Mozambique Sustainable Irrigation Development Project (PROIRRI)

1. Mozambique Sustainable Irrigation Development Project (PROIRRI) Early Stage Steps to a Future Impact Evaluation Herminia Pedro, MINAG - DE PaulinoBalate – MINAG - DNSA Agnelio Pita – MINAG - CEPAGRI Pedro Arlindo – WB Jigar Bhatt – MCC (Facilitator) Addis Ababa, April 15, 2009

2. Expectation of the PROIRRI Team • PROIRRI is in very early stage of preparation. • We finalized the second preparation mission two weeks ago. • From the audience we expect many comments and contributions for a better understanding of impact evaluation (IE) by the PROIRRI and team.

3. Basic Information of PROIRRI • The DO is to increase the irrigated areas and to enhance agricultural productivity of smallholders farmers for selected high-value crops in target new or improved irrigation schemes along Beira Corridor (Manica and Sofala provinces). • The Project coverage is estimated to be around 5,000 ha. • Target crops are Rice, Horticulture, Sugar Cane and fruiticulture. • Six years implementation. • World Bank contribution is US$ 50 million.

4. Interventions Planned Under this Project 1. Support institutional capacity development, which includes • Strengthening DPAs and district level agriculture authorities; and • Participatory Irrigation Scheme Development and Management. 2. Market-led production and value chain development, including • Strengthening production and marketing extension services; • Establishment of linkages along the value chain; and • Fruit fly surveillance plan. 3. Investing in irrigation systems and support infrastructure, including • Revitalizing Rice Irrigation Schemes; • Small-scale Horticulture Development ; and • Promoting Outgrowers Arrangements.

5. Output Indicators (1) Component 1 • Number of sustainable irrigated agriculture policies approved • Number of studies regarding institutional and regulatory framework undertaken • Number of academic staff trained in agriculture curricula • Number of smallholder irrigation organizations (IO) established and operating on sustainable manner • Number of irrigation organizations training manual produced in participatory manner • Number of workshop training (on irrigation scheme operation and management) • Outcome: • Number of GoM managers with increased capacity for agricultural policy development and analysis.

6. Output Indicators (2) Component 2 • Number of agricultural production crops in smallholder irrigation schemes • Number of producer associations per crop • Number of outgrower arrangements between small scale farmers and private sector actors • Number of demonstration plots established • Hectares of land demarcated as free of fruit fly • Number of training activities on production for farmers to respond to production quality • Outcome: • Number of beneficiaries / hectares supplying agriculture commodities in larger quantities and better quality

7. Output Indicators (3) • Outcome: • Area of irrigated agriculture in target smallholder irrigation schemes • Number of tons per year produced in irrigated agriculture in target smallholder irrigation schemes Component 3 • Number of irrigation infrastructure improved/constructed/operated /managed • Number of irrigating schemes revitalized by crop • Number (of ha) of irrigated area • Number of reservoirs constructed/rehabilitated • New or improved production technologies • Number of km of road network constructed or rehabilitated • Number of cold storage built

8. Intermediate & Final outcomes / results • Intermediate Outcome indicator (A) - Number of GoM managers with increased capacity for agricultural policy development and analysis. • Intermediate Outcome indicator (B) - Area of irrigated agriculture in target smallholder irrigation schemes • Final Outcome indicator (C) - Number of beneficiaries / hectares supplying agriculture commodities in larger quantities and better quality • Final Outcome indicator (D) - Number of tons per year produced in irrigated agriculture in target smallholder irrigation schemes.

9. Impacts / Final Results • Productivity increased • Income increased

10. Steps to Impact Evaluation (1) • Irrigation is very important in Mozambique’s agriculture • Main constraints within irrigation include lack of sustainability. • Potential causes for low sustainability: construction is very expensive; operating and maintenance (O&M) is very costly; and weak water user organizations. • The most likely main reason seems to be O&M costs. Construction does seem to be the major problem per se as there are many irrigation schemes not operating.

11. Steps to Impact Evaluation (2) • Hypothesis (questions to be tested) – to achieve sustainable O&M costs, GoM and beneficiaries should share costs. • Beneficiaries’ contributions should range to improve ownership (0%, 20%, 50%?). • After the end of PROIRRI it could be possible to evaluate the impact comparing (or measuring) how many irrigation schemes are operating and of those how many has been kept. • Finally, we consider the hypothesis technical and political sustainable.

12. Timeline and Sampling Timeline • Baseline - around 1st semester of 2009. • 1st Follow up survey – 1st semester 2013. • 2nd Follow up survey – last year of the project. IE Implementation Team • MINAG, UEM, WB, Other partners (FAO). Sampling Method • Part of the learning process.

13. Last Points for Consideration • We hope to do the same exercise for other important areas to agriculture development in Mozambique included in PROIRRI. • We understand that: • the steps given so far can be very useful as GoM is in a good position to engage in the project; • there is still major work to be done on IE; • Gender considerations will be part of this.

14. Muito Obrigado! Khanimambo!