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Mapping the National Strategy Toward Zero Deaths. Timothy Neuman, PE Chief Highway Engineer and Highway and Traffic Safety Practice Lead, CH2M HILL. NCHRP 17-51 Input to the Development of a National Highway Safety Strategy. CH2M HILL Prime Consultant
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Mapping the National Strategy Toward Zero Deaths Timothy Neuman, PE Chief Highway Engineer and Highway and Traffic Safety Practice Lead, CH2M HILL
NCHRP 17-51 Input to the Development of a National Highway Safety Strategy • CH2M HILL Prime Consultant • Ida van Schalkwyk, Ph.D., Principal Investigator • Tim Neuman, Howard Preston, Tegan Houghton, Richard Storm, Kim Kolody, Stacey Black • Midwest Research Institute • Doug Harwood, Ingrid Potts, Jessica Hutton • Prof. Dan Turner, Univ of Alabama (Emeritus) • Independent Consultants • Scott Newton • Quinn Brackett
Where we have been? Motor vehicle crash fatalities in the US (1990 – 2009)
What have we learned? DRIVER (human) 93% 57 13% VEHICLE 6 3 3 27 1 3 34% ROADWAY (environment) Source: Treat, 1979 as cited in AASHTO Highway Safety Manual Fatal and serious injury crashes typically involve many contributing factors There are proven solutions to reducing crashes and their consequences Solutions incorporate the 4Es (Engineering, Enforcement, Education, Emergency Medical Services) Solutions include legislative actions which may require political will
What have we learned? Strong partnerships are essential to measurable progress
Data driven processes using science-based approaches produce measurable outcomes
What else have we learned? • Safety is not everyone’s top priority • Management systems do not typically address safety data needs • Program and project development processes need adjusting • Resource allocations emphasize other priorities • Safety is not as well understood as it should be • We can do much better
The reality -- We lag behind our peers High-income countries: Fatality rate per 100,000 population US Source: Global Status Report on Road Safety: Time for Action, WHO, 2009
Addressing the Problem • This must be a data driven exercise • One size does not fit all • The nature and severity of the problem varies • Local culture and political climate varies as well
Mapping the National Strategy means understanding reality What is the nature of the problem in the U.S.? What real progress have we made (and how far do we have to go) in changing the culture of driver behavior? What problems have emerged requiring our attention? (And what emergent problems might we expect or anticipate?)
The reality--‘Highway Fatalities’ is a rural problem Source: NHTSA: Traffic Safety Facts – 2008 Data – Rural/Urban Comparison
The reality-- ‘Highway Fatalities’ is to a great extent a local problem 51% 54%* 66% 2009 fatality numbers except *
The reality -- It is way too early to claim victory with respect to restraint use
The reality -- Impaired driving remains a significant and stubborn problem
The reality – In some areas we have regressed Source: NHTSA Fatal Analysis Reporting System Encyclopedia, NCSA
The reality – Effective legislation is a valuable tool Young driver licensing Primary seat belt laws Automated enforcement Motorcycle helmets
The reality – emergent problems abound Motorcycle fatalities Policies to promote more walking and bicycle use (growing the population of vulnerable users) Distracted driving Vehicle size and weight (fuel efficiency and large trucks) Aging population (elderly drivers)
Discussion Framework for Roundtable Restraining Forces Driving Forces What is Driving us to aspire to Toward Zero Deaths What is restraining or keeping us from committing to TZD or achieving this?
TowardZero Deaths • Toward • What is our sense of urgency ? • Can we commit to ‘the long haul’?
Imagine what it will mean if, as a nation, we can’t or won’t commit to TZD? Motor Vehicle Crash Fatalities in the US 303,000 lives would have been saved What if we had sustained a 6% annual reduction in fatalities since 1990?
Imagine what it will mean if, as a nation, we don’t commit to TZD? We would have saved the entire population of Riverside, CA
A National Safety Strategy What can we do? ? • Multidisciplinary partnering • Include safety culture & non-infrastructure partners • Organizational change • Data-driven decision-making • Maximize the benefit of our investments in terms of fatality reduction • Reprioritization of agency mission & approach • Safety, mobility, infrastructure condition • Full integration of safety (rather than safety projects) • Help change the culture
What would it take to sustain CONSISTENT and LONG-TERM reductions towards a goal we can live with ?