. • Shock & Awe ≥ 500 Billion • $2 Trillion? • QE Light ≤ 500 Billion • $50-100 Billion per month?

  12. Phrases of the Week: “Buy the Rumor. Sell the News.” • Buy in advance ahead of everybody else • Sell when the news happens

  13. Airtime: Tues. Oct. 26 2010 | 4:29 PM ET Trade the Vote

  14. Airtime: Fri. Oct. 29 2010 | 4:14 PM ET End of the Week Consensus Start: Min 1:00 End: Min 2:45

  15. Summary of Videos • Buy the rumor sell the news • Market is priced in • Bearish sentiment grows

  16. Elections • Gridlock? Taxes? Regulation? • How much control will the GOP gain? • Will they take over the House? • Will they take over the Senate?

  17. How to Trade Next Week? • Take profits? • Short? • VIX? • Dollar? • Buy Energy? • Buy Financials?

  18. Has the market already priced in the News? • Financials: BAC, C, JPM, FAS • Energy: • Oil: HAL, BP, RIG • Coal: BTU, CNX, ACI, PCX • Bear Plays: • Short Stocks: AAPL, NFLX, • Inverse ETFs: TZA, FAZ, EDZ

  19. Ticker Symbols for earnings reports

  20. Ticker Symbols for earnings reports

  21. Datapalooza

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