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Group C. Nicole Fitzmaurice, Eric Poolman , Lisa Landon, Pang Koh & Ping Zhou. Agenda. The insurance h ypothesis and market p rices The power of auditors Getting the price right Behind closed doors at WorldCom:2001. The Insurance Hypothesis and Market Prices. Krishnagopal Menon
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Group C Nicole Fitzmaurice, Eric Poolman, Lisa Landon, Pang Koh & Ping Zhou
Agenda • The insurance hypothesis and market prices • The power of auditors • Getting the price right • Behind closed doors at WorldCom:2001
The Insurance Hypothesis and Market Prices KrishnagopalMenon Boston University David D. Williams The Ohio State University
The Insurance Hypothesis and Market Prices INTRODUCTION: • The literature on the audit market has suggested that a valued attribute of audits is implicit insurance. • Investors assign a value to the right to recover investment losses from the auditor. • Effect on stock prices of Laventhol& Horwath • ( L&H) clients of two related events.
The Insurance Hypothesis and Market Prices • The "insurance hypothesis.” • Auditors are viewed as having “deep pockets” • The Big 6 auditing firms paid $477 million for settling and defending lawsuits in 1991. • There were about $30 billion in damage claims facing the profession as a whole at the end of 1991.
The Insurance Hypothesis and Market Prices Laventhol & Horwath'sBankruptcy • Laventhol & Horwath agreed to file for bankruptcy in November 1990. • In a typical auditor change situation, the investors continue to have rights against the predecessor auditor. • Investors in L&H client firms were restricted from recovering any present and potential claims.
The Insurance Hypothesis and Market Prices Investors ‘ different rights of recovery of damages from auditors in seasoned securities and in IPOs. • Seasoned securities • Initial public offerings
The Insurance Hypothesis and Market Prices Alternative hypotheses • Security price changes observed at the time of L&H' s bankruptcy disclosure. The most prominent of these is related to monitoring. • When L&H announced bankruptcy, two types of monitoring uncertainties were created. • First, there was uncertainty introduced about the quality of future monitoring. • Second, some firms might have to delay on filing audited financial statements.
Hypothesis • H1: L&H client’s security prices declined relative to the market on the disclosure of the bankruptcy. • H2: L&H clients whose securities sustained recent losses experienced more negative abnormal returns on the disclosure of L&H’s bankruptcy than other L&H clients and these returns were correlated with the magnitude of the previously sustained losses.
Hypothesis cont…. • H3: For L&H clients whose securities sustained recent losses, IPO clients experienced more negative abnormal returns on the disclosure of L&H’s bankruptcy than L&H clients with seasoned securities.
Conclusion • The disclosure of L&H' s bankruptcy was found to have a negative impact on L&H client stock prices. • There was no corresponding increase in stock prices on announcement of a replacement auditor. • The results of the paper suggest that auditors are viewed by investors as guarantors of financial statements, and as guarantors of investments.
The Power of Auditors • Earnings management: a research perspective • Researchers are also interested in less shocking cases where managers act opportunistically • Problem: unlike high-profile cases where fraud is involved, difficult to identify earnings management without knowing management’s true intentions. • Solution: must infer through observable patterns of reported numbers • First look at context where earnings management is most likely to occur • Try to gather large samples of firms to provide systematic evidence across the sample
The Power of Auditors (cont’d) • Measuring earnings management • Focused on total accruals • Since there are estimates and judgments inherent • Measured as difference between net income and cash flows from operations • Decomposed into: (1) non-discretionary (2) discretionary, which will be inferred as earnings management, since they are on average zero • By far the most-commonly used method
The Power of Auditors (cont’d) • Motivations for earnings management • Costs: • Iron Law of Accruals Reversals • Impair perceived quality of earnings • Violation of GAAP (leading to lawsuits and penalties) • Benefits that outweigh the costs (Capital-based) • Increase stock prices in secondary offerings (especially with management as the selling shareholders) • Meeting different earnings benchmark • In line with Prospect Theory due to Loss Aversion
The Power of Auditors (cont’d) • Are financial statement users misled by earnings management? • Economic consequences of earnings management seem to be offset by investor’s rational expectation (evident by lower ERC); discounting earnings • However, the discounting is insufficient, evident by the underperformance following an offering
The Power of Auditors (cont’d) • How to strengthen the quality of financial reporting? • Corporate governance through audit committee • Requiring: • (1) majority of the directors be independent • (2) committee of independent directors to select new member • Recommending: • Audit committee be composed of outside directors only • Members of audit committee be financially literate, and at least one who have accounting expertise • Independence ofboard of directors seems to be insignificant in curbing earnings management • Independence of audit committee is significant; and not conditioned on a 100% independent audit committee • Relationship investing - where large block-holders take active and interventionist role on the board
The Power of Auditors (cont’d) • Role of auditors and auditor independence • Auditors can curb discretionary accruals and lower threshold for issuing a qualified audit report • But 56% of earnings management attempt were waived • Earnings management relating to unstructured transactions and imprecise standards is the most difficult to prevent • Auditor independence is the concerning issue • In 2001, SEC required firms to disclose their audit and non-audit fees • Non-audit fees, on average, make up half of the total • Positive association between fee ratio and absolute value of discretionary accruals
Getting the Price Right • Seeks to investigate the effects of regulations, monopoly and monopsony on audit fees • Initiatives to enhance competition in the audit market seem to result in reduction in audit fees • But more importantly, is whether the premium charged by the big accounting firms result from monopoly OR brand-name reputation • Brand-name reputation derives from the idea that the Big Five auditors provide a level of assurance that exceeds the minimum required by GAAP.
