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Cliffs, Ceilings, Bombs, and Explosions…. …When Metaphors Go BAD. Cliffs, Ceilings, Bombs, and Explosions…. Jim Luke LCC Economics January 30, 2013. Cliffs, Ceilings, Bombs, and Explosions: When Metaphors Go BAD. Blog: econproph.com Info: jimluke.com Courses: econproph.net
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…When Metaphors GoBAD Cliffs, Ceilings, Bombs, and Explosions…
Jim LukeLCC EconomicsJanuary 30, 2013 Cliffs, Ceilings, Bombs, and Explosions: When Metaphors Go BAD. Blog: econproph.comInfo: jimluke.com Courses: econproph.net Download: http://wp.me/pR94N-gj(or search at jimluke.com) Twitter:@econproph Twitter:James Luke
While many phrases have been tortured, no actual words have been destroyed. Yet. IANAWP – don’t quote me on metaphors vs. similes vs. analogies vs. other stuff. DISCLAIMERS & Legal Fine Print
Metaphors and stories help us think about things – like the economy.
What Have You Heard? Let’s Look At Some Examples
BAD: Fiscal Cliff was about debt and deficits hurting the economy.
Spending cuts & tax rises SLOW the economy Reality: Fiscal Cliff was automatic spending cuts & tax increases.
Reality: Budget mandates spending, taxes, and borrowing. Debt ceiling is a silly law.
Reality: Not raising the debt ceiling would be catastrophic for U.S., the world, and you.
BAD:Govt debt is a “bomb”, just like private debt is a “crushing burden”.
Reality:One of these is not like the other. Credit Cards (private debt) US Federal Reserve Notes US Government Bonds US Government Bonds US Government Bonds
Reality:U.S. is not like Greece, or Ireland, or Spain, or Argentina.It is like Japan, UK, Canada, Australia, etc. – sovereign in money.
Non-convertible (floating) rates Debt in own currency. Reality:Default can only happen by choice.
BAD:Govt budget should be balanced just like your household budget.
Surpluses are followed by recessions. Necessary if private sector wishes to save. Supply of safe financial assets. Reality:Deficits are NOT bad, but surpluses are.
Taxes are % of GDP Automatic stabilizer effect UK & Ireland proving it (again) Reality:“Austerity” slows an economy and worsens deficits.
Reality:Deficit will shrink as employment returns. Growth heals.
check out the zero’s in *illions. BAD: We can balance the budget by cutting “waste”.
Big Social Security (self-funded) Defense (unfunded) Medicare (part funded) Medium – income transfers Interest Medicaid & Income Security Insignificant Everything else Reality:The U.S. government is an insurance company with an army.
Econproph.com Tax.com CalculatedRiskBlog.com NakedCapitalism.com AngryBear.com Presimetrics.com Krugman.blogs.nytimes.com “FRED” at research.stlouisfed.org Good sources for facts.
http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2013/01/philip-pllkington-purging-economics-of-religion-a-rebuttal-to-robert-nelsons-defence-of-the-great-chain-of-being.html/graph3http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2013/01/philip-pllkington-purging-economics-of-religion-a-rebuttal-to-robert-nelsons-defence-of-the-great-chain-of-being.html/graph3 http://radio.foxnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/1-6-debt-ceiling.jpg http://www.sleuthsayers.org/2011/11/metaphor-hunting.html https://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=72fwfKqKE32n7M&tbnid=0ZoZLXH6UyTraM:&ved=0CAIQjBw&url=http%3A%2F%2Fimages.businessweek.com%2Fcms%2F2012-12-20%2F0803_cliff_630x420.jpg&ei=6u0GUa-9AsX6qwGE6YGoDg&bvm=bv.41524429,d.aWc&psig=AFQjCNEsodTvHsJ674IwCKvPtv3MjmjE0g&ust=1359494550883237 http://netrightdaily.com/2012/12/fiscal-cliff/ http://www.wlwt.com/image/view/-/17343332/medRes/2/-/maxh/460/maxw/620/-/41bw25/-/Fiscal-cliff-notes-jpg.jpg http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/f/f5/US_$50_1993_Federal_Reserve_Note_Obverse.jpg http://img.wpdigital.net/rf/image_606w/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2012/12/10/Editorial-Opinion/Graphics/toles12112012.jpg https://encrypted-tbn1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcTYtn5eycKKLe51EwkeoIyoDby2F7sSfNL08QSEzq_6glpYveeX https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcTnLcEfK3HDFlutcFOr2T4Th3VlJBcRSUtr8hkbY67vtFlWgeoY1Q https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcRrEvhRfftkWFxwJK2SvKGRAi4ILVBFSeou8paXonv_CZuxLqVN https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcSIvgD10FL5tzHs7pnOzt1QKUWIhefomNwMlqmSa8pDulgOYsn8pQ https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcQYKURNQI3vm_hZYXxDRgZ8T3RVKKXzS2tRL3oY5o5YIRc0cv7CtQ Sources & Images