MEDITATE Project: Innovating Water Management for Sustainable Livelihoods by 2025

1. Mediterranean Development of Innovative Technologies for Integrated Water Management (MEDITATE) Workpackage 2

2. WP2 - Contributors • Lebanon - Ministry of Energy and Water, General Directorate of Hydraulic and electric resources. • Lebanon - Ecole supérieure d’ingénieurs de Beyrouth, Regional Centre for water and environment • Turkey - International Research and Application Center for Karst Water Resources, Hacettepe Univeristy • Jordan - Water and Environment Research and Study Center, University of Jordan • Syria - Atomic Energy Commission of Syria, Department of Geology • France - BRGM • UK – School of Water Sciences, Cranfield University.

3. WP1 OBJECTIVES • To describe the socio-political and governance circumstances of each case study catchment. • To identify a range of ‘water visions’ based on the principle of ‘sustainable water livelihoods’ for each case study catchment for the year 2025. • To identify ‘routes to water sustainability’ for each case study area. • To anticipate the impact of different water policy instruments on water supply & demand profiles at a range of spatial scales.

4. WP2 revision • Timing of requirements for WP1 and WP4 • Timing of requirements for WP2 Task 4 • Need to provide significant support for case study partners on stakeholder scenario workshops and social survey • Opportunity to rationalise work programme and optimise resource allocations • Changes involve front loading of protocols and guidance for the survey and stakeholder scenario workshop

5. Action 1 - Methodology and data collection • Task 1a • 1. To prepare a requirements list for Task 1b – coordinate with WP1 and Majid, who can give significant support. – Combined list to be delivered to case study partners in early July. • 2. A guidance document for use by the case study groups on the planning and management of the scenario workshops (task 2b). To include guidance on • • Principals of scenario workshop organisation and planning • • Who should participate in the workshops • • How participants can be engaged • • What the desired outputs of the workshops are • • How outputs are to be recorded and reported • • A schedule (activity list) for a representative workshop. • • Ethical research practice • • DPA considerations This document should be partly based on the report to be produced under task 2a. The desired outputs should be informed by data requirements from WP4 and WP2 task 4. Document to be finalised by early September.

6. Action 1 - Methodology and data collection • Guidance on the design and deployment of the survey (task 3a). To include guidance on; • • Questionnaire design (questions & structure) • • Deployment options • • Sampling issues • • Data coding and storage • • Format of case study report • • ERP & DPA considerations • • Details of data analysis to be carried out

7. Action 1 - Methodology and data collection • Task 1b • Collection and presentation of data in an agreed format. • This will include information on: • local socio-political and governance circumstances, • past experiences of water resources management, • planning regulation and distribution of water resources, • the relative economic significance of different water uses • the relative performance of water distribution for each sectors (household, agricultural and industry) • the energy sector (to be used in the energetic analysis of the WP4), • levels of renewable water availability Each of the case study partners will be responsible for the collection, collation and delivery (to the WP coordinator) of the required data for their case study region (following the protocols developed under Task 1a point 1). A case study report will be submitted by each case study partner. Reports (D10) to be submitted in early October 04.

8. Action 2 - Water scenarios for 2025. • Task 2a • Now described under Task 1a. • Tools and techniques used to elicit scenarios will need to be culturally, politically, and linguistically sensitive. • A balance between stakeholder and public contributions also needs to be ensured, as does a recognition that past examples of structural and non-structural change can indicate the likely format, pace, and spatial influence of future changes.