Getting the Price Right (cont’d) • Market competition OR brand-name reputation • Craswell, Francis and Taylor (1996) found that the deregulation of audit market in Australia did not lead to reduction in the Big Six audit fees • Evidence that the Big Six audit fee premiums are due to brand-name reputation, rather than monopoly power • Average real audit fees were mostly higher for the Big Six auditors than for other auditors, both before and after the amendment • Supporting that premiums reflect brand-name reputation
Getting the Price Right (cont’d) • Supply structure (Auditors’ power) • Pearson and Trompeter reported that high levels of auditor concentration led to loweraudit fees • Auditors share benefits from economies of scale with clients • In contrast, authors of the paper have found otherwise; high levels of auditor concentration led to higher audit fees • Inconclusive, have to also take into account demand structure
Getting the Price Right (cont’d) • Demand structure (Audit clients’ power) • Audit market also characterized by monopsony theory • Where audit clients may exercise influence over the setting of price to bring it to a level below what would otherwise occur in competitive market • The authors found that audit fees were in fact lower in markets where municipal clients exercise influence over auditors.
Getting the Price Right (cont’d) • Economic Consequences: • Supply structure: in relation to whether the audit premiums that the Big Four charge are due to monopolistic power or brand-name reputation • Demand structure: in relation to whether audit clients have market power over auditors or not
Behind Closed Doors at WorldCom: 2001 Kay E. Zekany, Lucas W. Braun and Zachary T. Warder
Behind Closed Doors at WorldCom: 2001 • Large telecommunications company • Annual revenues > $30 billion • Served > 20 million customers • Largest internet carrier • Serving 100 countries in 6 continents • Provider of network services for US Government
Behind Closed Doors at WorldCom: 2001 • External Environment • # of local telephone companies dropped to 150 from 330 in 2000 • Long distance carriers lost pricing power and market share • Entrants of many competitors for internet service in late 90’s Greater competition and challenging market
Behind Closed Doors at WorldCom: 2001 • CEO – Bernard J. (Bernie) Ebbers • Risk-seeking, free-spending, over-zealous deal maker • Orchestrated mergers with 75 companies • Largest MCI “Our Goal is not to capture market share or be global. Our goal is to be the No. 1 stock on Wall Street.”
Behind Closed Doors at WorldCom: 2001 • Outside: stock looked to be doing fine • Beginning July 2000 • Expenses as a percentage of total revenues increased • Declining earning • Result in stock price decrease • Pressure to not let stock decrease • Bernie’s financial well-being dependant on stock price • Company marked as high-growth company
Behind Closed Doors at WorldCom: 2001 Corporate Culture • Management Leaders • CEO – Bernie • CFO and CAP Scott Sullivan • Leaders and managers not to be questioned • Loyalty was compensated • Bernie very interested in making sure all employees add value
Behind Closed Doors at WorldCom: 2001 Accounting Functions • Internal Audit • Only proceeded with operational audits • Reported results and proposed audits for approval to Audit Committee • Rest of the time reported to Sullivan • Prepared ERP reports • Served no audit purpose • Time-intensive
Behind Closed Doors at WorldCom: 2001 Accounting Functions • Revenue Accounting • Monthly Revenue (MonRev) Reports • Corporate Unallocated Schedule (CUS) • Sullivan responsible for item booking into CUS • Revenue Accounting Group (led by Ronal Lomenzo) prepared schedule and had principal responsibility for booking entries • Distribution limited and closely guarded • Access to CUS was restricted to Bernie, Sullivan and the Revenue Accounting Group
Behind Closed Doors at WorldCom: 2001 Accounting Functions • Property Accounting • Responsible for tracking assets and inventory • Produced Property Plant and Equipment Roll forward Report • Capital Reporting • Responsible for approving capital expenditures and reporting on capital spending • Two versions of report • The Monthly Revenue Closing Process • Produced “Preliminary MonRev” for review • Then “Final MonRev”
Behind Closed Doors at WorldCom: 2001 Line Cost Accruals • Costs of the use of “off-net” facilities and connections were estimated • Estimates were booked each month in an adjusting journal entry • Adjustments were made as necessary
Behind Closed Doors at WorldCom: 2001 Line Cost Accrual Release • In 2001 General Accounting was instructed to reduce line costs by $150 million • Vice President of Wireless Finance refused to make adjustment due to lack of documentation • Sullivan eventually got another member of Accounting to book the entry
Behind Closed Doors at WorldCom: 2001 Capitalization of Line Costs • Line cost E/R ratio increased significantly in 2000 and 2001 • Excess capacity was capitalized to reduce costs • Erroneous asset accounts were created to offset the reversal of expenses • These invalid entries brought line costs back down to prior year levels
Behind Closed Doors at WorldCom: 2001 Revenue Accounting’s “Close the Gap” Exercise • Each quarter a “Close the Gap” Exercise was conducted • This was managements way of maintaining double-digit revenue growth • Difference between budgeted and preliminary revenue numbers was booked to increase revenue
Behind Closed Doors at WorldCom: 2001 Arthur Andersen’s Audit of 2001 • Audit took place in the midst of the Enron scandal • Acknowledged WorldCom was maximum risk client and had taken aggressive accounting positions in the past • Signed off on financial statements despite risk identified and documented
QUESTIONS Nicole Fitzmaurice, Eric Poolman, Lisa Landon, Pang Koh & Ping Zhou