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Today’s presentation will include:

Rural schools data and resource project Main Goal: To provide rural districts in NYS an integrated resource for informed decision-making. Today’s presentation will include:. What already exists: Brief overview of 3 broad data resources for communities and school districts:

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Today’s presentation will include:

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  1. Rural schools data and resource projectMain Goal:Toprovide rural districts in NYS an integrated resource for informed decision-making

  2. Today’s presentation will include: • What already exists: • Brief overview of 3 broad data resources for communities and school districts: • PAD (Cornell Program on Applied Demographics) • American Factfinder (US Census data) • NCES (Census, Financial, and Administrative data) • What we hope to develop: • An integrated data base which includes enrollment trends, projections, community and regional demographics, financial and administrative data • Feedback from you • What would be most helpful? • What data do you need? • What is the best way for us to provide access, display, and help in interpreting data?

  3. http://pad.human.cornell.edu/

  4. PAD Data

  5. PAD Data - Profiles Options: Population and housing Population - components of change Housing Units - Components of Change Labor Statistics Options: Demographic Social Economic Housing

  6. VIEW • http://www.cardi.cornell.edu • Census – American Factfinder • http://www.census.gov • NCES • http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/sdds/

  7. VIEW

  8. U.S. Census (www.census.gov) American Factfinder

  9. Factfinder

  10. NCES – enrollment, financial & administrative data for school districts

  11. Next step: • Development of an integrated data resource for the Center for Rural Schools.

  12. PAD Data - Maps

  13. NY – Population and Housing

  14. NY State growth

  15. NY Population – Components of change

  16. PAD data - Projections

  17. NY – population pyramids

  18. Age-specific net migration rates: What do they tell us? • How is the population changing (net of births and deaths)? • How does this vary among the different age groups? • How does this vary for different states and counties?

  19. New York State

  20. Compare to Florida

  21. Compare to California

  22. Sullivan County

  23. Sullivan County

  24. Sullivan County

  25. Sullivan County - projections

  26. Sullivan County - projections 1990 2000 2035

  27. Sullivan County – ACS Demographic

  28. County-level age specific net migration

  29. Sullivan County, NYS

  30. Compare to Tompkins County, NYS (where Cornell is)

  31. Compare to Hamilton County, NYS (>% elderly)

  32. Fallsburg School District • Case study illustrating what information is available that may be useful to you.

  33. Fallsburg – historic enrollment

  34. Fallsburg – enrollment by grade

  35. Enrollment PROJECTIONS:the next step • General Methods and Data: • Grade-progression ratios (cohort survival) • Enrollment data by grade by year, 10 year history • Birth data • Housing unit method • Number of housing units • Students per housing unit • Planned development added to housing inventory annually

  36. Grade-progression ratios:measures the net effect of in- and out-migration, transfers to and from private schools, students repeating grades, drop-outs, etc. *Unique for each district, grade, and year*

  37. Another way to display progression ratios:

  38. Projections K-12 (also by grade grouping)

  39. Wrap up • We would like your feedback on what you have seen so far. • What would be most helpful to you? • What kind of data do you need to make informed decisions? • How would you like to access the data? How would you like it to be displayed? What sort of support from Cornell do you think you would need to interpret and use this data?

  40. Thank You • Thank you for your help and support in this endeavor. • If you have further suggestions or questions, here is our contact information:

  41. Program on Applied Demographics Group Joe D. Francis Director of Program on Applied Demographics 2nd Floor Beebe Hall Cornell University Ithaca, NY 14853 (607) 255-6042 jdf2@cornell.edu Jan Vink Research Support Specialist Program on Applied Demographics 2nd Floor Beebe Hall Cornell University Ithaca, NY 14853 (607) 255-8399 jkv3@cornell .edu

  42. CaRDI Group Robin Blakely Extension Associate Community & Rural Development Institute Cornell University Ithaca, NY 14853 (607) 254-6795 rmb18@cornell.edu David Kay Extension Associate Community & Rural Development Institute Cornell University Ithaca, NY 14853 (607) 255-2123 dlk2@cornell.edu

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