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H1N1 Vaccines VRBPAC Meeting Robin Robinson, Ph.D. HHS/ASPR/BARDA Director July 23, 2009. National Pandemic Influenza Plans. U.S. Strategic Pan Flu Vaccine Goals. Vaccines
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H1N1 Vaccines VRBPAC Meeting Robin Robinson, Ph.D. HHS/ASPR/BARDA Director July 23, 2009
U.S. Strategic Pan Flu Vaccine Goals • Vaccines • Goal #1: Establish and maintain a dynamic pre-pandemic influenza vaccine stockpile available for 20 M persons (2 doses/person) • Goal #2: Provide pandemic vaccine to all U.S. citizens within 6 months of a pandemic declaration: pandemic vaccine (600 M doses) National Strategy for Pandemic Influenza (Nov 2005) and HHS Pandemic Influenza Plan (Nov 2005) http://www.pandemicflu.gov
H5N1 Vaccine Stockpile Inventory: 2008 • *Adjusted number for usage and potency loss • Most vaccine is stored in the US as bulk concentrates * Adjusted for usage and potency
U.S. Pandemic Influenza Vaccine Capacity Forecast: The Promise of Adjuvants
H1N1 Vaccines • National Strategy for Pandemic Influenza (Nov. 2005) goal is to provide vaccine to everyone in U.S. within 6 months of pandemic onset • H1N1 Vaccine Strategy follows pandemic playbook for vaccine development, production, and administration with multiple decisions and on/off ramps • Clinical studies will inform vaccine formulation and safety profile • Licensure of antigen-alone formulations may be afforded as strain changes • Emergency Usage Authorization may afford vaccine administration with adjuvant • Scenario-sensitive vaccine production & administration approach • Disease severity affects selection of vaccine type • Virus antigenicity as compared to vaccine immunogenicity (well-matched?) • Key decision issues: • Prioritization of vaccine for special populations (e.g., children, etc. ) • Vaccine type • Thimerosal preservative • Oil-in-water adjuvant • Post-immunization adverse event safety monitoring
H1N1 Vaccine Products Scenario A Standard vaccine – U.S.-licensed Multi-dose vial sanofi pastuer MedImmune CSL GSK Scenario B Standard vaccine – U.S.-licensed Vaccine + adjuvant - EUA GSK 3.4% GSK Novartis sanofi pastuer Novartis MedImmune CSL sanofi pastuer CSL Novartis
H1N1 Vaccine Distribution Options Vaccine Manufacturers Wholesale Distributors States & Locals Sites American Public 5 30-50 distrb. sites 40,000 - 90,000 300 million sanofi pasteur State Health Depts Children Novartis PODs Critical Workforce GlaxoSmithKline McKesson and others County Public Health Depts Healthcare Workers ! ! ! MedImmune Other Public Sites Elderly CSL Private Providers General Public BARDA CDC STATES LOCALS
H1N1 Pandemic InfluenzaMedical Countermeasure Supply-Demand Gap Closure Reduce Demand: Pandemic Vaccines, Community Mitigation, Antivirals, Masks Increase Capacity: Ventilators, Oxygen, Antivirals, Pandemic Vaccines, Masks Egg- based Vaccines + Adjuvants? WHEN? PATHOGENICITY? ANTIGENICITY? Demand for Healthcare Services Increase Supplies of Critical Materiel ? ? ? Current Healthcare Capacity