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PV output fluctuates (80% dropouts in 5 sec) TEP will have 250 MW of PV by 2013

The Problem:. PV output fluctuates (80% dropouts in 5 sec) TEP will have 250 MW of PV by 2013 TEP needs forecasts to ramp up generators No forecasts are good enough yet. Our Solutions:. Advanced Numerical Weather Model Irradiance Network and Velocity Model Cloud movie analysis.

natalie-sloan
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PV output fluctuates (80% dropouts in 5 sec) TEP will have 250 MW of PV by 2013

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  1. The Problem: • PV output fluctuates (80% dropouts in 5 sec) • TEP will have 250 MW of PV by 2013 • TEP needs forecasts to ramp up generators • No forecasts are good enough yet Our Solutions: • Advanced Numerical Weather Model • Irradiance Network and Velocity Model • Cloud movie analysis

  2. The Problem: AC Power (kW) Aug 9 Aug 10 time ACC Regulations require Big Solar. Now Utility Operators need Forecasts.

  3. Our Solution #1 Numerical Weather Model Forecast Good for: 2-hr averages 40 hours in advance Our Solution #2 100 Rooftops + Wind Forecast Good for: 10 minute detail 1-2 hours in advance

  4. 34 25 Distribution of ~280 MW 70 MW DG 6.4 5 12 5 23 50 10 35

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