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MIFIRA Framework Lecture 8 Market mapping

MIFIRA Framework Lecture 8 Market mapping. Chris Barrett and Erin Lentz February 2012. Marketshed Mapping. A plotted map (e.g., a simple road map) can identify surplus areas, infrastructural constraints, and weak market functioning. Identify: Seasonal effects

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MIFIRA Framework Lecture 8 Market mapping

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  1. MIFIRA FrameworkLecture 8Market mapping Chris Barrett and Erin Lentz February 2012

  2. Marketshed Mapping • A plotted map (e.g., a simple road map) can identify surplus areas, infrastructural constraints, and weak market functioning. • Identify: • Seasonal effects • Major marketing hubs; import / export centers • Estimates of wholesalers and retailers • Incorporate as information becomes available: • Trade routes • Storage depots • Infrastructural damage or weakness

  3. Why does seasonality matter?:FEWs Seasonal Calendar for Maize in Tanzania Source: FEWS-NET 2008.

  4. Seasonality of prices:FEWS Average Maize Prices in Maputo, Mozambique Source: FEWS-NET 2008.

  5. Guiding topics for a seasonal calendar • Major weather patterns • Production cycles of the major consumption crops, and the major cash crop or livestock growth cycle, if relevant • Lean periods / hungry seasons • Major regular shocks • Seasonal market activity • Procurement or distribution activity • Regular ceremonies or holidays • Others as appropriate

  6. FEWS Seasonal Calendar for Maize in Mozambique Source: FEWS-NET 2008.

  7. Generate a market map • Identify appropriate map (could be hand-drawn) • Assess whether seasonality affects markets, consumer access, trader access, local prices and availability • Discuss with key informants about market hubs, ancillary markets, local storage facilities, trade routes, any infrastructural damage, etc. • For prospective LRP markets, consider trade routes, supply estimates, etc.

  8. Map of maize production and trade flows Source: Awuor (2007), Review of Trade and Markets Relevant to Food Security in the Greater Horn of Africa

  9. Market Maps in Real Time • Market Maps can be simple • Layer onto existing maps • Focus on issues of local importance

  10. Seasonal flow reversal • Prices in rural areas may be more variable than prices in urban areas • Traders from urban areas purchase harvests and evacuate them to urban areas for storage • During lean seasons, traders then move these products back to the outlying production areas, incurring transactions costs in both directions

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