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Effect of Selection Ratio on Predictor Utility. sr =.95. sr =.50. sr =.10. r =.40. Criterion Performance. Reject. Accept. Selection Cutoff Score. Predictor Score. Effect of Predictor Validity on Predictor Utility. sr =.50. r =.40. r =.80. r =.00. Criterion Performance.
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Effect of Selection Ratio on Predictor Utility sr =.95 sr =.50 sr =.10 r =.40 Criterion Performance Reject Accept Selection Cutoff Score Predictor Score
Effect of Predictor Validityon Predictor Utility sr =.50 r =.40 r =.80 r =.00 Criterion Performance Selection Cutoff Score Predictor Score
Effect of Base Rate on Predictor Utility r =.40 br =.10 Criterion Performance br =.90 Predictor Score
Selection Decisions sr = .50 sr = .75 True Positives r =1.00 r =.60 Successful Performance False Negatives A D br = .50 Criterion Performance C True Negatives False Positives B Unsuccessful Performance Reject Accept Predictor Score
Selection Strategies • 3 Basic Strategies • Multiple Regression • Assumes relationships between predictors and criterion are linear • Assumes having a lot of one attribute compensates for having little of another • Multiple Cutoff • Applicants must achieve a set, minimum score on all predictors • Multiple Hurdle • Applicants must achieve satisfactory scores on a number of predictors that are administered over time.