E N D
2. War by developed countries : State building: effective police and military
Control war, but still do it
WWI: rise of war aversion
3. War by developed countries since 1918:
5. Longest period of peace on the Rhine since the second century B.C.E., before the Cimbi and the Teutones appeared to challenge the armies of the consul Gaius Marius in the Rhone Valley.
7. Battle-related deaths under 1000 per year: armed conflict
riots
terrorism
brutal policing
criminal predation
8. Civilian deaths when there are less than 1000 battle-related deaths in a year: genocide
mass killing
massacre
ethnic cleansing
terrorism
criminal predation
9. PEOPLE 1,900
SHEEP 600,000
COST TO UK THROUGH 1989 $3,000,000 PER FALKLANDER
OR $5 PER SHEEP
UK TROOPS, 1999 2,000
12. 27 civil wars active in 2002, Fearon and Laitin
18. Thugs as mercenaries: Yugoslavia
Rwanda
Kosovo
East Timor
Zimbabwe
Chechnya
Kenya
Sudan
19. Thugs as warlord bands: Sierra Leone
Congo
Somalia
Colombia
Burma
Liberia
Caucasus
Nigeria
Angola
Algeria
Macedonia
Afghanistan
22. Ancient hatreds myth
Aversion to nation-building
Low tolerance for casualties
Lack of political gain from success
Bias against war and aggression
25. NOTICERS: Gwynne Dyer
www.gwynnedyer.com
United Nations
10 stories the world should hear more about: The Peacekeeping Paradox, May 2004 www.un.org/events/tenstories
PRIO
Gregg Easterbrook
New Republic forthcoming
27. Testosterone
Evolution
Human nature
Aggressive drive
Thrill of war
Moral equivalent
28. Nationalism, religious extremism
Inequality
Lack of brotherhood, understanding
Lack of love, justice, harmony, good will, inner peace
Hate, selfishness, racism
29. Arms industry
Military ethos
Arms trade, proliferation
Nuclear weapons
30. Economic development: poverty-prosperity
International trade
Economic interdependence
International communication
Economic inequality
31. State system
Nation state
International organization
World government (vs. anarchy)
International law
Outlawing, renouncing war
Security communities
Democracy
32. RESPONSES: It ain’t happening
OK, it’s happening, but I still have faith in my fellow man
Yeah, but what about inequality in South Africa?