9. Action 2 - Water scenarios for 2025. • Task 2b • Participatory modelling seminars • Each case study region will organise and execute a participatory modelling seminar or seminars involving key actors such as politicians, scientists, public, NGOs, etc. • The specific design of each seminar will be informed by the protocols laid down under Task 2a and also by local circumstances. The objective of these events will be to: • characterise, anticipated and desirable pathways of water exploitation for each sector (domestic, industrial, agricultural, environment) up to the year 2025. • identify those regulatory, political, economic, and social changes which might facilitate or obstruct achievement of each water vision. • Workshops to be completed by March 05 • Reports and data output from workshops to be delivered by April 05

10. Action 2 - Water scenarios for 2025. • Task 2c • Scenario construction • Based on the data collected during Task 2b, a formal representation will be possible of: • the major factors likely to affect water demand (climate change, population growth, agricultural policy and world market price evolution, assumption of sub-water sectors performance, tourism policy, etc); • assumptions related to the trends for the factors identified; • the nature of the relationships between different elements of civil society and governance regimes which mould local and regional responses to water stress. • the total water demand that would result from these changes and • contrasted water management strategies to be implemented to cope with this water demand increase. Deliverable D19 to be ready by June 05

11. Action 3 - A social survey • A questionnaire based ‘survey of water consumer’ attitudes and intended behaviours towards the range of policy instruments identified through the focus groups will be undertaken. • Population samples will reflect communities located on karst and non karst landscapes of the various catchments and will be representative to a confidence interval of 5 and a confidence level of 95%.. • Case study data sets to be submitted to WP coordinator by February 05 • Data analysis report to be completed by April 05

12. Action 4 : Cost effectiveness analysis OBJECTIVES : Compare the costs induced by different scenario to meet future water demand (effectiveness) WHY COST-EFFECTIVENESS ? Because potential benefits generated by the satisfaction of a specific demand are hardly valuable. Sub-goals can be define such as the level of satisfaction of a specific sector demand (households, agriculture, industry) SCENARIO Technological Water demand management Socio-economic characteristics The business as usual scenario COSTS Financial / social costs Present / future costs Valuable / non valuable

13. Action 4 : Cost effectiveness analysis STAGES 0/ Methodological framework applicable to the 4 case study 1/ Define scenario (WP2-Action2) 2/ Identify social, cultural or economic constraints (WP2-Action1&3) 3/ Assess the costs of : (i) the demand management plan (DMP) (ii) the new technologies using the Total Life Cycle Cost (WP4 input) 4/ Assess the level of satisfaction of the various demand 5/ Analyse cost distribution between agents 6/ Compare costs and distributions 7/ Restitution to stakeholders - participative process (WP2-Action 5)

14. Action 4 : Cost effectiveness analysis EXAMPLE Cost effectiveness analyse is just a discussion support, it do not allow to determine a numbered optimal solution. Choices remain stakeholders and end-users domains.

15. Action 5 - Restitution to stakeholders • Task 5a • This action is designed to complete the participatory cycle by returning to the case study seminar groups to explore the ramifications of the scenarios and cost effectiveness analysis conducted during the study. • Emphasis at this stage of the engagement process will be on deliberation of the routes to sustainable water livelihoods and documentation of different actor preferences for different routes. • This information will be used to characterise the ‘distance’ between actor perceptions of water futures • In addition to the original seminar group, a second, new group will be constituted specifically to judge the social, financial, cultural and political acceptability of the various options considered achieving desirable water futures for the communities. This second group will comprise representatives from regulatory, governmental and institutional bodies with legal responsibility for planning and managing the water resource.

16. Action 5 - Restitution to stakeholders • Task 5b • Finally, the water visions and routes to them will be compared with the data acquired under Action 3 on consumer attitudes to different policy instruments. • This will enable the ‘policy gap’ to be identified where intended routes to sustainable water livelihoods in each case study catchment are effectively bounded by consumer attitudes, opinions and intended behaviours. • The pathways proposed for sustainable water management will also be analysed with consideration to past experiences in each case study region.

17. WP2 - Partner contribution profile

18. WP2 - Timetable

19. WP2 – Notes on programme of work • Cranfield is over 2,000 miles away from the Middle East. We can advise, support, guide, and help …. but we cannot do things on the ground !! • Case study regional partners responsible for workshop planning and execution (X2) • Case study regional partners responsible for survey deployment and results coding • Success dependent upon effective and regular communication between WP2 contributors