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EPATS ATM General Requirements & relative issues to be solved. ILA Berlin - May 2008 Marc Brochard - EEC. ATM impact assessment Potential EPATS Traffic. These are big figures …. Can we integrate this new traffic in the ATM in 2020?. ATM impact assessment method.
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EPATS ATM General Requirements & relative issues to be solved ILA Berlin - May 2008 Marc Brochard - EEC
ATM impact assessmentPotential EPATS Traffic These are big figures …. Can we integrate this new traffic in the ATM in 2020?
ATM impact assessmentmethod The problematic for assessing EPATS – a new business – on the ATM of the future: • No EPATS history (but do we not already have kind of EPATS in the air?) • SESAR concepts - an evolution of the current ATM system (not a revolution) – providing more capacity, more autonomy, better fitting to airspace users needs (strategic traffic organisation, preferred FL/4D profile– business trajectory) – network centric architecture (data and decision sharing – SWIM) still human centred …. but still requiring clarifications and validations
ATM impact assessmentEPATS traffic today total traffic 2007, EPATS “kind of”= 839500 flights a year = 8.1% of total IFR traffic EPATS traffic
ATM impact assessmentEPATS traffic 2020 vs capacity Case A – 44 millions EPATS 14 millions IFR EPATS max 30 millions VFR EPATS max Case B – 42 millions EPATS 14 millions IFR EPATS max 28 millions VFR EPATS max
ATM impact assessmentEPATS traffic 2020 vs capacity Within STATFOR - up to 2 millions EPATS IFR Extending STATFOR – up to 3 millions EPATS IFR Filling SESAR target capacities - up to 14 millions EPATS IFR SESAR theoretical target capacity = limitations to be assessed Beyond 14 millions EPATS IFR – outside the overall 2020 ATM capacities
ATM impact assessmentFL distribution SESAR Airspace design for IFR and VFR vs managed and un-managed airspace (vertical (FL) and geographical design – dynamic and morphing) EPATS cruising Flight Level distribution (standard distribution, not integrating ATM constraints) Most of EPATS flying below FL190
ATM impact assessmentGeographic distribution May be creating new dense/congested area and airports (mainly south of Europe but also England) Mixed traffic (traditional ones + EPATS (IFR & VFR)) with TMA potential impact EPATS seems to be avoiding the current ECAC Core Area
ATM impact assessmentDistance distribution Most of EPATS seems to be flying not longer than 500 Kms
ATM impact assessmentEPATS Daily Traffic Daily EPATS traffic : • highly distributed over Europe with potential impact on traffic complexity (mixing IFR & VFR flights) • avoiding current ECAC Core Area, most congested Airport and Waypoints …. but integrated in TMA • May be creating new dense/congested area and airports (mainly south of Europe but also England) • Flying at low level (FL190) and on relative short distances (500Km)
ATM impact assessmentEPATS Business Model EPATS to fit in the SESAR Business Trajectory process: strategic planning and negotiation What will be the EPATS business model? Flight on request or scheduled?
ATM impact assessmentConclusions – ATM Impacts ATM impact: • System capacity (sever challenge for SESAR to handle 14 Millions EPATS IFR flights with high number of EPATS VFR flights) • Traffic complexity (high distribution – new dense area leading to design new SESAR managed airspaces) • Airspace design both for IFR and VFR EPATS flights (might be constrained by the SESAR airspace design as most of EPATS flight will be in un-managed airspace – dynamic and morphing airspace) • Terminal area Safety (mixing traditional traffic with EPATS traffic with different aircraft performances (speed – wake vortex) – dense area thus SESAR managed airspace – IFR only? VFR?) • Safety (Self separation management & self conflict avoidance - less skilled EPATS pilots? – on-board equipment mandatory for flying SESAR – single pilot)
ATM impact assessmentConclusions - R&D needs EPATS R&D needs: • SESAR Airspace design for IFR and VFR vs managed and un-managed airspace (vertical (FL) and geographical design – dynamic and morphing) • SESAR Business Trajectory management for EPATS flight (IFR and VFR?) and EPATS FL allocation (including flight planning and trajectory negotiation and SWIM issues) • SESAR and VFR flights • Single piloting in un-managed and managed airspace (Safety - separation management and conflict avoidance - autonomous EPATS flight – Air Traffic Controller impact) • EPATS cockpit equipment for supporting SESAR standard requirements • TMA operation mixing EPATS and traditional flights (AMAN, DMAN, SIDs, STARs, CDA concept, Aircraft performances) • En-Route operation mixing EPATS and traditional flights (Aircraft performances, managed airspace, Routing, separation management) • EPATS scenarios for EPATS traffic assessment: Safety, flight efficiency, cost, effective capacity, complexity, delay
Thank you … Contact: marc.brochard@eurocontrol.int www.eurocontrol.int