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NOAA and Hurricanes Meeting the Challenge. Scott Kiser – NOAA’s NWS Tropical Cyclone Program Manager Scott Carter – NOAA Legislative Affairs. Facing the Challenges. Growing coastal population and infrastructure Increase in tropical cyclone activity. Meeting the Challenges Model Improvements.
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NOAA and HurricanesMeeting the Challenge Scott Kiser – NOAA’s NWS Tropical Cyclone Program Manager Scott Carter – NOAA Legislative Affairs
Facing the Challenges • Growing coastal population and infrastructure • Increase in tropical cyclone activity
Meeting the ChallengesModel Improvements • Improved physics • Coupling the atmosphere with the ocean • HWRF – model of the future
Meeting the ChallengesResearch to Operations • Joint Hurricane Testbed (JHT) • Mission: To transfer more rapidly and smoothly new technology, research results, and observational advances into improved tropical cyclone analysis and prediction at operational centers. • NOAA, Navy, and NASA
Meeting the ChallengesProbabilistic Information Wind Speed Probability Graphic Product
Meeting the ChallengesProbabilistic Information Wind Speed Probability Text Product
Meeting the ChallengesIncreased Data Collection • GI-V, P-3, and USAFR aircraft • Reconnaissance • Surveillance • Dropwindsondes • SFMR
Meeting the ChallengesEducation, Outreach & Partnerships • Training of local, state, federal and international emergency managers • Hurricane Awareness Tours • Internet • Continue and strengthen partnerships with media, private weather sector, and emergency management
Final Thoughts • Come a long way in hurricane prediction • Remain vulnerable to a hurricane catastrophe WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV