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Universities in 2020: A technology perspective

Universities in 2020: A technology perspective. Virginia Tech Task Force January 28, 2011 Lee Rainie: Director, Pew Internet Project Email: Lrainie@pewinternet.org. Eli Noam 1995 to AAAS. Creation of knowledge and evaluation of its validity Preservation of information

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Universities in 2020: A technology perspective

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  1. Universities in 2020: A technology perspective Virginia Tech Task Force January 28, 2011 Lee Rainie: Director, Pew Internet Project Email: Lrainie@pewinternet.org

  2. Eli Noam 1995 to AAAS • Creation of knowledge and evaluation of its validity • Preservation of information • Transmission of information to others

  3. Some big questions for universities • What’s the franchise? What’s the commodity? • What “business” are we in? Who are our “competitors”? • How should knowledge and teaching be organized? • How do we foster cross-discipline collaboration? • What teaching is best done in physical space? What can be done virtually? • What are the correct social / pedagogical norms of those spaces? • How should intellectual property be handled when “napsterization” looms over every idea? • What new knowledge forms and distribution platforms merit attention and reward?

  4. Internet and Broadband Revolution

  5. Undergrad - 98% Grad – 99.5% Comm/Coll - 94%

  6. Undergrad - 89% Grad – 94% Comm/Coll - 71% 70% 66%

  7. Consequences for info ecosystem Volume Velocity Valence / Relevance Vibrance

  8. Consequences for info ecosystem Explosion of creators and niches

  9. Wireless Connectivity Revolution

  10. Cell phone owners – 85% adults 96% 90% 85% 58% Undergrad - 96% Grad – 99.2% Comm/Coll - 94%

  11. Mobile internet connectors – 57% adults 62% 59% 55% Undergrad - 92% Grad – 88% Comm/Coll - 84%

  12. Consequences for info ecosystem Any device Anywhere Place Alone together Presence Any time

  13. Social Networking Revolution

  14. Undergrad - 86% Grad – 82% Comm/Coll - 79%

  15. Consequences for info ecosystem Pervasive awareness Social dashboard

  16. So what for higher ed? (1)Changed info ecology for networked learners Attention zones Continuous partial attention Deep dives Info-snacking Media zones • Social Immersive Streams Creative / participatory Study / work

  17. So what for higher ed (2)Social networks play a more important role for info and knowledge acquisition • As sentries – word of mouth matters more • Shift in attention awakening • As information evaluators – they vouch for/discredit information • Shift in expertise assignment • As forums for action – everybody’s a broadcaster/publisher/critic/cheerleader • Shift in influencer arrangement

  18. So what for higher ed (3) New literacies are required - screen literacy - graphics and symbols - navigation literacy - connections and context literacy - skepticism - value of contemplative time - how to create content/knowledge - personal information literacy - ethical behavior in new world

  19. Upheaval 1 -- Gadgets and interfaces

  20. Changes underway Voice, smart/semantic web, translation, natural language search, projectors, screens, wearable devices make information …. Pew Internetdanahboyd • pervasive - persistent • portable - replicable • personal - scalable • participatory - searchable COLLAPSED CONTEXTS

  21. Are hot future gadgets evident now? The hot gadgets and applications that will capture the imagination of users in 2020 are pretty evident today and will not take many of today’s savviest innovators by surprise. 16% experts Hot gadgets and apps that will capture the imagination of users in 2020 will often come “out of the blue” and not have been anticipated by many of today’s savviest innovators. 81% experts July 9, 2010 23

  22. Upheaval 2 – The metaverse

  23. The virtual world merges with real world • Metaverse Roadmap: The internet of things enhances the internet of people • Augmented reality • Mirror worlds • Life logging • Virtual worlds

  24. Upheaval 3 – The exaflood

  25. Age of big data and “the internet of things” – 50 billion connected devices by 2020? • Exabyte: 1 billion gigabytes (1018) • 2002: 5 exabytes of info on entire internet • 2010: 21 exabytes pass on internet per month

  26. Networked learners of the future • More self directed and less dependent on top-down instructions • Better arrayed to capture new information inputs • More reliant on feedback and response • More attuned to group outreach and group knowledge • More open to cross discipline insights, creating their own “tagged” taxonomies • More oriented towards people being their own individual nodes of production

  27. Thank you! Lee RainieDirector – Pew Internet ProjectLrainie@pewinternet.orgTwitter - @lrainie202-419-4500

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