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Trends in Developed Democracies

Trends in Developed Democracies. Where are we all going?. What is this about?. Projecting current trends into the future, what policy areas are most going to need attention in the future?

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Trends in Developed Democracies

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  1. Trends in Developed Democracies Where are we all going?

  2. What is this about? Projecting current trends into the future, what policy areas are most going to need attention in the future? Where must we anticipate changing demands for personnel, education and training, budget changes, and so forth? This is a basic strategic approach to policy formulation and adjustment.

  3. Demographic Trends It is hard to say that any one trend will dominate, but demographics is changing rapidly, and in unprecedented ways. Aging in developed countries, leading to Declining populations (Italy, Denmark) 95%+ of growth is in developing countries. Question of workforce replacement with aging.

  4. Comparative Demographics

  5. What is the future 0f marriage and the “Family?” Impact of Aging Society The additional government spending that France will have to finance between now and 2050 because of increased pensions, health and dependency care related to population ageing is estimated by the authorities at more than four percentage points of GDP, and that is under relatively optimistic assumptions. After the progress made in the 2003 pension overhaul, it is now essential to increase employment among older workers and to continue these cost cutting efforts in 2008 by preserving the rule that the contribution period should be indexed to life expectancy as foreseen in the 2003 law. OECD “retirement” What does it mean? Should we increase the age of retirement? Health-Care: type, location, provision of medical and support staff School enrolment: presumably declining demand in many DCs, type of education (distance, tech-dominated?)—likewise, universities—what do students need to know?

  6. Education Maybe, we should Be thinking about Continual retraining Instead? In what language shall we teach? What does the child of 2000 need to know to equip him/her for a fast-changing world

  7. Globalization How do we adjust to a global market? Will there be a global market in labor? Can we cope with global-scale threats? Climate Change Terrorism Pandemic diseases Financial scams and global finance Protecting intellectual property

  8. Who follows trends? Politicians have a hard time, because they have to focus on the next election The public does not respond to anything, electorally at least, until it becomes a crisis. So, who handles the long-term things like “sustainability” Check with your country and see how these issues shape up.

  9. Scaling-Up Is the trend toward FTAs an adjustment to the need for scale in global problems (EU, NAFTA etc)? Is the EU moving toward some new form of polity? (We shall discuss this later) Is the world of trade becoming almost totally “regional?” Should we be comparing “regions” or countries? What is the future of the nation state?

  10. Timely trends This week we are seeing the global backwash from the sub-prime mortgage catastrophe. Even something as big as the EU is not able to shelter itself from this global tsunami

  11. $:€ “crisis” The “weak” $

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