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Visa applications, enrolments and policy change: what past trends can tell us about the future

Visa applications, enrolments and policy change: what past trends can tell us about the future. Dr Stephanie Harris Policy Manager, Immigration Stephanie.harris@universitiesuk.ac.uk. @UUKIntl. Contents. UK STUDENT ENROLMENT DATA UK VISA APPLICATION DATA

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Visa applications, enrolments and policy change: what past trends can tell us about the future

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  1. Visa applications, enrolments and policy change: what past trends can tell us about the future Dr Stephanie Harris Policy Manager, Immigration Stephanie.harris@universitiesuk.ac.uk • @UUKIntl

  2. Contents • UK STUDENT ENROLMENT DATA • UK VISA APPLICATION DATA • INTERNATIONAL STUDENT RECRUITMENT TO THE UK IN 2021

  3. Total International student Numbers • Source: HESA student record

  4. TOTAL INTERNATIONAL STUDENTS NUMBER BY TYPE Source: HESA student record

  5. EU/non-eu STUDENTS NUMBER BY TYPE Source: HESA student record

  6. EU/NON-FIRST YEAR ENROLMENTS BY TYPE Source: HESA student record

  7. EU/NON-FIRST YEAR ENROLMENTS Source: HESA student record

  8. And..? • (Majority) enrolled in September 2017 • Applied in 2016/17 • Decision making 2015/16

  9. Visa DATA • In the year ending September 2018, the number of sponsored Student visa applications (main applicants) rose 8% to 228,725. This was driven by increases in applications for the Higher education (university) sector, which increased by 9% to 194,152, and is the highest level on record. The Higher Education sector accounted for 85% of all sponsored visa applications. Of these, applications from: • Russell Group universities increased by 11% to 96,652 • other universities increased by 8% to 97,500 • Sponsored visa applications by sector year ending December 2010 to September 2018 Source: Home Office

  10. Visa applications vs non-eu enrolments Source: Home Office and HESA student record

  11. Tier 4 policy change 2018 - Addition of China to Appendix H 2012 Closure of Tier 1 PSW

  12. Visa applications from China and India Tier 4 introduced China added to appendix H Credibility interviews introduced Closure of Tier 1 PSW Source: Home Office

  13. Moving towards inclusive growth? Source: Home Office

  14. International student recruitment to the uk in 2021? • What we do know about the likely policy conditions in 2021? • What can the past tell us about how this might effect recruitment?

  15. International student recruitment to the uk in 2021? • What we do know about the likely policy conditions in 2021? • Government White Paper on Immigration was published before Christmas: • Sets out a single immigration system for all • EU students will require a study visa • Modest changes to post-study leave to remain.

  16. International student recruitment to the uk in 2021? • What can the past tell us about how this might effect recruitment? Source: HESA student record

  17. Questions? Dr Stephanie Harris Policy Manager, Immigration Stephanie.harris@universitiesuk.ac.uk • @UUKIntl

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